NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	127		Excitement	3.6 [1086]		MVP	Joe Johnson (UTA): +18.1%
New Orleans Pelicans	94		Comeback	1.1 [943]		LVP	Buddy Hield (NOP): -3.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.26	0.04	0.12	14	93%	0.18	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
George Hill	0.14	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.04	0.02	11	63%	0.14	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.02
Gordon Hayward	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	16	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Favors	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	7	75%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	-0.00
Dante Exum	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	79%	0.05	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Withey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	-0.01	0.07	8	65%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	7	57%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	10	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrence Jones	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.02	16	60%	0.09	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Donatas Motiejunas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	3	37%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	12	41%	0.01	1	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	5	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tim Frazier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.04	4	61%	-0.00	1	0.00	10	90%	-0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	11	59%	0.06	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	12	56%	0.04	4	-0.08	3	0%	-0.05
Buddy Hield	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.07	7	57%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.4	2.5	27.4	15.5	23.6	2.5	29.5	121.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +21.9%

UTA +5.2%

UTA +12.2%

UTA +9.5%

UTA +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	NOP	NBA	UTA	NOP	NBA
this game	16.2	14.5	14.8	135.1	100.0	107.7
season	16.1	14.1		108.0	104.1
opponent	15.0	15.0		106.2	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.9	18.9	16.1	14.2	16.2
NOP	14.1	13.9	15.2	14.6	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordon Hayward	49	49	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.05	21	12	9	16.8	15.5	1.37	15.2	13.6	1.56
Rudy Gobert	56	56	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.31	29	4	25	16.2	16.1	0.13	15.5	12.9	2.67
George Hill	48	47	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.21	17	16	1	16.5	15.8	0.69	15.1	13.9	1.21
Alec Burks	44	45	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.10	12	21	-9	16.1	16.3	-0.17	13.5	15.3	-1.82
Joe Ingles	42	41	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.40	22	11	11	16.6	15.9	0.71	16.4	13.0	3.38
Derrick Favors	49	49	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.43	23	10	13	16.4	16.0	0.39	15.3	13.6	1.73
Dante Exum	46	47	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.26	16	17	-1	15.8	16.5	-0.69	13.9	15.1	-1.21
Joe Johnson	47	47	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.39	17	16	1	16.3	16.0	0.28	14.1	14.8	-0.70
Trey Lyles	29	28	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.02	2	31	-29	15.3	16.6	-1.26	13.0	15.1	-2.08
Boris Diaw	30	31	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.20	7	26	-19	16.2	16.2	0.03	13.4	15.0	-1.55
Raul Neto	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	34	-35	14.6	16.3	-1.70	10.0	14.9	-4.87
Jeff Withey	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	33	-33	15.0	16.3	-1.34	12.3	14.7	-2.47
Shelvin Mack	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	33	-33	15.0	16.3	-1.34	12.3	14.7	-2.47

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donatas Motiejunas	39	40	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.07	-2	-31	29	12.8	15.6	-2.84	16.8	15.7	1.03
Langston Galloway	25	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.34	-12	-21	9	14.6	14.4	0.19	14.2	16.9	-2.70
Tim Frazier	50	49	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.42	-15	-18	3	13.3	15.8	-2.52	16.2	16.1	0.09
Dante Cunningham	46	47	-0.06	-0.45	0.39	0.18	-8	-25	17	13.3	15.6	-2.34	16.7	15.7	1.04
E'Twaun Moore	40	40	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.03	-7	-26	19	12.8	15.6	-2.80	16.1	16.2	-0.10
Buddy Hield	36	37	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.11	-15	-18	3	15.8	13.6	2.14	15.9	16.4	-0.52
Solomon Hill	49	48	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.27	-24	-9	-15	15.6	13.2	2.45	15.9	16.5	-0.54
Terrence Jones	69	67	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.04	-17	-16	-1	14.4	14.7	-0.36	17.1	13.9	3.16
Jrue Holiday	58	58	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.38	-29	-4	-25	15.8	12.4	3.40	16.5	15.7	0.79
Anthony Davis	58	59	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	0.50	-36	3	-39	15.6	12.6	2.95	15.3	17.7	-2.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.25,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 98, SAS 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.02,0	96.6%
CHI 103, VAN 85	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
DEN 103, DET 84	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%