NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	97		Excitement	6.8 [426]		MVP	Darrick Martin (LAC): +21.5%
Los Angeles Clippers	99		Comeback	1.1 [829]		LVP	Mitch Richmond (SAC): -19.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lawrence Funderburke	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.13	0.01	0.12	0.00	7	57%	0.17	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Billy Owens	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	16	62%	0.14	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Hurley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	5	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Terry Dehere	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	5	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.05	-0.02	10	20%	-0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	21	43%	-0.06	4	-0.11	7	43%	-0.04
Mitch Richmond	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.19	0.03	-0.19	0.04	29	53%	-0.12	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.08,0.22	0.22	0.03	0.16	-0.02	13	56%	0.24	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.05	-0.02	16	51%	0.09	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	13	66%	0.06	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.03
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	9	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.00
Stojko Vrankovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	87%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Closs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	4	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Pooh Richardson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	9	22%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.09	-0.01	9	71%	-0.01	3	-0.07	10	50%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	1.6	28.2	15.6	24.1	1.8	34.8	127.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +42.8%

LAC +16.9%

SAC -30.6%

LAC +10.9%

LAC +9.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAC	NBA	SAC	LAC	NBA
this game	16.5	15.0	15.6	106.6	107.6	102.5
season	15.2	15.5		98.5	101.0
opponent	15.1	15.3		109.2	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	16.4	16.1	17.9	15.8	16.5
LAC	14.9	14.5	18.1	13.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Dehere	33	34	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-4	6	17.6	15.9	1.70	15.8	14.5	1.32
Bobby Hurley	13	14	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.30	8	-10	18	13.8	16.9	-3.09	13.2	15.3	-2.09
Olden Polynice	37	37	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.16	0	-2	2	16.9	16.2	0.62	15.4	14.7	0.61
Corliss Williamson	73	74	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.23	1	-3	4	16.9	14.7	2.21	15.2	13.9	1.30
Mitch Richmond	77	78	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.42	5	-7	12	16.4	16.9	-0.51	15.4	12.4	3.02
Lawrence Funderburke	29	30	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.31	0	-2	2	14.6	17.4	-2.75	13.5	15.7	-2.26
Anthony Johnson	33	32	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.09	-9	7	-16	16.3	16.6	-0.35	15.3	14.8	0.50
Michael Stewart	45	46	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.13	-8	6	-14	16.7	16.3	0.34	14.7	15.2	-0.50
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	30	30	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.01	-12	10	-22	16.4	16.5	-0.09	13.9	15.5	-1.57
Billy Owens	85	85	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.50	3	-5	8	16.7	14.0	2.67	15.1	14.0	1.07

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrick Martin	52	50	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.35	3	-1	4	14.1	16.2	-2.10	16.0	17.1	-1.05
Maurice Taylor	50	47	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.34	3	-1	4	13.8	16.4	-2.52	15.6	17.4	-1.81
Brent Barry	80	80	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.43	-1	3	-4	15.2	13.8	1.33	16.5	16.2	0.36
Lamond Murray	79	78	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.42	-1	3	-4	15.1	14.5	0.61	16.4	16.8	-0.32
Rodney Rogers	65	66	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.46	-6	8	-14	15.0	15.0	-0.07	16.6	16.3	0.30
Stojko Vrankovic	33	32	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	-2	6	14.8	15.1	-0.22	16.4	16.5	-0.09
Eric Piatkowski	13	13	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	-1	4	14.5	15.1	-0.61	16.8	16.4	0.32
James Robinson	12	11	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.02	3	-1	4	13.8	15.2	-1.33	16.2	16.5	-0.36
Lorenzen Wright	28	28	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.00	3	-1	4	15.9	14.6	1.30	17.0	16.3	0.78
Pooh Richardson	40	41	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.10	-1	3	-4	16.2	14.1	2.10	17.1	16.0	1.05
Keith Closs	8	9	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.07	0	2	-2	19.7	14.5	5.21	19.0	16.2	2.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.81,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.86,0.81,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.94,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 103, PHI 106	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.89,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.91,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.9,0.85,0.86,0.83,1	94.7%
ORL 102, CHA 108	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.93,0.93,0.94,1,1	94.1%
ATL 85, CHA 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.77,0.79,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.5%