NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	85		Excitement	8.3 [177]		MVP	Dell Curry (CHH): +25.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	84		Comeback	4.8 [113]		LVP	Brevin Knight (CLE): -35.6%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dell Curry	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.06	0.16	-0.03	8	69%	0.26	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.22,0.33,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.08	-0.03	23	58%	0.21	2	-0.04	9	100%	0.07
David Wesley	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.16,0.05	-0.05	0.08	-0.02	4	37%	0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Reid	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
B.J. Armstrong	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	71%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Corey Beck	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Farmer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	4	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vlade Divac	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.05	-0.01	10	60%	0.05	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	10	37%	-0.07	1	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Bobby Phills	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	8	28%	-0.09	3	-0.14	2	50%	-0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.04	0.13	-0.02	12	56%	0.19	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	6	87%	0.14	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Henry James	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.03	-0.04	6	17%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.09	-0.09	0.00	-0.09	-0.01	16	62%	0.04	4	-0.13	8	87%	0.04
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	5	23%	-0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	9	27%	-0.11	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.02
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.06	-0.12	-0.00	9	62%	0.12	5	-0.29	3	100%	0.02
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.02,-0.36	-0.36	-0.03	-0.34	-0.01	8	35%	-0.36	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.4	31.2	15.5	24.0	1.6	30.4	129.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +58.2%

CLE -13.1%

CLE -9.8%

CLE -2.7%

CHH +17.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	CLE	NBA	CHH	CLE	NBA
this game	18.5	14.8	15.6	97.7	97.7	102.5
season	15.7	15.4		104.0	99.4
opponent	16.0	15.9		97.0	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	20.0	17.0	17.3	19.9	18.5
CLE	12.7	15.7	14.0	16.9	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glen Rice	72	72	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.35	10	-9	19	18.4	18.9	-0.50	14.9	13.8	1.16
David Wesley	51	51	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.64	0	1	-1	17.2	20.4	-3.15	14.9	14.5	0.46
Anthony Mason	68	68	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.55	1	0	1	18.7	17.8	0.93	15.3	12.7	2.57
Vlade Divac	57	58	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.50	-4	5	-9	20.3	15.2	5.11	14.6	15.1	-0.52
Bobby Phills	53	52	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.36	-1	2	-3	18.2	19.1	-0.94	14.4	15.3	-0.89
Matt Geiger	22	21	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.07	13	-12	25	14.3	19.9	-5.62	15.7	14.5	1.21
Corey Beck	5	4	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.04	1	0	1	15.4	18.7	-3.31	16.5	14.7	1.83
Dell Curry	41	40	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.15	-3	4	-7	19.8	17.4	2.39	14.8	14.7	0.13
Tony Farmer	3	4	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.03	-5	6	-11	15.0	18.6	-3.64	13.5	14.8	-1.32
B.J. Armstrong	36	35	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.17	1	0	1	20.4	17.2	3.15	14.5	14.9	-0.46
J.R. Reid	27	25	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.04	-8	9	-17	17.7	18.9	-1.18	12.9	15.5	-2.59

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Ferry	24	27	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.01	5	-6	11	14.5	14.9	-0.41	18.9	18.3	0.54
Henry James	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	1	-3	15.1	14.7	0.39	12.9	19.2	-6.35
Vitaly Potapenko	20	22	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.09	-11	10	-21	15.2	14.6	0.58	20.1	18.0	2.11
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	56	55	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.45	7	-8	15	14.7	14.8	-0.12	17.5	20.2	-2.74
Brevin Knight	41	40	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.56	10	-11	21	14.8	14.7	0.09	21.0	16.4	4.64
Wesley Person	81	82	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.46	4	-5	9	14.6	17.8	-3.23	17.9	28.0	-10.06
Derek Anderson	64	64	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.06	-15	14	-29	14.8	14.7	0.10	18.6	18.3	0.23
Shawn Kemp	71	70	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.50	-1	0	-1	15.0	13.7	1.24	18.7	17.9	0.79
Cedric Henderson	63	65	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.59	-2	1	-3	14.7	15.0	-0.39	18.5	18.5	-0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.7,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.58,0.43,0.57,0.53,0.43,0.39,0.54,0.47,0.37,0.66,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 120, PHX 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.67,0.59,0	90.7%
IND 92, BOS 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.76,0.82,0.71,0.75,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.32,0.37,0	89.7%
MIN 96, POR 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.6,0.53,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.16,0	89.3%