NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	111		Excitement	12.2 [12]		MVP	Michael Jordan (CHI): +23.6%
Los Angeles Clippers	102		Comeback	17.4 [88]		LVP	Rodney Rogers (LAC): -23.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Jordan	0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.14,-0.16,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.17,-0.17,-0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24	-0.07	0.29	-0.02	38	52%	0.37	4	-0.14	19	68%	-0.25
Toni Kukoc	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.05	13	42%	0.02	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.06
Jud Buechler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	5	20%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bill Wennington	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rusty LaRue	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.03	-0.09	0.01	6	67%	-0.00	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.02	-0.09	-0.00	4	83%	0.00	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Jason Caffey	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	2	40%	0.00	3	-0.15	1	0%	-0.03
Luc Longley	-0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.02	-0.17	0.02	18	56%	-0.06	4	-0.15	3	67%	-0.04

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.03	0.16	0.00	11	55%	0.18	0	0.00	9	89%	0.20
Keith Closs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
James Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	6	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.06
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.12,-0.18,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.03	-0.00	16	55%	0.14	3	-0.16	12	67%	-0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.01	-0.09	0.02	14	55%	0.04	2	-0.15	1	0%	-0.03
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.11	0.00	4	37%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pooh Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.09	-0.02	12	31%	-0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.11	-0.03	17	44%	0.08	3	-0.23	2	0%	-0.03
Rodney Rogers	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.14	-0.11	-0.02	10	27%	-0.08	3	-0.15	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	25.6	1.7	27.0	15.7	24.3	2.7	37.3	1.0	26.7	1.6	14.0	177.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	1.6	18.4	1.6	18.4	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +59.0%

LAC -47.0%

CHI +34.8%

CHI +0.2%

CHI +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	LAC	NBA	CHI	LAC	NBA
this game	15.8	15.5	15.6	99.1	92.7	102.5
season	16.2	15.5		105.8	101.0
opponent	15.1	15.8		109.2	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHI	16.4	14.1	14.7	16.5	17.2	15.6
LAC	12.9	17.2	15.9	15.5	16.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luc Longley	95	93	0.95	-0.45	1.39	0.33	21	-12	33	16.1	14.1	2.00	16.0	12.9	3.07
Toni Kukoc	82	80	0.87	-0.37	1.25	0.20	23	-14	37	15.7	16.1	-0.35	15.8	14.7	1.10
Rusty LaRue	49	47	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.15	23	-14	37	15.9	15.7	0.15	16.8	14.6	2.18
Michael Jordan	99	97	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.22	15	-6	21	16.1	13.8	2.31	15.9	13.0	2.88
Dennis Rodman	89	90	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.23	14	-5	19	16.6	12.8	3.76	16.4	11.7	4.69
Jason Caffey	16	15	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.04	-7	16	-23	11.8	16.5	-4.67	12.8	16.0	-3.17
Jud Buechler	10	11	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.02	-5	14	-19	15.5	15.8	-0.34	15.5	15.5	-0.09
Scott Burrell	20	19	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.06	-9	18	-27	16.3	15.7	0.65	14.3	15.8	-1.48
Bill Wennington	16	17	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.02	-10	19	-29	15.0	15.9	-0.95	12.9	16.0	-3.07
Randy Brown	33	33	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	0.07	-12	21	-33	14.5	16.4	-1.84	13.9	16.2	-2.37
Ron Harper	42	39	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	-0.12	-8	17	-25	15.3	16.1	-0.80	13.5	16.6	-3.10

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Rogers	52	54	0.40	-0.90	1.29	0.28	4	-13	17	15.0	16.0	-0.98	16.0	15.7	0.33
Brent Barry	74	76	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.13	9	-18	27	14.7	17.2	-2.46	15.9	15.6	0.38
Pooh Richardson	99	99	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.11	4	-13	17	15.7	13.9	1.81	16.0	14.2	1.88
James Robinson	14	15	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.28	-10	1	-11	16.1	15.4	0.69	14.0	16.1	-2.09
Eric Piatkowski	31	31	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.02	-5	-4	-1	15.2	15.7	-0.43	14.4	16.3	-1.93
Darrick Martin	6	8	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.01	-9	0	-9	17.2	15.4	1.72	12.5	16.1	-3.57
Keith Closs	9	10	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.26	-2	-7	5	11.7	15.9	-4.21	8.9	16.5	-7.59
Lamond Murray	100	102	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.22	-5	-4	-1	15.6	14.5	1.14	16.3	10.8	5.50
Lorenzen Wright	104	104	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.33	-9	0	-9	15.6	14.2	1.45	16.4	7.9	8.55
Maurice Taylor	53	52	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.42	-13	4	-17	16.7	14.4	2.28	15.7	15.9	-0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.59,0.55,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.42,0.41,0.6,0.78,0.62,0.46,0.32,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.11,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 117, IND 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.46,0.43,0.84,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.42,0.54,0.31,0.37,0.32,0,0	86.6%
UTA 120, DET 114	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.63,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.83,0.59,0.39,0.14,0.29,0.1,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.59,0.46,0.31,0.21,0.32,0.26,0	84.6%
BKN 115, WAS 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.62,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.68,0.67,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.73,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.6,0.54,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.58,0.41,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.28,0.32,0.28,0.54,0.69,0.79,0.95,0.98,0.54,0.55,0.15,0.15,0.04,0	84.1%