NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	98		Excitement	5.1 [751]		MVP	Maurice Taylor (LAC): +5.0%
Sacramento Kings	85		Comeback	2.0 [256]		LVP	Stojko Vrankovic (LAC): -17.5%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Taylor	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.01	6	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.01	13	65%	0.12	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	10	64%	0.07	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Keith Closs	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pooh Richardson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
James Robinson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	12	50%	0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	77%	0.02	2	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Darrick Martin	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	9	63%	0.08	5	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Rodney Rogers	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.13	-0.01	-0.09	10	42%	-0.00	4	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Stojko Vrankovic	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-0.01	5	23%	-0.07	4	-0.11	3	33%	-0.03

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	11	62%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	21	52%	0.06	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Michael Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.01	-0.05	4	42%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02
Derek Grimm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	56%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	4	37%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	13	27%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Dehere	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.01	0.00	8	45%	-0.04	5	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.02	-0.01	6	29%	-0.08	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.01
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.03	0.03	9	38%	-0.09	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.7	26.2	15.7	26.9	0.2	29.0	125.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +64.8%

SAC -9.1%

LAC +0.7%

SAC -8.7%

LAC +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SAC	NBA	LAC	SAC	NBA
this game	14.2	15.3	15.6	100.0	87.6	102.5
season	15.5	15.2		101.0	98.5
opponent	15.3	15.1		104.3	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	12.0	14.6	16.1	14.6	14.2
SAC	15.7	16.7	15.9	13.1	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Barry	73	72	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.01	18	-5	23	14.3	14.2	0.11	16.3	12.5	3.74
Darrick Martin	47	48	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	0	13	13.9	14.5	-0.63	15.4	15.2	0.11
Maurice Taylor	31	31	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.03	13	0	13	14.3	14.2	0.11	16.5	14.7	1.79
Lorenzen Wright	66	65	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.19	18	-5	23	14.1	14.5	-0.43	16.2	13.5	2.68
Lamond Murray	60	59	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.11	7	6	1	13.6	15.3	-1.75	16.3	13.7	2.61
Rodney Rogers	69	69	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.14	4	9	-5	14.2	14.4	-0.24	14.8	16.5	-1.74
Eric Piatkowski	38	37	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	14	-15	14.6	14.0	0.55	15.3	15.3	-0.00
Stojko Vrankovic	31	31	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.16	-3	16	-19	15.5	13.7	1.81	13.6	16.1	-2.48
James Robinson	51	49	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	13	-13	14.5	13.9	0.63	15.2	15.4	-0.11
Pooh Richardson	21	21	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.05	-1	14	-15	15.1	14.0	1.14	10.2	16.7	-6.46
Keith Closs	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	16	-19	7.7	14.5	-6.79	4.7	15.6	-10.97

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Stewart	42	41	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-14	15	13.1	17.0	-3.93	14.8	13.8	0.96
Michael Smith	18	18	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-14	15	15.7	15.2	0.52	11.6	14.8	-3.23
Derek Grimm	12	13	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-13	13	9.0	16.2	-7.19	13.8	14.3	-0.55
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	53	52	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-10	7	16.2	14.2	1.96	14.2	14.2	0.01
Anthony Johnson	29	30	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-12	11	14.7	15.5	-0.82	15.4	13.7	1.71
Lawrence Funderburke	36	36	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-9	5	16.8	14.4	2.44	14.6	14.0	0.53
Billy Owens	80	81	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-8	3	14.6	18.7	-4.13	14.7	12.1	2.57
Terry Dehere	44	44	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.11	-5	-8	3	14.7	15.8	-1.05	13.6	14.8	-1.23
Mitch Richmond	73	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.07	-13	0	-13	15.3	15.2	0.12	14.0	15.1	-1.09
Olden Polynice	49	50	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.04	-15	2	-17	16.8	13.7	3.07	13.5	15.0	-1.44
Corliss Williamson	49	49	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.06	-21	8	-29	17.0	13.6	3.40	14.9	13.6	1.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.3,0.28,0.34,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 98, UTA 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
HOU 108, DEN 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0	94.4%
UTA 96, NOH 84	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.4%