inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 89 Excitement3.8 [1010] MVPEddie Johnson (HOU): +9.9%
Houston Rockets 107 Comeback1.0 [1128] LVPTerrell Brandon (CLE): -10.7%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danny Ferry0.080,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.010.021164%0.0800.0000%0.00
Antonio Lang0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.00-0.00-0.01550%0.0100.002100%0.01
Shawnelle Scott0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Reggie Geary0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Vitaly Potapenko-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.010.00477%0.063-0.07580%0.01
Mark West-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.01250%-0.001-0.0300%0.00
Donny Marshall-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.010.03756%-0.011-0.034100%0.02
Chris Mills-0.050,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.010.01737%-0.0500.002100%-0.01
Bobby Phills-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.001037%-0.0500.00450%-0.02
Bob Sura-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.09-0.01-0.041152%-0.014-0.05956%-0.01
Terrell Brandon-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.10-0.010.001837%-0.072-0.042100%0.00

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eddie Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.180.000.081579%0.131-0.034100%0.01
Mario Elie0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.00-0.01688%0.103-0.04560%-0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.01-0.031268%0.094-0.051090%0.01
Clyde Drexler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.00-0.031647%0.0100.00875%0.01
Kevin Willis0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.01-0.03850%0.042-0.0400%0.00
Sam Mack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Othella Harrington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.050.00-0.04456%0.033-0.041100%0.00
Matt Bullard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.001150%0.043-0.0700%0.00
Sedale Threatt0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.020.000.01350%-0.021-0.02250%-0.00
Matt Maloney0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.060.00-0.01430%-0.021-0.0220%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.12.629.215.623.21.735.3134.7
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +46.3%
HOU +2.5%
HOU +7.3%
CLE -9.0%
HOU +3.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEHOUNBACLEHOUNBA
this game16.615.215.697.8118.9104.4
season17.815.5102.1107.2
opponent15.416.1103.0100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE18.118.016.414.316.6
HOU17.914.014.215.115.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shawnelle Scott99-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-161413.117.0-3.8512.015.6-3.59
Reggie Geary99-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-161413.117.0-3.8512.015.6-3.59
Bob Sura5755-0.00-0.500.50-0.093-212414.919.5-4.6114.516.3-1.77
Donny Marshall4844-0.04-0.460.41-0.01-1-171614.818.5-3.7015.415.10.25
Vitaly Potapenko5456-0.15-0.350.210.12-9-9016.816.20.6214.616.2-1.61
Danny Ferry3839-0.18-0.320.15-0.06-4-141016.116.9-0.8216.914.02.94
Antonio Lang4945-0.21-0.290.07-0.18-1-171616.217.0-0.8215.415.10.33
Mark West2626-0.40-0.10-0.300.10-17-1-1619.515.44.1415.915.00.92
Chris Mills4444-0.48-0.02-0.460.02-17-1-1618.215.13.1016.214.31.90
Terrell Brandon6262-0.48-0.02-0.470.10-202-2217.414.92.4215.215.2-0.02
Bobby Phills5961-0.550.05-0.600.04-202-2217.814.33.5015.115.5-0.37

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Clyde Drexler64630.60-0.100.70-0.2529-114014.217.7-3.5118.013.54.50
Hakeem Olajuwon65650.53-0.030.56-0.1824-63016.512.04.5317.314.72.65
Matt Maloney54540.50-0.000.50-0.2325-73215.215.3-0.1718.214.24.03
Mario Elie78760.450.050.39-0.1119-12015.811.74.1216.815.71.10
Eddie Johnson55580.210.29-0.070.01711-414.516.4-1.9615.818.0-2.27
Matt Bullard24270.160.34-0.170.02513-813.715.8-2.0815.017.3-2.30
Kevin Willis47480.120.38-0.270.17-220-2216.114.21.9217.116.01.15
Sam Mack340.000.50-0.500.03-119-2013.715.3-1.629.216.9-7.67
Sedale Threatt3637-0.000.50-0.500.20-725-3215.315.20.1714.218.2-4.03
Othella Harrington2423-0.070.57-0.630.20-927-3614.415.5-1.1114.217.4-3.22


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.87,0.78,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 76, PHX 890.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%
CHA 103, MIA 1120.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.78,0.78,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.98,1,1,196.0%
CLE 71, PHI 860.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.9%