NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	118		Excitement	16.2 [1]		MVP	Nicolas Batum (POR): +125.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	117		Comeback	15.7 [69]		LVP	Dion Waiters (CLE): -15.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nicolas Batum	1.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.38,1.26	0.10	1.15	-0.01	15	61%	1.29	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Joel Freeland	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.02	0.00	4	80%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
JJ Hickson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.07	0.08	-0.01	0.01	5	79%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.16,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.06	0.01	0.08	0.02	21	47%	0.10	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.15
Jared Jeffries	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nolan Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0	-0.04	0.04	-0.00	12	39%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Will Barton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	70%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	7	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.18,0.18,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.1,-0.1	0.03	-0.12	0.00	17	67%	0.36	6	-0.46	2	100%	0.06

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.5,0.49	0.49	0.07	0.42	0.00	17	59%	0.62	2	-0.13	3	33%	-0.02
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.08	0.02	8	62%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donald Sloan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.07	-0.00	5	71%	0.17	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	-0.00	0.01	11	68%	0.13	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.05
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	-0.00	9	58%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Jeremy Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.1,0.03,0.15,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.07	0.01	12	46%	0.13	3	-0.12	4	100%	0.07
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.15,0.21,0.13,0	0.00	0.04	-0.04	0.00	11	58%	0.20	1	-0.20	2	100%	0.03
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.02	-0.01	9	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.26,-0.06,0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	17	33%	-0.05	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	28.0	14.8	27.5	1.8	29.3	0.8	16.0	1.8	17.8	165.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	2.0	17.3	2.0	17.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +71.8%

CLE -11.1%

CLE -62.5%

POR +41.0%

POR +10.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	CLE	NBA	POR	CLE	NBA
this game	15.8	17.2	15.4	112.4	110.4	104.1
season	15.8	15.5		104.3	102.5
opponent	15.2	15.3		107.7	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
POR	15.9	13.7	15.9	17.8	15.9	15.8
CLE	16.8	16.9	16.8	19.2	16.5	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Hickson	64	65	1.01	-0.51	1.53	0.66	12	-11	23	15.3	16.5	-1.22	17.2	17.2	-0.05
Nicolas Batum	80	84	0.96	-0.46	1.43	0.49	16	-15	31	15.4	17.1	-1.74	18.2	13.3	4.88
Wesley Matthews	80	80	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.60	7	-6	13	15.9	15.4	0.46	17.1	17.5	-0.41
Damian Lillard	82	82	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.55	4	-3	7	15.6	16.3	-0.71	17.5	16.2	1.32
LaMarcus Aldridge	77	80	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.41	4	-3	7	16.3	14.4	1.91	17.0	17.6	-0.57
Joel Freeland	24	23	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.03	0	1	-1	15.4	15.9	-0.54	15.5	17.7	-2.18
Jared Jeffries	10	9	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	5	-9	15.9	15.8	0.12	20.1	16.9	3.19
Nolan Smith	23	24	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.13	-3	4	-7	16.3	15.6	0.71	16.2	17.5	-1.32
Meyers Leonard	35	35	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	0.02	-10	11	-21	15.8	15.8	0.01	17.9	16.8	1.08
Luke Babbitt	26	25	-0.41	0.91	-1.31	-0.20	-7	8	-15	15.2	16.0	-0.74	14.6	18.0	-3.39
Will Barton	24	23	-0.46	0.96	-1.42	-0.05	-14	15	-29	17.4	15.3	2.11	16.7	17.3	-0.69

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Gibson	45	44	0.35	-0.85	1.20	0.15	7	-8	15	17.0	17.3	-0.33	15.8	15.8	-0.03
Omri Casspi	38	37	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.16	2	-3	5	16.3	17.7	-1.36	15.8	15.8	-0.01
Donald Sloan	28	29	0.21	-0.71	0.93	0.07	5	-6	11	16.4	17.5	-1.13	16.8	15.4	1.43
Tyler Zeller	56	57	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.47	10	-11	21	16.7	17.8	-1.08	15.9	15.7	0.15
Dion Waiters	63	61	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.13	-2	1	-3	18.2	15.8	2.39	15.8	15.8	-0.09
Tristan Thompson	70	69	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.03	-12	11	-23	17.7	16.2	1.46	15.7	16.0	-0.36
Anderson Varejao	76	76	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.56	0	-1	1	16.8	18.1	-1.27	15.9	15.5	0.38
Alonzo Gee	68	68	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.53	-3	2	-5	17.7	16.3	1.36	15.8	15.8	0.01
Jeremy Pargo	67	66	-0.92	0.42	-1.34	-0.60	-11	10	-21	17.3	17.1	0.22	15.3	16.6	-1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.28,0.38,0.56,0.44,0.4,0.66,0.7,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.6,0.4,0.31,0.45,0.14,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.45,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 120, DET 114	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.63,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.83,0.59,0.39,0.14,0.29,0.1,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.59,0.46,0.31,0.21,0.32,0.26,0	87.4%
CLE 97, SAC 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.29,0.45,0.52,0.57,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.71,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.53,0.38,0.45,0.35,0.73,0	86.2%
PHX 105, DET 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.62,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.6,0.46,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.74,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.33,0.74,1	86.0%