NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	83		Excitement	3.9 [997]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): +13.6%
Los Angeles Clippers	72		Comeback	1.2 [1052]		LVP	Al Thornton (LAC): -10.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.04	0.03	-0.07	16	58%	0.14	2	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Joel Przybilla	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.01	10	70%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Roy	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.02	0.05	17	55%	0.05	2	-0.03	8	100%	0.02
Martell Webster	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	8	44%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Sergio Rodriguez	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	29%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Steve Blake	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	8	19%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	0.02	-0.03	9	20%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jarrett Jack	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	8	18%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	16	52%	0.08	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Nick Fazekas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	44%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	13	39%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.03	5	60%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	0.05	10	54%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Smush Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	8	39%	-0.04	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Al Thornton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.14	-0.01	-0.04	11	21%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	28.3	15.5	25.6	2.4	26.5	125.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +22.8%

POR +5.4%

POR +17.8%

POR +4.7%

LAC -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAC	NBA	POR	LAC	NBA
this game	18.1	16.4	15.4	100.0	85.7	105.7
season	16.7	15.6		105.5	99.5
opponent	15.1	15.4		106.8	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.1	19.6	17.1	20.6	18.1
LAC	18.3	17.4	15.6	14.4	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Blake	64	65	0.76	-0.26	1.01	-0.01	26	-15	41	18.2	17.5	0.78	17.4	13.2	4.23
LaMarcus Aldridge	64	65	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.10	18	-7	25	18.5	16.6	1.87	17.0	14.4	2.59
Brandon Roy	65	66	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.11	17	-6	23	18.7	15.9	2.79	16.9	14.7	2.24
Joel Przybilla	61	61	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.12	10	1	9	18.5	16.8	1.77	16.7	15.8	0.83
Martell Webster	40	43	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.06	7	4	3	17.4	18.7	-1.25	17.2	15.6	1.60
James Jones	43	41	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.12	4	7	-3	18.7	17.4	1.25	15.6	17.2	-1.60
Channing Frye	16	17	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	8	-5	15.6	18.7	-3.11	16.4	16.4	-0.09
Travis Outlaw	25	25	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.12	-9	20	-29	17.4	18.3	-0.90	14.4	17.3	-2.89
Sergio Rodriguez	8	8	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.06	-8	19	-27	15.1	18.4	-3.26	12.2	16.9	-4.62
Jarrett Jack	29	29	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.19	-13	24	-37	17.1	18.6	-1.44	14.3	17.5	-3.18

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Fazekas	31	33	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-12	13	14.6	17.5	-2.83	17.1	18.7	-1.58
Cuttino Mobley	58	58	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.37	10	-21	31	15.3	18.9	-3.61	19.7	14.3	5.37
Smush Parker	52	54	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.20	1	-12	13	15.0	18.8	-3.80	18.3	17.7	0.54
Dan Dickau	40	38	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.05	-8	-3	-5	17.6	15.3	2.33	18.1	18.1	0.01
Corey Maggette	72	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.15	-6	-5	-1	16.6	15.2	1.47	17.3	22.0	-4.66
Quinton Ross	34	33	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.06	-16	5	-21	18.0	15.4	2.59	17.1	18.7	-1.58
Josh Powell	64	62	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.11	-16	5	-21	17.2	13.8	3.38	18.9	15.7	3.16
Al Thornton	69	67	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	0.02	-21	10	-31	16.8	14.6	2.23	17.5	20.6	-3.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.17,0.18,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 113, TOR 97	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.16,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
SEA 109, LAC 94	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.22,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
GSW 104, HOU 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	95.2%