NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	98		Excitement	4.4 [908]		MVP	Chris Webber (WAS): +13.2%
San Antonio Spurs	94		Comeback	1.1 [299]		LVP	Monty Williams (SAS): -7.3%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13	-0.02	0.10	-0.06	23	50%	0.20	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03
Rod Strickland	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07	0.02	0.01	-0.04	11	66%	0.10	2	-0.03	13	54%	-0.02
Juwan Howard	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	18	58%	0.05	1	-0.02	7	43%	-0.03
Chris Whitney	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Terry Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02	-0.07	0.02	-0.03	13	44%	-0.00	1	-0.02	8	37%	-0.09

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	0.00	0.04	21	68%	0.11	3	-0.05	8	75%	-0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Alexander	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.01	0.05	11	58%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	85%	0.07	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	15	60%	0.08	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Chuck Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sean Elliott	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	6	39%	-0.04	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	8	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	1.7	26.0	15.0	25.1	2.4	38.6	131.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +42.6%

SAS -10.3%

WAS +2.6%

WAS +13.4%

WAS +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	SAS	NBA	WAS	SAS	NBA
this game	15.9	15.5	15.6	107.7	102.2	102.5
season	15.1	15.9		102.8	100.9
opponent	15.9	15.6		97.2	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.7	15.9	16.4	16.7	15.9
SAS	18.0	14.1	17.0	13.3	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juwan Howard	89	90	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.38	4	0	4	15.9	17.0	-1.08	15.5	16.5	-0.99
Rod Strickland	82	84	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.34	4	0	4	16.2	13.9	2.28	15.5	16.0	-0.51
Calbert Cheaney	82	83	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.50	-2	6	-8	16.4	12.2	4.13	15.2	18.8	-3.60
Terry Davis	75	77	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.23	7	-3	10	16.0	15.7	0.31	16.0	13.2	2.79
Chris Webber	68	70	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	1	2	16.1	15.5	0.62	15.7	15.1	0.58
Tracy Murray	45	42	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.24	-2	6	-8	15.1	16.8	-1.74	15.0	16.0	-1.02
Chris Whitney	14	14	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.06	6	-2	8	14.1	16.3	-2.13	16.5	15.4	1.14

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Rose	10	10	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.08	1	-5	6	13.5	15.8	-2.28	19.3	15.5	3.77
Will Perdue	21	20	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.09	-6	2	-8	16.0	15.4	0.54	14.3	16.4	-2.11
Chuck Person	29	30	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.10	0	-4	4	14.3	16.1	-1.78	14.5	16.7	-2.21
Monty Williams	36	38	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-4	4	16.9	14.7	2.23	16.6	15.5	1.18
Cory Alexander	51	51	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.27	4	-8	12	14.4	17.0	-2.56	16.3	15.5	0.84
Jaren Jackson	23	21	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	-10	6	-16	13.4	16.2	-2.80	12.9	16.9	-4.01
David Robinson	73	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.35	-1	-3	2	15.5	15.6	-0.12	15.5	17.5	-2.00
Tim Duncan	78	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.30	-3	-1	-2	15.9	13.7	2.14	16.5	13.0	3.53
Avery Johnson	74	72	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.36	-2	-2	0	16.3	12.3	3.98	16.2	14.9	1.33
Sean Elliott	65	65	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.40	-3	-1	-2	15.9	14.7	1.23	16.4	14.8	1.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 127, NOP 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.25,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
DEN 103, DET 84	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
CHI 103, VAN 85	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%