NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	77		Excitement	6.3 [518]		MVP	Brevin Knight (CLE): +7.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	80		Comeback	1.1 [802]		LVP	Reggie Miller (IND): -21.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Davis	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07	-0.04	0.11	0.01	7	53%	0.11	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02
Chris Mullin	0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	9	70%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mark Jackson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Mark West	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rik Smits	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	0.01	7	44%	-0.04	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Travis Best	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.06	-0.03	4	30%	-0.06	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Dale Davis	-0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.05	-0.11	0.01	7	56%	-0.00	3	-0.17	4	50%	-0.03
Reggie Miller	-0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.18,-0.21	-0.16	-0.06	-0.00	20	42%	-0.11	4	-0.10	10	80%	0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.08	0.15	-0.00	8	25%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	64%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.04	-0.02	5	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	8	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.04	0.02	6	80%	0.06	1	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Mitchell Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	9	40%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Kemp	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.02	19	44%	0.00	4	-0.09	3	67%	0.04
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	12	46%	-0.08	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.17	-0.03	-0.02	4	22%	-0.03	6	-0.15	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.3	24.5	15.4	24.5	1.6	31.2	123.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +18.8%

CLE +8.8%

CLE +21.2%

CLE +5.2%

IND -3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CLE	NBA	IND	CLE	NBA
this game	14.9	17.0	15.6	83.7	89.9	102.5
season	16.0	15.4		105.3	99.4
opponent	16.0	16.1		97.0	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.1	15.0	16.2	14.3	14.9
CLE	14.7	16.4	17.3	20.0	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Jackson	40	39	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.07	-1	-2	1	15.7	14.3	1.41	15.7	17.9	-2.16
Rik Smits	32	35	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-3	3	14.6	15.1	-0.52	16.7	17.1	-0.40
Mark West	10	8	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.07	-7	4	-11	18.9	14.4	4.49	13.4	17.3	-3.93
Jalen Rose	37	34	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	0	-3	15.9	14.2	1.66	18.9	15.8	3.12
Fred Hoiberg	40	38	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.27	0	-3	3	15.3	14.6	0.79	17.3	16.7	0.54
Chris Mullin	41	41	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.10	-6	3	-9	14.9	14.9	-0.09	17.3	16.6	0.67
Dale Davis	73	70	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.31	0	-3	3	14.4	16.9	-2.58	17.0	16.9	0.08
Reggie Miller	75	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.43	3	-6	9	14.1	18.5	-4.45	16.3	20.4	-4.14
Travis Best	50	48	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.35	-1	-2	1	14.6	15.2	-0.62	17.7	16.0	1.73
Antonio Davis	62	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.38	0	-3	3	14.9	14.9	0.05	17.0	16.8	0.23

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Kemp	64	66	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.35	2	1	1	16.7	17.6	-0.84	14.1	17.0	-2.87
Derek Anderson	73	76	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.41	-2	5	-7	16.3	20.1	-3.79	14.1	18.9	-4.81
Wesley Person	70	71	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.40	-3	6	-9	16.4	18.9	-2.47	13.9	18.4	-4.57
Bob Sura	47	49	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	-3	9	17.0	17.0	0.01	14.2	15.7	-1.41
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	51	52	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.26	0	3	-3	17.0	16.9	0.15	13.9	16.1	-2.21
Brevin Knight	43	44	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.28	-1	4	-5	17.0	16.9	0.04	15.3	14.5	0.75
Cedric Henderson	22	25	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.06	6	-3	9	17.9	16.7	1.21	18.0	13.8	4.20
Mitchell Butler	18	18	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.02	6	-3	9	20.3	16.1	4.17	18.6	14.0	4.54
Vitaly Potapenko	30	30	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.12	0	3	-3	17.3	16.8	0.57	17.1	13.8	3.26
Danny Ferry	27	29	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.06	1	2	-1	17.2	16.9	0.33	16.6	14.1	2.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.76,0.71,0.94,0.87,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 91, DEN 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.84,0.77,0.88,0.87,0.78,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.78,0.69,0.85,0.95,0.83,1	94.5%
ORL 87, CHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.94,0.87,0.75,0.72,0.91,0.98,1	94.4%
CHH 105, NYK 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.84,0.95,0.74,1	94.3%