NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	112		Excitement	12.7 [5]		MVP	Omri Casspi (SAC): +11.2%
Sacramento Kings	103		Comeback	39.2 [41]		LVP	Tyreke Evans (SAC): -35.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.15,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.12,0.23,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.06	0.01	14	63%	0.25	3	-0.15	10	60%	-0.30
Sasha Vujacic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Shannon Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.08,0.03,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.06	-0.00	12	56%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Josh Powell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.17,-0.1,-0.24,-0.24,-0.11,0,0,0	0.09	-0.09	0.01	30	61%	0.24	5	-0.24	2	100%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Morrison	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.05	-0.11	0.00	11	42%	-0.10	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Andrew Bynum	-0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.15	-0.09	-0.01	9	15%	-0.19	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Lamar Odom	-0.28	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.28,-0.28	-0.13	-0.15	0.00	15	43%	-0.14	6	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.14,0.14,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.00	0.11	-0.00	14	44%	0.22	1	-0.11	6	67%	-0.10
Donte Greene	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.02	-0.04	12	62%	0.18	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jon Brockman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	0.08	-0.10	0.01	19	61%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	12	37%	-0.05	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Ime Udoka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	8	52%	-0.02	3	-0.10	5	60%	-0.03
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	14	29%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.27,-0.32,-0.32,-0.34,-0.34,-0.36,-0.36	-0.36	-0.15	-0.22	-0.01	23	39%	-0.11	5	-0.25	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	24.4	2.0	33.3	15.7	25.4	3.4	32.4	2.6	12.7	2.8	14.4	169.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	2.0	39.8	2.0	39.8	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +22.4%

SAC -23.3%

LAL +15.2%

LAL +15.6%

LAL +20.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAC	NBA	LAL	SAC	NBA
this game	15.2	16.8	15.3	103.7	94.5	106.0
season	15.7	15.2		107.9	103.7
opponent	15.0	15.1		108.5	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAL	16.0	13.8	14.6	16.0	15.9	15.2
SAC	14.0	16.2	18.1	18.2	18.3	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	93	94	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.42	12	-3	15	15.4	14.3	1.14	16.6	18.5	-1.91
Pau Gasol	96	97	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.28	11	-2	13	15.1	16.5	-1.41	16.7	17.7	-1.05
Kobe Bryant	93	96	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.33	9	0	9	15.4	14.6	0.75	16.8	17.2	-0.47
Derek Fisher	76	76	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.44	3	6	-3	15.4	14.9	0.44	16.4	17.7	-1.31
Shannon Brown	53	51	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.17	9	0	9	15.4	15.1	0.36	16.9	16.7	0.23
Sasha Vujacic	28	28	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.10	5	4	1	14.8	15.4	-0.58	18.4	16.3	2.17
Josh Powell	4	4	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	8	-7	17.2	15.2	2.08	25.2	16.5	8.75
Adam Morrison	8	9	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	9	-9	11.1	15.6	-4.46	14.6	17.0	-2.46
Jordan Farmar	19	19	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.10	0	9	-9	15.6	15.2	0.40	17.1	16.8	0.29
Andrew Bynum	70	71	-0.41	0.91	-1.31	-0.26	-5	14	-19	15.3	15.2	0.06	16.8	16.8	0.08

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donte Greene	48	51	0.99	-1.49	2.47	0.46	18	-27	45	14.3	18.8	-4.51	15.9	14.7	1.20
Omri Casspi	58	58	0.12	-0.62	0.73	0.23	-4	-5	1	17.4	16.2	1.17	15.1	15.4	-0.24
Jon Brockman	39	38	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-7	5	18.7	15.8	2.92	14.8	15.5	-0.71
Sergio Rodriguez	15	16	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.11	-6	-3	-3	17.5	16.7	0.75	14.1	15.4	-1.32
Andres Nocioni	12	10	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.00	-4	-5	1	17.6	16.7	0.86	17.3	15.0	2.26
Spencer Hawes	62	61	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.21	-3	-6	3	15.5	18.6	-3.09	15.0	15.6	-0.57
Beno Udrih	87	87	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.30	-2	-7	5	16.5	18.0	-1.43	15.4	14.7	0.67
Jason Thompson	75	73	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.42	-8	-1	-7	17.5	15.3	2.26	15.5	14.7	0.75
Ime Udoka	41	40	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.28	-14	5	-19	18.3	15.9	2.33	14.9	15.4	-0.48
Tyreke Evans	90	89	-0.88	0.38	-1.26	-0.56	-11	2	-13	16.4	18.6	-2.13	15.0	16.5	-1.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.47,0.39,0.15,0.07,0.16,0.42,0.46,0.75,0.84,0.95,0.73,0.54,0.39,0.21,0.06,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 118, NOP 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.56,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.59,0.33,0.39,0.21,0.55,0.73,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.77,0.83,0.46,0.55,0.28,0.33,0.1,0	87.2%
UTA 120, DET 114	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.63,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.83,0.59,0.39,0.14,0.29,0.1,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.59,0.46,0.31,0.21,0.32,0.26,0	86.6%
BKN 115, WAS 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.62,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.68,0.67,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.73,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.6,0.54,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.58,0.41,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.28,0.32,0.28,0.54,0.69,0.79,0.95,0.98,0.54,0.55,0.15,0.15,0.04,0	86.4%