NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	97		Excitement	8.1 [198]		MVP	Chris Webber (WAS): +21.2%
Dallas Mavericks	95		Comeback	2.1 [766]		LVP	Rod Strickland (WAS): -25.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.21	0.02	0.14	-0.05	16	52%	0.23	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Tracy Murray	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	14	57%	0.08	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.01
Calbert Cheaney	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	15	60%	0.06	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Ben Wallace	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harvey Grant	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Ledell Eackles	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	20	45%	0.04	5	-0.17	4	50%	-0.04
Rod Strickland	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.24,-0.27,-0.29,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.25	-0.21	-0.05	-0.01	15	31%	-0.20	2	-0.06	12	58%	-0.03

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.00	21	55%	0.16	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.05	17	63%	0.15	3	-0.16	1	100%	0.00
Eric Riley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	3	80%	0.07	2	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	9	44%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Khalid Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	17	54%	-0.01	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.06
A.C. Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.13	0.01	-0.03	7	41%	-0.00	5	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	8	12%	-0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.11	-0.12	-0.00	4	25%	-0.13	2	-0.09	4	75%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	27.4	15.7	28.2	2.5	27.6	127.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +21.9%

DAL -2.4%

DAL -3.9%

WAS +36.3%

DAL -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	DAL	NBA	WAS	DAL	NBA
this game	13.0	17.1	15.6	100.0	100.0	102.5
season	15.1	15.8		102.8	98.3
opponent	15.5	15.6		104.6	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	12.6	14.2	12.5	12.8	13.0
DAL	16.2	19.4	15.8	17.2	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Webber	52	52	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.31	10	-8	18	13.3	12.7	0.60	18.0	15.9	2.18
Calbert Cheaney	86	84	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.41	4	-2	6	13.2	11.3	1.94	17.4	14.2	3.25
Juwan Howard	88	85	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.38	4	-2	6	13.4	9.1	4.28	17.3	14.6	2.74
Rod Strickland	86	85	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.36	4	-2	6	12.5	16.5	-4.01	16.9	18.7	-1.84
Tracy Murray	59	59	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.38	-5	7	-12	13.3	12.6	0.72	15.9	19.0	-3.09
Chris Whitney	26	25	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.20	1	1	0	12.8	13.1	-0.25	16.4	17.3	-0.89
Terry Davis	50	51	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.18	13	-11	24	12.6	13.4	-0.72	17.9	16.0	1.92
Harvey Grant	5	4	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.02	1	1	0	15.8	12.8	2.96	21.7	16.8	4.90
Ledell Eackles	4	5	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	5	-8	11.7	13.0	-1.29	17.8	17.0	0.79
Ben Wallace	20	18	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	7	-12	13.1	13.0	0.14	15.7	17.4	-1.64
Darvin Ham	9	7	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.30	-14	16	-30	9.1	13.4	-4.28	10.0	17.6	-7.61

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
A.C. Green	59	62	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-5	8	17.7	16.1	1.61	13.2	12.6	0.65
Eric Riley	43	45	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.40	13	-15	28	16.3	17.6	-1.29	13.6	12.5	1.06
Khalid Reeves	72	74	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.52	13	-15	28	17.4	15.9	1.50	13.2	12.3	0.96
Hubert Davis	37	38	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.44	5	-7	12	16.0	17.7	-1.77	12.8	13.1	-0.24
Samaki Walker	49	49	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.07	-18	16	-34	18.2	15.8	2.42	13.2	12.7	0.47
Michael Finley	92	94	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.44	-1	-1	0	16.7	28.7	-11.99	12.9	15.3	-2.42
Robert Pack	38	37	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.01	-18	16	-34	16.2	17.6	-1.45	11.8	13.7	-1.91
Dennis Scott	85	86	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.39	-7	5	-12	17.3	15.2	2.07	12.8	14.1	-1.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.3,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.29,0.43,0.37,0.26,0.25,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 111, SAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.28,0.32,0.26,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.11,0.09,0,0	93.5%
DAL 103, OKC 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.46,0.42,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.52,0.37,0.41,0.24,0.09,0.11,0.04,0.01,0,0	93.0%
CHH 98, VAN 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.34,0.4,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.38,0.46,0.41,0.3,0.13,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.02,0	92.3%