NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	107		Excitement	3.7 [1045]		MVP	Calbert Cheaney (WAS): +3.2%
Washington Bullets	125		Comeback	1.4 [1116]		LVP	Shawn Bradley (NJN): -6.5%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jack Haley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	59%	0.00	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yinka Dare	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khalid Reeves	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	10	59%	0.00	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kerry Kittles	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	8	50%	0.02	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Xavier McDaniel	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	7	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jayson Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	10	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.01
Kevin Edwards	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	11	71%	0.06	5	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Kendall Gill	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.01	0.07	13	71%	0.05	5	-0.11	9	89%	0.02
Shawn Bradley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	7	50%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	15	59%	0.06	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.02
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.03	16	62%	0.04	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.01
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	10	68%	0.06	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.01
Gheorghe Muresan	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	87%	0.08	4	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Tim Legler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	5	58%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	5	64%	-0.01	1	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Harvey Grant	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ashraf Amaya	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	1	25%	-0.01	2	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.02	8	45%	-0.05	1	0.00	4	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.6	0.2	29.0	13.8	31.1	1.7	31.0	136.4
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +20.5%

WAS +7.9%

WAS +18.9%

WAS +3.5%

NJN -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	WAS	NBA	NJN	WAS	NBA
this game	14.7	14.1	15.6	108.1	123.8	104.4
season	15.4	14.8		101.7	104.3
opponent	15.8	14.9		103.3	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.4	14.4	14.6	14.5	14.7
WAS	15.9	13.8	11.7	15.5	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yinka Dare	18	18	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.08	5	-23	28	16.2	14.4	1.85	13.0	14.3	-1.34
Jack Haley	12	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-23	28	13.2	14.9	-1.75	14.0	14.1	-0.11
Tony Massenburg	20	20	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-18	18	13.7	15.0	-1.26	16.2	13.6	2.68
Xavier McDaniel	56	60	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.16	2	-20	22	13.9	15.8	-1.96	14.0	14.3	-0.33
Kevin Edwards	67	70	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.13	-2	-16	14	14.1	15.9	-1.82	13.7	15.0	-1.30
Shawn Bradley	42	41	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	-10	-8	-2	14.7	14.7	0.01	14.0	14.1	-0.13
Kerry Kittles	62	64	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.33	-25	7	-32	15.4	13.6	1.82	14.4	13.5	0.92
Khalid Reeves	71	71	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.12	-18	0	-18	15.1	13.7	1.33	14.5	13.1	1.47
Kendall Gill	78	78	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.00	-17	-1	-16	14.8	14.2	0.66	13.8	15.0	-1.17
Jayson Williams	69	70	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	0.26	-30	12	-42	15.0	14.1	0.87	13.9	14.6	-0.69

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calbert Cheaney	76	77	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.00	16	2	14	14.0	14.5	-0.56	14.7	14.8	-0.08
Juwan Howard	72	73	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.09	18	0	18	14.9	12.1	2.80	14.9	14.2	0.70
Harvey Grant	49	46	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.19	21	-3	24	12.8	15.3	-2.49	15.7	13.9	1.77
Rod Strickland	60	62	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.21	20	-2	22	13.6	14.9	-1.27	15.6	13.2	2.42
Gheorghe Muresan	43	43	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.02	7	11	-4	13.4	14.6	-1.23	15.3	14.3	0.97
Chris Whitney	41	37	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.18	-2	20	-22	14.9	13.6	1.27	13.2	15.6	-2.42
Tim Legler	48	44	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	17	-16	13.9	14.3	-0.47	15.0	14.5	0.57
Tracy Murray	31	30	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.05	4	14	-10	15.8	13.3	2.46	14.1	15.0	-0.87
Ashraf Amaya	21	20	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.19	-5	23	-28	13.6	14.2	-0.67	13.6	15.0	-1.39
Jaren Jackson	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	23	-28	14.4	14.1	0.36	13.2	14.9	-1.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.85,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 90, OKC 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
BOS 86, SAS 101	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
MIA 56, CHH 65	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.92,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	95.7%