NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	76		Excitement	3.9 [1014]		MVP	Eduardo Najera (DAL): +4.7%
Phoenix Suns	89		Comeback	1.0 [490]		LVP	Wang Zhi-zhi (DAL): -9.9%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eduardo Najera	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Johnny Newman	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	8	61%	0.05	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Raef LaFrentz	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	6	43%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Evan Eschmeyer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	11	41%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	7	14%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	14	36%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wang Zhi-zhi	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	15	35%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Majerle	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.09	14	33%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.02	11	59%	0.06	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.02
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	15	42%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.01	14	53%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alton Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Crispin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	4	58%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	0.01	-0.05	13	58%	0.08	8	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	1.7	24.0	21.6	21.3	1.8	24.7	119.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +32.9%

PHX +8.1%

PHX +3.8%

PHX +3.6%

PHX +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	PHX	NBA	DAL	PHX	NBA
this game	15.3	16.6	15.6	83.5	98.9	102.3
season	14.8	15.1		109.6	101.0
opponent	15.8	15.5		102.1	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.2	15.7	14.7	18.5	15.3
PHX	14.0	17.0	16.7	19.4	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Buckner	48	48	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.24	8	-21	29	16.2	14.2	1.95	18.0	14.9	3.16
Eduardo Najera	23	23	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-13	13	15.5	15.2	0.29	14.4	17.3	-2.86
Shawn Bradley	41	41	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.17	5	-18	23	17.1	13.8	3.34	17.3	16.0	1.33
Steve Nash	18	17	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.04	-6	-7	1	12.4	16.0	-3.51	14.5	17.0	-2.51
Wang Zhi-zhi	39	37	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-12	11	16.6	14.2	2.41	18.4	15.3	3.17
Dirk Nowitzki	27	28	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	-6	-1	13.4	16.1	-2.69	15.7	16.9	-1.19
Evan Eschmeyer	30	30	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-10	7	16.9	14.5	2.44	20.0	14.9	5.10
Johnny Newman	39	38	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	-8	3	16.9	14.1	2.81	19.0	14.8	4.26
Adrian Griffin	39	37	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.13	-15	2	-17	13.8	16.4	-2.62	14.6	18.0	-3.39
Nick Van Exel	54	54	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.08	-8	-5	-3	15.1	15.5	-0.47	16.2	17.1	-0.91
Raef LaFrentz	50	51	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.06	-15	2	-17	14.2	16.6	-2.36	14.7	19.0	-4.29
Michael Finley	47	46	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.08	-18	5	-23	13.9	16.8	-2.92	15.0	18.2	-3.12

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Majerle	67	69	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.02	20	-7	27	16.5	16.9	-0.41	15.1	15.9	-0.79
Stephon Marbury	81	81	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.04	15	-2	17	16.3	18.8	-2.46	14.9	18.2	-3.30
Bo Outlaw	65	66	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.00	16	-3	19	16.2	17.5	-1.32	15.6	14.4	1.19
Shawn Marion	69	70	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.09	12	1	11	15.3	20.7	-5.41	14.5	17.9	-3.37
Jake Tsakalidis	62	65	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.00	13	0	13	15.6	18.7	-3.17	14.8	16.3	-1.52
Joe Johnson	50	50	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.22	-4	17	-21	18.5	14.2	4.26	16.2	14.1	2.12
Alton Ford	13	12	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.05	1	12	-11	17.4	16.4	0.96	15.6	15.2	0.37
Jake Voskuhl	15	14	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	14	-15	19.9	15.9	4.04	17.0	14.9	2.05
Milt Palacio	9	10	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	15	-17	18.8	16.3	2.46	18.2	14.9	3.30
Joe Crispin	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	13	-13	23.0	16.5	6.51	0.0	15.3	-15.26
Anfernee Hardaway	18	18	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	18	-23	17.5	16.3	1.17	15.2	15.3	-0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 88, LAL 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
CLE 89, HOU 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.87,0.78,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
SEA 83, ORL 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%