inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Seattle SuperSonics 109 Excitement4.9 [810] MVPDale Ellis (SEA): +21.5%
Los Angeles Clippers 94 Comeback1.3 [1083] LVPLorenzen Wright (LAC): -19.7%


Seattle SuperSonics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dale Ellis0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.120.06-0.031472%0.221-0.004100%0.06
Gary Payton0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.00-0.001469%0.113-0.06887%0.01
Hersey Hawkins0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.010.02-0.02650%0.0500.002100%0.01
Eric Snow0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
James Cotton0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.011100%0.0010.002100%0.00
Detlef Schrempf-0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.010.01862%0.032-0.04887%0.02
Sam Perkins-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.010.000.02650%-0.0100.002100%0.01
David Wingate-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.03250%0.012-0.0200%0.00
Jim McIlvaine-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01367%0.022-0.0300%0.00
Greg Anthony-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01367%0.022-0.0400%0.00
Aaron Williams-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.000.002100%0.043-0.0700%0.00
Vin Baker-0.180,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.19-0.01-0.021247%-0.038-0.16667%-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brent Barry0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.050.02-0.031470%0.184-0.0920%-0.02
Maurice Taylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.010.01592%0.091-0.02367%-0.00
Stojko Vrankovic0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01175%0.0000.00250%-0.01
Pooh Richardson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
James Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01150%0.0000.002100%0.00
Rodney Rogers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.000.01950%-0.002-0.052100%0.01
Keith Closs0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.0110%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Eric Piatkowski0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.09-0.01-0.021131%-0.0700.00450%-0.01
Lamond Murray0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.09-0.01-0.031030%-0.042-0.0400%0.00
Darrick Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.12-0.04-0.021354%0.048-0.192100%0.01
Lorenzen Wright0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.20-0.01-0.021637%-0.143-0.051450%-0.06
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.81.425.815.029.71.035.3134.9
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SEA +24.9%
SEA +22.2%
LAC -3.9%
SEA +6.8%
SEA +0.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSEALACNBASEALACNBA
this game12.914.915.6105.890.4102.5
season15.315.5109.3101.0
opponent15.116.2109.2102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SEA12.012.314.912.612.9
LAC15.115.415.114.014.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gary Payton80810.57-0.070.650.0817-21913.012.50.4814.915.1-0.27
Hersey Hawkins56580.56-0.060.62-0.1725-103513.811.81.9616.313.13.21
Detlef Schrempf72730.460.040.42-0.0116-11714.29.84.4615.114.50.67
Vin Baker74730.400.100.31-0.011411314.19.84.2716.311.64.72
Jim McIlvaine42440.290.210.08-0.03114712.613.1-0.5016.313.92.42
Dale Ellis59590.130.37-0.250.16-116-1712.912.80.0913.716.5-2.84
David Wingate34330.080.42-0.340.11-116-1710.614.0-3.4014.015.4-1.40
Aaron Williams23240.070.43-0.360.07015-1510.613.5-2.9413.015.5-2.50
Sam Perkins44450.010.49-0.480.24-823-3112.013.6-1.6013.615.9-2.37
Eric Snow440.000.50-0.50-0.06213-116.013.2-7.177.715.2-7.46
James Cotton440.000.50-0.50-0.06213-116.013.2-7.177.715.2-7.46
Greg Anthony2322-0.070.57-0.65-0.01-217-1912.513.0-0.4815.514.80.67

Los Angeles Clippers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Pooh Richardson34-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-13117.715.1-7.476.013.2-7.17
James Robinson34-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-13117.715.1-7.476.013.2-7.17
Maurice Taylor4342-0.01-0.490.48-0.134-192314.015.6-1.6112.113.4-1.31
Keith Closs65-0.04-0.460.420.02-2-131118.014.73.2715.212.82.42
Brent Barry9088-0.17-0.330.17-0.08-3-12914.914.9-0.0113.310.33.00
Lorenzen Wright8787-0.24-0.260.02-0.09-5-10515.114.20.8213.410.23.13
Darrick Martin6969-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.22-2-131115.214.30.9212.813.1-0.38
Rodney Rogers4745-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.12-7-8114.415.4-0.9912.812.9-0.09
Stojko Vrankovic3940-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.03-11-4-717.013.73.2812.912.9-0.03
Lamond Murray8483-0.540.04-0.570.11-227-2914.914.9-0.0313.311.41.85
Eric Piatkowski4948-0.560.06-0.610.12-238-3114.515.3-0.8212.413.3-0.89


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.22,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
POR 83, LAC 720.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.17,0.18,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,095.3%
MIN 121, UTA 1040.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.9%
ATL 86, ORL 800.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.25,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.18,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,094.9%