NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	113		Excitement	6.7 [464]		MVP	Clar. Weatherspoon (PHI): +7.8%
New Jersey Nets	105		Comeback	1.4 [411]		LVP	Eric Montross (NJN): -11.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clar. Weatherspoon	0.08	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.05	-0.02	20	50%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Davis	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.02	16	56%	0.06	1	-0.02	11	91%	0.03
Jerry Stackhouse	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	24	56%	0.07	2	-0.05	13	46%	-0.09
Michael Cage	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Hendrickson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	23	54%	0.08	5	-0.11	4	75%	0.01
Doug Overton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Caldwell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	5	20%	-0.04

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	0.02	0.01	0.03	18	52%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Joe Kleine	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jack Haley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	27	46%	0.05	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	21	47%	-0.05	2	-0.04	9	67%	-0.02
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Xavier McDaniel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	6	29%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	21	48%	-0.00	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	9	33%	-0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.3	25.6	15.6	31.9	2.5	29.2	128.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +38.4%

PHI +1.5%

NJN -10.5%

PHI +17.4%

PHI +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NJN	NBA	PHI	NJN	NBA
this game	13.5	14.4	15.6	108.7	101.9	104.4
season	14.7	15.4		101.4	101.7
opponent	14.9	14.7		106.6	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	11.4	13.1	13.0	16.8	13.5
NJN	14.9	15.7	13.2	13.8	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clar. Weatherspoon	94	92	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.25	9	-1	10	13.6	12.0	1.61	13.9	18.0	-4.05
Allen Iverson	91	91	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.21	8	0	8	13.5	13.4	0.08	14.5	13.8	0.62
Adrian Caldwell	51	51	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.09	11	-3	14	14.3	12.6	1.73	14.9	13.8	1.11
Mark Davis	88	86	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.19	7	1	6	12.5	18.5	-5.97	13.9	16.9	-3.07
Jerry Stackhouse	98	97	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.24	5	3	2	13.2	17.0	-3.77	14.4	14.2	0.23
Doug Overton	21	21	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.08	3	5	-2	14.0	13.3	0.69	15.8	14.0	1.80
Michael Cage	46	44	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.10	1	7	-6	13.4	13.5	-0.03	14.8	14.1	0.73
Mark Hendrickson	31	33	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.17	-4	12	-16	14.5	13.0	1.42	14.3	14.4	-0.07

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jack Haley	5	4	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.04	3	-11	14	7.8	14.7	-6.91	8.0	13.7	-5.67
Joe Kleine	6	7	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.00	-1	-7	6	15.7	14.3	1.37	12.3	13.5	-1.25
Xavier McDaniel	55	54	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.22	3	-11	14	14.0	14.8	-0.73	13.7	13.2	0.45
Jim Jackson	80	82	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.29	1	-9	10	14.2	15.1	-0.97	14.2	10.7	3.46
Tony Massenburg	66	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.17	-6	-2	-4	14.4	14.3	0.17	12.9	14.5	-1.56
Eric Montross	67	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.04	-12	4	-16	15.4	12.4	3.06	14.0	12.5	1.41
Kendall Gill	82	82	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.16	-8	0	-8	14.9	12.2	2.69	13.1	14.7	-1.56
Kevin Edwards	59	59	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.22	-7	-1	-6	13.4	15.7	-2.39	13.8	13.0	0.76
Kerry Kittles	95	96	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.18	-13	5	-18	14.4	14.2	0.14	13.1	17.4	-4.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.14,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.15,0.17,0.26,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.06,0.1,0.04,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 94, MIN 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.14,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.2,0.07,0.22,0.15,0.15,0	94.4%
IND 90, NYK 78	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.19,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.2%
TOR 115, BKN 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.23,0.2,0.13,0.16,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.07,0.05,0,0.01,0,0	93.8%