NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	103		Excitement	7.6 [266]		MVP	John Stockton (UTA): +23.9%
Utah Jazz	107		Comeback	2.4 [643]		LVP	Clyde Drexler (HOU): -17.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Willis	0.22	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.22	0.06	0.14	-0.02	15	69%	0.25	3	-0.03	6	83%	0.06
Mario Elie	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.06	0.00	8	75%	0.14	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.03
Matt Maloney	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	5	75%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brent Price	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	6	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Matt Bullard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	8	56%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Emanual Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie Johnson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	9	42%	-0.04	2	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Charles Barkley	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17	-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	10	42%	-0.13	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Clyde Drexler	-0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18	-0.07	-0.12	-0.01	12	47%	-0.13	2	-0.04	8	75%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.02,0.05,0.24	0.24	0.06	0.18	0.00	16	67%	0.36	3	-0.12	4	75%	0.03
Karl Malone	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.07	-0.01	15	67%	0.19	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	-0.01	0.00	13	71%	0.17	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.01	3	92%	0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	3	58%	0.02	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	12	46%	0.01	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	42.7	2.7	30.4	18.8	31.4	2.5	35.5	164.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +68.3%

HOU -7.6%

UTA +7.5%

HOU -17.7%

HOU -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	UTA	NBA	HOU	UTA	NBA
this game	16.0	16.0	15.6	115.7	117.6	102.5
season	15.7	15.9		104.5	108.1
opponent	15.9	15.2		102.1	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.0	15.2	15.6	17.5	16.0
UTA	15.3	14.2	16.4	18.5	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Johnson	42	43	0.31	-0.81	1.13	0.08	8	-12	20	15.3	16.7	-1.37	17.1	15.0	2.09
Matt Bullard	43	45	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.03	8	-12	20	15.6	16.4	-0.74	16.6	15.4	1.25
Emanual Davis	9	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-4	4	15.3	16.1	-0.75	18.2	15.7	2.49
Brent Price	38	38	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.24	5	-9	14	15.7	16.2	-0.48	17.6	14.8	2.73
Matt Maloney	42	43	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.14	-9	5	-14	16.4	15.7	0.75	14.2	17.6	-3.33
Charles Barkley	76	78	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.40	-3	-1	-2	16.0	16.2	-0.17	15.5	19.2	-3.69
Mario Elie	54	54	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.37	-5	1	-6	15.9	16.2	-0.36	15.0	17.4	-2.34
Kevin Willis	66	66	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.36	-11	7	-18	16.9	13.5	3.42	16.5	14.7	1.80
Clyde Drexler	75	77	-0.81	0.31	-1.11	-0.42	-13	9	-22	16.0	16.1	-0.16	15.7	17.8	-2.12

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl Malone	81	78	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.42	14	-10	24	15.3	21.9	-6.64	15.9	16.6	-0.71
John Stockton	53	52	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.45	6	-2	8	14.9	17.4	-2.50	15.7	16.5	-0.86
Jeff Hornacek	74	73	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.33	10	-6	16	15.3	19.1	-3.85	16.1	15.6	0.47
Bryon Russell	52	51	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.38	7	-3	10	16.6	15.2	1.42	16.2	15.8	0.34
Greg Ostertag	29	28	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.34	1	3	-2	17.7	15.2	2.55	15.2	16.4	-1.11
Adam Keefe	46	45	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.01	9	-5	14	14.7	17.4	-2.70	16.6	15.5	1.10
Antoine Carr	40	40	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.09	0	4	-4	15.4	16.4	-1.01	16.6	15.5	1.11
Howard Eisley	38	37	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.07	-2	6	-8	17.4	14.9	2.50	16.5	15.7	0.86
Greg Foster	14	14	-0.37	0.87	-1.23	0.01	-13	17	-30	20.1	15.2	4.91	13.5	16.5	-2.98
Shandon Anderson	28	27	-0.39	0.89	-1.28	-0.04	-12	16	-28	18.0	15.1	2.90	16.0	16.0	0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.7,0.81,0.87,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.68,0.64,0.35,0.53,0.62,0.71,0.85,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 94, CLE 98	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.4,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.65,0.67,0.49,0.58,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.81,0.66,0.67,0.77,0.59,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.64,0.77,0.58,1	91.6%
ATL 86, CHI 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.77,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.62,0.67,0.8,0.67,0.74,0.66,0.53,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.63,1	91.5%
MIA 95, DET 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.81,0.79,0.9,0.78,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.53,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.9,0.91,1	90.4%