NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	117		Excitement	13.2 [10]		MVP	Marcus Camby (LAC): +18.1%
Indiana Pacers	109		Comeback	20.9 [50]		LVP	Baron Davis (LAC): -30.9%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Camby	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.06	0.12	0.00	14	59%	0.21	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Al Thornton	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.05,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	-0.02	0.19	-0.00	19	51%	0.34	4	-0.16	11	73%	-0.06
Zach Randolph	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.34,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	25	59%	0.28	6	-0.23	8	87%	0.04
Mardy Collins	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.04	0.00	2	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jason Hart	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Taylor	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	13	48%	0.07	3	-0.12	5	80%	0.01
Baron Davis	-0.31	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.31,-0.31	-0.09	-0.23	-0.01	18	39%	-0.30	1	-0.01	10	80%	0.03

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Jack	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.17,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.05	-0.03	18	63%	0.31	3	-0.15	7	86%	0.06
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.06	0.01	10	80%	0.18	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	14	53%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	3	40%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Travis Diener	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Maceo Baston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	30%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.05	0.00	10	68%	0.32	5	-0.36	5	100%	0.03
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	7	36%	-0.02	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.22,-0.17,-0.21,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.31,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.23	-0.03	-0.03	22	28%	-0.03	4	-0.20	6	50%	-0.04
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.12	-0.10	0.01	7	29%	-0.08	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	29.0	2.3	29.5	15.5	26.4	2.4	39.4	2.7	10.0	1.6	18.0	176.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	2.0	41.4	2.0	41.4	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND -25.6%

LAC +15.2%

LAC +7.5%

LAC +50.7%

LAC +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	IND	NBA	LAC	IND	NBA
this game	15.1	14.0	15.5	97.5	91.6	106.4
season	15.7	14.1		100.7	106.5
opponent	15.3	15.1		107.7	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAC	15.7	14.2	14.1	15.0	17.1	15.1
IND	12.5	13.6	14.7	13.8	16.2	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Thornton	99	98	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.34	10	-2	12	15.5	13.0	2.48	13.8	15.2	-1.47
Baron Davis	98	97	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.27	10	-2	12	15.2	14.6	0.61	14.2	13.4	0.76
Eric Gordon	104	104	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.31	8	0	8	15.0	16.0	-1.05	14.0	14.3	-0.35
Marcus Camby	98	99	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.23	4	4	0	15.4	13.9	1.45	14.1	13.5	0.63
Zach Randolph	100	101	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.18	4	4	0	15.3	14.2	1.07	14.2	12.9	1.27
Mardy Collins	36	33	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.06	2	6	-4	13.7	15.7	-1.92	14.6	13.8	0.80
Brian Skinner	27	26	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.00	3	5	-2	14.3	15.3	-1.03	13.2	14.3	-1.11
DeAndre Jordan	1	0	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	8	-8	1.0	15.2	-14.21	0.0	14.0	-14.03
Paul Davis	7	7	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.04	2	6	-4	15.9	15.0	0.81	13.7	14.0	-0.33
Mike Taylor	9	10	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	9	-10	12.2	15.3	-3.10	13.8	14.0	-0.25
Jason Hart	21	20	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.04	-2	10	-12	16.1	14.9	1.22	13.7	14.1	-0.33

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	57	59	0.39	-0.89	1.27	0.24	5	-13	18	14.2	13.9	0.36	15.9	14.3	1.62
Maceo Baston	33	31	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-9	10	13.5	14.2	-0.75	13.5	15.6	-2.08
Stephen Graham	44	44	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.08	-3	-5	2	13.9	14.1	-0.18	15.4	14.9	0.47
Roy Hibbert	46	47	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-8	8	15.2	13.3	1.87	15.3	15.0	0.27
Travis Diener	20	20	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.17	0	-8	8	13.1	14.2	-1.05	13.5	15.4	-1.91
T.J. Ford	77	80	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-5	2	14.1	13.8	0.33	15.2	14.8	0.48
Rasho Nesterovic	73	73	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.23	-8	0	-8	13.3	15.2	-1.87	15.0	15.3	-0.27
Jarrett Jack	99	99	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.37	-5	-3	-2	14.3	12.8	1.47	15.1	15.1	-0.06
Brandon Rush	112	113	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.26	-10	2	-12	14.0	14.0	0.03	15.0	16.7	-1.72
Josh McRoberts	34	34	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.33	-17	9	-26	13.9	14.1	-0.16	15.6	14.9	0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.46,0.43,0.84,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.42,0.54,0.31,0.37,0.32,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 133, DAL 126	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.37,0.53,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.39,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.55,0.28,0	87.3%
CHI 111, LAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.59,0.55,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.42,0.41,0.6,0.78,0.62,0.46,0.32,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.11,0.02,0,0	86.6%
UTA 120, DET 114	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.63,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.83,0.59,0.39,0.14,0.29,0.1,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.59,0.46,0.31,0.21,0.32,0.26,0	85.9%