inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 118 Excitement12.9 [10] MVPWill Barton (DEN): +41.8%
New Orleans Pelicans 111 Comeback10.4 [76] LVPJusuf Nurkic (DEN): -15.4%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Will Barton0.420,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.420.160.280.021674%0.451-0.032100%0.00
Kenneth Faried0.380,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.38-0.000.390.001750%0.422-0.036100%0.04
Jameer Nelson0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.2,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.120.020.10-0.001656%0.263-0.1400%0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.001100%0.041-0.031100%0.00
Erick Green0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
JJ Hickson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.040.00736%0.0000.00850%-0.04
Danilo Gallinari-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0,00.04-0.040.001552%0.021-0.033100%0.02
Gary Harris-0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Ty Lawson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.04-0.070.021853%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Jusuf Nurkic-0.150,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.09-0.06-0.001030%-0.102-0.0500%0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Davis0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.32,0.320.320.110.230.022858%0.432-0.11667%-0.02
Quincy Pondexter0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.01-0.00350%0.0200.00250%-0.02
Jeff Withey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Elliot Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.01-0.00-0.03333%0.0100.0000%0.00
Eric Gordon0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.29,0.29,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.010.01-0.020.050.021842%0.071-0.062100%0.02
Alexis Ajinca0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.04-0.001100%0.104-0.102100%0.02
Dante Cunningham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.02-0.00850%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Omer Asik0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01848%0.022-0.05540%-0.04
Tyreke Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,-0.05,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.05-0.022057%0.246-0.28450%-0.02
Luke Babbitt0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.04-0.0010%-0.011-0.0600%0.00
Norris Cole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.08-0.06-0.00825%-0.101-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1 OT2Total
this game24.32.526.315.528.42.634.01.515.21.618.2170.2
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.62.017.82.017.8136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +18.0%
DEN +3.6%
NOP -21.7%
DEN +47.2%
DEN +2.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENNOPNBADENNOPNBA
this game14.916.015.1103.5100.0104.2
season14.615.8103.4106.3
opponent15.215.3106.1106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DEN13.513.315.015.418.214.9
NOP14.718.914.415.917.016.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jameer Nelson74700.84-0.341.180.2520-133315.414.01.4116.215.80.41
Will Barton94890.56-0.060.620.1813-61915.014.50.5015.916.5-0.52
Danilo Gallinari72700.55-0.050.610.3861515.014.70.3116.515.31.22
Ty Lawson94910.300.200.090.33-18-915.014.70.2615.817.2-1.48
Kenneth Faried84840.150.35-0.210.24-310-1315.114.40.7415.218.6-3.38
Joffrey Lauvergne13120.120.38-0.27-0.0043114.215.0-0.7720.215.54.72
Erick Green16160.080.42-0.35-0.0443114.914.90.0317.215.81.42
JJ Hickson41400.060.44-0.38-0.0643114.515.2-0.7014.616.9-2.28
Gary Harris3233-0.070.57-0.640.19-916-2513.915.3-1.3616.415.90.55
Jusuf Nurkic4242-0.080.58-0.660.01-310-1314.115.4-1.3316.116.00.13

New Orleans Pelicans
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Quincy Pondexter37370.07-0.570.64-0.137-142115.916.1-0.2213.815.5-1.67
Alexis Ajinca2325-0.01-0.490.470.02-1-6514.716.4-1.7515.214.80.42
Jeff Withey1515-0.06-0.440.380.06-4-3-117.315.81.4214.315.0-0.67
Elliot Williams2525-0.08-0.420.350.07-5-2-317.215.71.5514.914.90.01
Luke Babbitt1315-0.14-0.360.23-0.171-8917.815.82.0513.815.1-1.28
Omer Asik5049-0.20-0.300.10-0.231-8916.515.70.8113.615.9-2.39
Tyreke Evans8384-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.301-8915.916.3-0.3814.915.0-0.12
Norris Cole5559-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.11-81-916.215.90.2516.213.52.75
Anthony Davis9698-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.25-6-1-515.718.0-2.2714.914.80.12
Dante Cunningham7678-0.510.01-0.51-0.04-169-2516.215.70.4715.613.32.31
Eric Gordon8285-0.530.03-0.57-0.39-5-2-315.617.3-1.7714.815.2-0.40


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.56,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.59,0.33,0.39,0.21,0.55,0.73,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.77,0.83,0.46,0.55,0.28,0.33,0.1,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 112, SAC 1030.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.47,0.39,0.15,0.07,0.16,0.42,0.46,0.75,0.84,0.95,0.73,0.54,0.39,0.21,0.06,0.02,087.2%
TOR 111, WAS 1190.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.8,0.8,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.63,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.61,0.32,0.36,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.55,0.71,0.85,0.73,185.8%
LAC 120, POR 1120.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.48,0.64,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.47,0.65,0.54,0.69,0.46,0.57,0.83,0.46,0.31,0.36,0.23,0.42,0.54,0.39,0.28,0.16,0.01,085.7%