NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	89		Excitement	4.1 [962]		MVP	Antonio McDyess (PHX): +4.6%
Dallas Mavericks	75		Comeback	2.1 [809]		LVP	Jason Kidd (PHX): -12.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio McDyess	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	16	44%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.05	0.00	11	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Clifford Robinson	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.02	-0.03	17	46%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
George McCloud	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.05	11	45%	0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rex Chapman	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.01	0.01	7	64%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brooks Thompson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Milic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hot Rod Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	14	40%	-0.04	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.12	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	13	33%	-0.09	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	7	83%	0.05	3	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04
Chris Anstey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martin Muursepp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	19	44%	-0.01	2	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	17	61%	0.11	7	-0.17	4	50%	-0.02
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	8	33%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Khalid Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	9	33%	-0.09	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	7	31%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	18.3	1.6	24.2	15.7	22.2	2.4	22.2	106.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +15.4%

PHX +0.3%

PHX +13.6%

PHX +19.2%

PHX +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DAL	NBA	PHX	DAL	NBA
this game	16.4	14.7	15.6	96.7	80.6	102.5
season	15.0	15.8		105.3	98.3
opponent	15.5	15.9		104.6	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	18.0	13.8	14.7	19.0	16.4
DAL	14.7	18.1	14.7	11.4	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Manning	46	47	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.08	22	-8	30	15.8	17.0	-1.20	15.9	13.5	2.37
Steve Nash	61	62	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.03	15	-1	16	15.7	17.8	-2.13	14.5	15.3	-0.81
Jason Kidd	58	59	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.00	14	0	14	16.4	16.4	-0.03	16.2	12.2	3.96
George McCloud	43	42	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	3	8	15.9	16.9	-0.93	15.3	14.2	1.12
Rex Chapman	61	63	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.03	12	2	10	16.2	16.9	-0.67	15.1	14.0	1.06
Antonio McDyess	67	70	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.00	10	4	6	15.8	18.2	-2.44	15.7	11.8	3.85
Clifford Robinson	60	60	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.06	7	7	0	17.3	14.8	2.52	14.3	15.4	-1.04
Brooks Thompson	19	19	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	16	-18	19.1	15.7	3.31	10.4	15.8	-5.40
Cedric Ceballos	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	20	-26	17.2	16.3	0.86	7.5	15.7	-8.14
Marko Milic	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	20	-26	17.0	16.4	0.62	6.3	15.3	-8.97
Hot Rod Williams	27	26	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.07	-7	21	-28	17.8	15.9	1.92	14.5	14.8	-0.25

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
A.C. Green	31	31	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.07	-1	-13	12	15.4	14.4	1.00	16.6	16.3	0.24
Chris Anstey	14	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-15	16	9.9	15.6	-5.73	18.6	16.0	2.53
Martin Muursepp	5	5	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.09	-1	-13	12	9.0	15.0	-6.05	15.8	16.5	-0.66
Robert Pack	71	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-10	6	14.2	16.4	-2.15	16.6	15.9	0.74
Dennis Scott	63	63	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	-2	-10	16.4	11.3	5.10	15.4	18.6	-3.16
Khalid Reeves	46	46	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	-3	-8	14.8	14.7	0.08	16.5	16.3	0.24
Hubert Davis	60	60	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.08	-12	-2	-10	14.2	15.7	-1.47	16.2	16.9	-0.69
Samaki Walker	82	81	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.02	-16	2	-18	15.2	11.3	3.91	16.8	14.0	2.75
Michael Finley	93	92	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.09	-14	0	-14	14.7	0.0	14.72	16.4	0.0	16.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.39,0.26,0.19,0.2,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 100, MIA 86	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.19,0.24,0.23,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
MIA 115, ATL 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.6,0.65,0.56,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.51,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.12,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
DAL 112, PHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%