NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	120		Excitement	13.5 [8]		MVP	Richard Hamilton (DET): +66.6%
Detroit Pistons	114		Comeback	5.8 [145]		LVP	Antonio McDyess (DET): -28.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0.56	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.52,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56	0.15	0.44	0.03	18	66%	0.61	2	-0.04	8	62%	-0.03
Paul Millsap	0.35	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.34,0.35	0.07	0.29	0.02	16	56%	0.37	1	-0.02	11	73%	0.02
Mehmet Okur	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.18,0.28,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.10	0.14	-0.00	20	57%	0.27	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Ronnie Brewer	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.03	0.01	12	52%	0.05	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Matt Harpring	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	58%	0.02	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Brevin Knight	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.27,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	8	35%	0.04	4	-0.19	1	100%	0.02
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.26,-0.33,-0.28	-0.04	-0.23	0.00	8	50%	-0.06	3	-0.21	8	75%	0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.67	0.67	0.16	0.52	0.01	16	79%	0.84	4	-0.17	6	100%	0.06
Allen Iverson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.24,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	24	64%	0.48	6	-0.38	11	100%	0.13
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.33,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	15	52%	0.26	4	-0.26	3	100%	0.01
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.06,0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.08	-0.01	10	60%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Walter Herrmann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.07	-0.02	2	50%	-0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.10	-0.00	8	39%	-0.10	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.09	-0.20	-0.01	10	30%	-0.13	2	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	22.5	2.6	29.2	17.4	27.6	2.6	33.8	0.8	13.0	1.8	16.0	167.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	2.0	41.4	2.0	41.4	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET -25.6%

UTA +18.6%

UTA +10.4%

UTA +45.6%

UTA +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DET	NBA	UTA	DET	NBA
this game	16.0	15.2	15.5	108.1	101.8	106.4
season	15.3	16.9		107.7	104.9
opponent	15.7	15.0		106.2	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
UTA	16.2	15.4	15.4	17.4	15.7	16.0
DET	15.1	15.9	16.6	13.9	14.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mehmet Okur	82	84	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.43	14	-8	22	15.4	17.9	-2.58	15.1	15.6	-0.51
Kyle Korver	68	68	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.29	9	-3	12	16.0	16.0	0.01	14.6	16.1	-1.53
Paul Millsap	98	98	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.28	8	-2	10	15.9	16.8	-0.93	15.2	15.1	0.05
Deron Williams	76	79	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.06	11	-5	16	15.6	17.0	-1.46	15.5	14.4	1.13
Matt Harpring	16	15	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.20	6	0	6	17.1	15.8	1.28	15.9	15.1	0.78
CJ Miles	31	32	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	5	-4	15.4	16.3	-0.93	16.9	14.5	2.41
Andrei Kirilenko	72	73	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	8	-10	16.7	14.9	1.78	14.6	16.3	-1.76
Ronnie Brewer	43	44	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	9	-12	16.0	16.0	-0.01	16.1	14.6	1.53
Kosta Koufos	11	10	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	8	-10	17.2	15.9	1.28	16.3	15.1	1.22
Ronnie Price	14	14	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.07	-7	13	-20	16.7	15.9	0.79	13.5	15.4	-1.93
Brevin Knight	24	23	-0.38	0.88	-1.27	-0.06	-11	17	-28	17.8	15.5	2.30	14.9	15.3	-0.35

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Bynum	9	8	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.05	6	-12	18	12.4	15.4	-2.98	17.1	15.9	1.18
Kwame Brown	6	7	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.04	2	-8	10	18.7	15.0	3.68	15.7	16.0	-0.33
Richard Hamilton	90	89	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.15	-2	-4	2	15.5	13.9	1.65	16.0	16.1	-0.14
Rodney Stuckey	61	63	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.07	0	-6	6	15.4	14.9	0.56	15.5	16.7	-1.13
Rasheed Wallace	68	66	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.24	5	-11	16	14.8	15.7	-0.89	16.4	15.4	0.98
Jason Maxiell	32	31	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.05	-10	4	-14	14.5	15.5	-0.96	15.7	16.2	-0.49
Walter Herrmann	9	9	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-3	0	11.9	15.5	-3.59	14.6	16.2	-1.60
Allen Iverson	103	103	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-10	4	-14	15.4	13.0	2.38	16.0	16.5	-0.51
Arron Afflalo	34	33	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.22	-5	-1	-4	14.7	15.4	-0.65	17.2	15.6	1.60
Tayshaun Prince	84	82	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.44	-5	-1	-4	14.8	16.4	-1.65	15.8	16.6	-0.71
Antonio McDyess	64	64	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.60	-8	2	-10	16.2	13.8	2.37	16.1	15.9	0.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.63,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.83,0.59,0.39,0.14,0.29,0.1,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.59,0.46,0.31,0.21,0.32,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 118, CLE 117	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.38,0.56,0.44,0.4,0.66,0.7,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.6,0.4,0.31,0.45,0.14,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.45,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.42,0	87.4%
LAL 112, SAC 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.47,0.39,0.15,0.07,0.16,0.42,0.46,0.75,0.84,0.95,0.73,0.54,0.39,0.21,0.06,0.02,0	86.6%
CHI 122, NYK 119	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.79,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.47,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.16,0.58,0.46,0.68,0.55,0.43,0.29,0.46,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.42,0	86.0%