NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	104		Excitement	3.9 [1061]		MVP	Eric Gordon (HOU): +12.8%
Houston Rockets	120		Comeback	1.1 [1229]		LVP	Luka Doncic (DAL): -6.1%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Brunson	0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.02	0.03	4	130%	0.11	4	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Dwight Powell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.00	0.04	5	80%	0.07	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Devin Harris	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.01	0.03	6	57%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Trey Burke	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	67%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Justin Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	5	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	0.00	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	64%	0.05	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Broekhoff	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	0.04	11	42%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	9	40%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Luka Doncic	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	17	49%	0.02	5	-0.08	9	56%	-0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.01	-0.05	17	53%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.00	0.01	12	65%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	8	85%	0.12	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.14	0.00	0.05	12	79%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	4	70%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	8	37%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.09	23	58%	0.04	5	-0.08	7	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	32.0	14.5	25.9	1.5	27.6	127.3
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +31.4%

DAL -1.0%

HOU +5.9%

HOU +13.7%

HOU +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	HOU	NBA	DAL	HOU	NBA
this game	14.1	15.4	14.3	107.2	122.4	109.3
season	14.7	14.8		108.5	114.0
opponent	14.4	14.1		109.3	109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.5	13.6	14.9	13.5	14.1
HOU	14.9	13.1	17.1	17.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Broekhoff	3	4	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.03	3	-19	22	9.3	14.2	-4.91	17.5	15.4	2.15
Courtney Lee	11	10	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-14	12	16.2	13.8	2.36	16.7	15.3	1.40
Justin Jackson	22	22	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.01	-4	-12	8	14.5	14.0	0.47	16.7	15.1	1.60
Dirk Nowitzki	19	21	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-11	6	15.2	13.8	1.39	15.2	15.5	-0.26
Devin Harris	28	30	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.04	-9	-7	-2	15.4	13.6	1.83	15.1	15.6	-0.49
Trey Burke	41	39	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.03	-7	-9	2	14.0	14.1	-0.08	15.6	15.4	0.21
Luka Doncic	72	72	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.08	-6	-10	4	13.6	15.5	-1.87	15.9	14.2	1.75
Jalen Brunson	53	55	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.02	-10	-6	-4	14.3	13.9	0.38	15.1	15.8	-0.71
Tim Hardaway Jr.	58	58	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.01	-10	-6	-4	13.5	15.0	-1.47	15.1	15.9	-0.74
Maxi Kleber	46	48	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.02	-10	-6	-4	15.1	13.2	1.97	14.2	16.6	-2.41
Dwight Powell	57	56	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.03	-12	-4	-8	13.4	15.0	-1.59	16.1	14.5	1.60
Dorian Finney-Smith	75	75	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.10	-8	-8	0	13.8	15.1	-1.35	15.2	16.2	-0.96

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenneth Faried	67	66	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.20	22	-6	28	14.9	16.6	-1.67	14.3	13.7	0.56
PJ Tucker	76	74	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.05	16	0	16	15.1	16.7	-1.60	14.3	13.5	0.81
Chris Paul	60	60	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.23	21	-5	26	15.2	15.8	-0.62	14.1	14.1	0.02
Eric Gordon	62	59	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.03	14	2	12	14.9	16.4	-1.55	14.3	13.8	0.41
James Harden	74	74	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.10	8	8	0	15.0	16.8	-1.85	13.8	15.2	-1.42
Iman Shumpert	50	50	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.18	2	14	-12	15.8	15.1	0.70	13.5	14.7	-1.18
Austin Rivers	35	35	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.14	0	16	-16	15.2	15.6	-0.33	14.3	14.0	0.26
Gerald Green	42	42	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	14	-12	17.4	14.0	3.36	14.2	14.0	0.26
Isaiah Hartenstein	23	24	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.20	-5	21	-26	17.1	14.9	2.21	14.2	14.0	0.21
Gary Clark	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	32.0	15.3	16.73	16.0	14.1	1.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.89,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 104, WAS 123	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
DET 83, PHI 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.65,0.71,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
MEM 98, POR 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	96.3%