NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	56		Excitement	3.9 [1003]		MVP	Duane Causwell (MIA): +0.0%
Charlotte Hornets	65		Comeback	1.3 [995]		LVP	Eddie Jones (MIA): -20.3%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Duane Causwell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	83%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Carter	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	9	46%	-0.03	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.04
Bruce Bowen	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	6	44%	-0.04	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Tim Hardaway	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.15	-0.00	-0.05	11	28%	-0.06	3	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02
Brian Grant	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.02	0.01	8	42%	-0.08	3	-0.07	10	50%	-0.05
Eddie Jones	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.19	-0.01	0.00	16	22%	-0.14	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Otis Thorpe	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	5	60%	0.03	4	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.10	0.01	-0.07	12	31%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.02
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	4	46%	-0.00	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	19	50%	0.05	7	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.14	-0.00	-0.05	14	39%	-0.00	4	-0.09	5	60%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.19	-0.01	-0.08	7	20%	-0.04	3	-0.07	6	33%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	0.3	27.0	15.8	28.2	1.6	33.0	131.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +32.1%

CHH +8.7%

CHH +15.8%

MIA -4.9%

MIA -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	CHH	NBA	MIA	CHH	NBA
this game	15.5	17.6	15.5	63.6	75.6	100.9
season	16.3	15.8		98.4	99.7
opponent	15.6	16.1		97.0	96.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	15.2	16.5	16.3	14.2	15.5
CHH	16.9	20.3	13.2	21.1	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cedric Ceballos	20	20	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.20	5	-14	19	13.5	16.1	-2.65	21.1	16.5	4.58
Eddie House	22	20	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.23	5	-14	19	15.6	15.5	0.06	21.2	16.5	4.78
Duane Causwell	5	4	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.08	-6	-3	-3	18.0	15.4	2.60	22.7	17.3	5.42
Bruce Bowen	60	60	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.22	0	-9	9	15.6	15.4	0.17	17.1	18.7	-1.54
Anthony Carter	26	26	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.02	-7	-2	-5	13.0	16.6	-3.61	17.8	17.5	0.38
Tim Hardaway	54	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-4	-1	16.4	14.2	2.14	16.0	20.1	-4.02
A.C. Green	47	45	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.13	-7	-2	-5	15.1	16.0	-0.90	18.1	17.0	1.16
Brian Grant	63	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.22	-5	-4	-1	15.4	15.9	-0.47	17.4	18.0	-0.52
Anthony Mason	70	67	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.04	-13	4	-17	16.2	12.9	3.34	16.4	21.7	-5.33
Eddie Jones	73	73	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.11	-12	3	-15	15.9	13.8	2.10	17.6	17.5	0.14

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Mashburn	78	78	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.18	10	-1	11	18.0	13.6	4.36	16.2	10.6	5.58
P.J. Brown	56	59	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.23	3	6	-3	16.4	19.8	-3.46	16.8	12.9	3.90
David Wesley	66	66	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.30	0	9	-9	16.8	20.2	-3.48	16.2	13.5	2.67
Baron Davis	50	53	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.15	5	4	1	17.2	18.1	-0.82	16.2	14.6	1.52
Elden Campbell	58	59	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.15	4	5	-1	18.3	16.1	2.24	16.7	13.1	3.64
Hersey Hawkins	37	38	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.02	8	1	7	17.2	17.9	-0.69	13.6	17.0	-3.41
Jamaal Magloire	28	29	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.09	5	4	1	16.1	18.3	-2.24	13.1	16.7	-3.64
Eldridge Recasner	19	19	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.00	5	4	1	22.1	16.3	5.74	15.4	15.6	-0.16
Otis Thorpe	17	16	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.04	5	4	1	15.8	18.0	-2.26	13.2	16.1	-2.88
Lee Nailon	21	23	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	9	-9	20.8	16.6	4.21	11.7	16.9	-5.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.92,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 84, CHA 103	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
DET 93, LAL 113	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
POR 90, OKC 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.7,0.79,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%