NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	84		Excitement	3.9 [1022]		MVP	Tyson Chandler (CHA): +8.3%
Charlotte Bobcats	103		Comeback	1.4 [795]		LVP	Elton Brand (PHI): -16.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kapono	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.01	-0.05	15	42%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	10	64%	0.05	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Jodie Meeks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	4	30%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Samuel Dalembert	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	7	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Jrue Holiday	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.10	-0.01	-0.07	7	64%	0.04	7	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0.04	2	67%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	15	40%	0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	0.04	10	59%	-0.01	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Elton Brand	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.15	-0.02	-0.00	13	31%	-0.07	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	5	83%	0.11	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.13	0.02	0.07	11	75%	0.10	2	-0.02	10	60%	-0.04
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Derrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	8	50%	0.05	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	50%	-0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	19	42%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	8	30%	-0.03	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.7	30.2	15.8	30.2	2.4	28.6	133.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +14.7%

CHA +12.4%

PHI -1.2%

CHA +21.8%

CHA +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHA	NBA	PHI	CHA	NBA
this game	13.5	15.8	15.3	85.7	105.1	106.0
season	15.1	16.2		104.2	103.0
opponent	15.4	15.8		101.8	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.0	15.8	11.6	12.4	13.5
CHA	17.1	16.9	14.5	15.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Smith	28	27	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-23	27	13.6	13.5	0.04	15.4	16.0	-0.66
Jodie Meeks	23	24	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.03	-6	-13	7	15.8	12.8	2.99	14.0	16.5	-2.50
Willie Green	62	64	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-11	3	12.9	14.6	-1.65	16.3	14.9	1.43
Elton Brand	55	55	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.00	-10	-9	-1	14.4	12.5	1.88	16.4	15.2	1.22
Samuel Dalembert	48	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	-7	-5	13.5	13.6	-0.08	15.6	16.1	-0.44
Marreese Speights	46	47	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.10	-14	-5	-9	13.2	13.9	-0.69	15.2	16.4	-1.22
Jason Kapono	74	73	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.07	-14	-5	-9	13.2	14.7	-1.49	16.0	15.4	0.55
Jrue Holiday	87	86	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	-6	-7	13.1	17.3	-4.20	15.8	15.8	0.02
Andre Iguodala	67	66	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.18	-22	3	-25	13.9	12.7	1.22	16.3	15.0	1.26

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	47	48	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.14	22	-3	25	16.4	15.4	0.99	13.3	13.8	-0.45
Boris Diaw	75	75	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.13	19	0	19	15.7	16.5	-0.82	13.5	13.7	-0.20
Gerald Wallace	82	83	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.03	14	5	9	16.4	12.8	3.63	13.7	12.9	0.80
Raymond Felton	58	57	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.01	11	8	3	16.2	15.3	0.92	13.5	13.6	-0.16
Larry Hughes	51	51	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.09	13	6	7	15.7	16.0	-0.29	13.7	13.4	0.34
Stephen Jackson	51	52	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.03	6	13	-7	16.0	15.6	0.40	13.2	14.0	-0.78
Stephen Graham	32	32	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.00	7	12	-5	15.3	16.1	-0.84	14.5	13.1	1.42
D.J. Augustin	40	41	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.07	8	11	-3	15.3	16.2	-0.92	13.6	13.5	0.16
Derrick Brown	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	19	-19	12.0	16.3	-4.28	12.1	13.7	-1.57
Gerald Henderson	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	19	-19	12.0	16.3	-4.28	12.1	13.7	-1.57
Theo Ratliff	34	33	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.14	-5	24	-29	16.9	15.3	1.54	13.8	13.4	0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 86, DAL 100	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
MIA 56, CHH 65	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.92,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	96.2%
DET 93, LAL 113	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%