NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	91		Excitement	10.1 [52]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +50.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	92		Comeback	10.0 [140]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (MIN): -42.1%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stojko Vrankovic	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pooh Richardson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.12,0.12,0	0.02	-0.03	0.00	8	61%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Keith Closs	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06	0.00	-0.07	-0.01	15	52%	0.00	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Eric Piatkowski	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	10	60%	0.06	5	-0.13	5	100%	0.03
Brent Barry	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	13	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.07,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	16	43%	0.09	2	-0.20	3	100%	0.02
Rodney Rogers	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,-0.16	-0.03	-0.13	0.00	14	54%	0.14	4	-0.30	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.51	0.51	0.04	0.48	0.00	13	61%	0.53	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Terry Porter	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.04	0.16	-0.00	7	86%	0.27	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Tom Hammonds	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Doug West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Chris Carr	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	8	25%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.12	-0.00	17	62%	0.01	5	-0.15	5	40%	-0.28
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.42	-0.42	-0.20	-0.22	-0.00	12	30%	-0.32	4	-0.11	6	17%	-0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.4	2.3	24.1	16.4	25.2	2.0	32.6	123.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +65.0%

LAC -20.7%

LAC -37.6%

MIN +34.4%

MIN +8.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIN	NBA	LAC	MIN	NBA
this game	16.2	14.7	15.6	96.8	100.0	102.5
season	15.5	14.8		101.0	105.3
opponent	15.7	15.1		104.9	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.7	14.7	16.9	16.8	16.2
MIN	12.6	14.1	17.4	15.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stojko Vrankovic	38	38	0.37	-0.87	1.24	-0.07	15	-16	31	17.1	15.6	1.50	15.5	14.2	1.30
Darrick Martin	68	66	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.21	10	-11	21	16.2	16.2	0.08	14.5	15.4	-0.90
Keith Closs	10	9	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	4	-9	14.4	16.4	-2.03	15.1	14.7	0.41
Lamond Murray	69	68	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.17	-1	0	-1	16.5	15.3	1.22	14.8	14.6	0.15
Brent Barry	65	64	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.36	4	-5	9	17.2	14.1	3.05	15.2	13.7	1.47
Lorenzen Wright	85	81	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.23	-3	2	-5	16.3	15.6	0.73	14.8	14.0	0.84
Maurice Taylor	27	26	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.31	-2	1	-3	15.5	16.5	-1.03	14.4	14.9	-0.49
Eric Piatkowski	29	29	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.32	-3	2	-5	14.1	17.2	-3.05	13.4	15.3	-1.89
Pooh Richardson	26	26	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.26	-11	10	-21	16.2	16.2	-0.08	15.4	14.5	0.90
Rodney Rogers	53	53	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.44	-9	8	-17	15.8	16.8	-1.05	14.3	15.4	-1.12

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephon Marbury	63	64	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.41	10	-9	19	15.5	13.0	2.54	15.5	17.8	-2.28
Chris Carr	46	48	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.55	1	0	1	13.9	15.6	-1.65	15.5	16.9	-1.37
Kevin Garnett	81	83	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.46	-2	3	-5	14.9	13.9	0.94	16.3	15.5	0.76
Terry Porter	45	47	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.55	-6	7	-13	13.9	15.6	-1.66	17.3	15.1	2.21
Sam Mitchell	43	43	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.01	10	-9	19	15.0	14.5	0.58	16.3	16.1	0.21
Stanley Roberts	35	36	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.04	8	-7	15	13.7	15.4	-1.65	14.0	17.6	-3.54
Tom Gugliotta	68	70	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.41	-9	10	-19	14.8	14.5	0.27	16.0	16.8	-0.83
Doug West	32	31	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.15	-1	2	-3	15.0	14.6	0.40	16.2	16.2	-0.03
Cherokee Parks	33	34	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.11	-3	4	-7	14.9	14.6	0.27	19.0	14.6	4.41
Tom Hammonds	14	14	-0.35	0.85	-1.21	-0.26	-3	4	-7	16.2	14.5	1.74	17.1	16.0	1.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.73,0.75,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.63,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.71,0.66,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 82, DET 86	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.41,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.43,0.33,0.47,0.53,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.72,0.47,0.58,1	88.9%
CHI 89, IND 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.64,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.56,0.44,0.3,0.39,0.54,0.43,0.38,0.43,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.69,0.46,0.55,0.42,1	88.8%
SAS 96, UTA 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.42,0.47,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.85,0.67,0.58,1	88.6%