inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 100 Excitement3.8 [1036] MVPPat Garrity (ORL): +16.7%
Miami Heat 86 Comeback2.0 [663] LVPEddie Jones (MIA): -12.2%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Pat Garrity0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.150.030.02894%0.1700.001100%0.00
Tracy McGrady0.070,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.000.001367%0.091-0.021060%-0.03
Mike Miller0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06-0.040.04-0.061067%0.146-0.081100%0.00
Grant Hill0.040,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.011068%0.092-0.04560%-0.02
Ryan Humphrey0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.000.00-0.03367%0.041-0.0100%0.00
Andrew DeClercq0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.001100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Jacque Vaughn0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.00-0.03333%0.0200.0000%0.00
Shawn Kemp0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.010.03667%0.011-0.0100%0.00
Jeryl Sasser-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0530%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Darrell Armstrong-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.01440%-0.0310.002100%0.00
Pat Burke-0.030,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.021041%-0.031-0.00250%-0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Travis Best0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.090.00-0.001369%0.111-0.026100%0.02
Malik Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.100.000.061371%0.061-0.03580%0.01
Rasual Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.040.01-0.05633%0.011-0.0000%0.00
Sean Marks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.000.01540%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Brian Grant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.000.01643%-0.0300.0020%-0.03
LaPhonso Ellis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0120%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Caron Butler0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.020.011457%0.053-0.0800%0.00
Mike James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.000.00533%-0.0400.00250%-0.01
Eddie House0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.060.00-0.02520%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Eddie Jones0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.12-0.02-0.02930%-0.063-0.062100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.62.628.416.523.22.526.5129.2
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +55.7%
MIA -1.7%
MIA -2.6%
MIA -3.5%
ORL +2.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLMIANBAORLMIANBA
this game16.116.615.5114.996.6101.6
season14.616.3102.794.6
opponent15.915.8100.7103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL15.914.217.217.316.1
MIA16.817.716.315.416.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Miller56570.54-0.040.57-0.0219-52415.317.7-2.3716.916.10.80
Grant Hill45450.490.010.49-0.0017-32015.816.5-0.7217.315.81.49
Darrell Armstrong49500.420.080.350.011401416.216.00.2217.115.91.16
Tracy McGrady57580.410.090.320.061221015.517.3-1.8117.614.72.81
Pat Garrity45470.350.150.21-0.1216-21815.317.1-1.7816.716.50.23
Shawn Kemp42450.230.27-0.04-0.0086216.316.00.3616.017.2-1.25
Ryan Humphrey20220.050.45-0.40-0.1577015.816.2-0.3915.616.9-1.24
Pat Burke50490.050.45-0.400.31-923-3217.015.02.0516.316.9-0.64
Jeryl Sasser14140.000.50-0.500.21-721-2818.415.72.6313.917.1-3.22
Andrew DeClercq2020-0.010.51-0.520.05-216-1817.415.81.6917.716.21.45
Jacque Vaughn3738-0.040.54-0.580.10-519-2417.015.51.4315.017.7-2.70

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LaPhonso Ellis1413-0.08-0.420.330.03-4-10615.516.8-1.2714.116.5-2.44
Mike James2624-0.11-0.390.28-0.141-151615.816.9-1.0816.616.00.66
Eddie House2625-0.11-0.390.27-0.05-2-121015.117.2-2.1117.515.61.87
Malik Allen6059-0.17-0.330.17-0.222-161816.417.0-0.5817.313.63.70
Sean Marks3231-0.20-0.300.100.09-10-4-617.116.30.7615.316.6-1.28
Travis Best4848-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.07-7-7017.315.71.6516.016.4-0.43
Caron Butler6563-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.14-5-9416.317.2-0.9315.717.2-1.52
Rasual Butler5958-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.01-11-3-816.217.2-1.0015.816.9-1.17
Brian Grant5958-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.09-11-3-816.616.40.2116.216.10.12
Eddie Jones5656-0.520.02-0.540.15-239-3217.714.63.1316.016.4-0.32


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.19,0.24,0.23,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 92, SEA 680.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.55,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.2%
SAS 127, DEN 990.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.16,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.1%
DAL 100, VAN 860.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.0%