NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	88		Excitement	3.8 [837]		MVP	Devin Ebanks (LAL): +12.6%
Los Angeles Lakers	103		Comeback	1.0 [839]		LVP	Ty Lawson (DEN): -13.5%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Brewer	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.00	-0.01	6	73%	0.11	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0.05	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.02	14	56%	0.09	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Timofey Mozgov	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Al Harrington	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	14	36%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hamilton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julyan Stone	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	11	35%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Kenneth Faried	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.02	0.03	8	53%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Kosta Koufos	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	13	41%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.14	0.01	-0.02	6	12%	-0.06	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Ty Lawson	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	0.01	11	29%	-0.10	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Ebanks	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.01	-0.02	6	86%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	7	64%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.01	7	71%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	11	64%	0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	14	46%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	10	45%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Andrew Goudelock	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Eyenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	0.01	0.07	24	53%	0.02	2	-0.04	11	82%	0.01
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.12	0.00	-0.08	6	17%	-0.02	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.1	2.8	28.0	17.6	29.8	2.0	30.2	140.5
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +45.2%

DEN -4.5%

DEN -0.3%

LAL +8.1%

LAL +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	LAL	NBA	DEN	LAL	NBA
this game	14.8	16.0	15.6	93.6	110.8	102.8
season	14.5	16.2		107.5	103.8
opponent	15.1	15.8		103.5	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	15.0	15.6	14.4	14.2	14.8
LAL	13.8	15.7	16.9	17.9	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Hamilton	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-17	19	9.7	15.0	-5.30	21.0	15.8	5.16
Julyan Stone	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-17	19	9.7	15.0	-5.30	21.0	15.8	5.16
Corey Brewer	45	44	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.14	3	-18	21	13.1	16.4	-3.32	16.9	15.2	1.75
Timofey Mozgov	17	17	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.06	-3	-12	9	14.9	14.8	0.17	15.5	16.1	-0.66
Al Harrington	40	41	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-11	7	14.8	14.8	-0.04	16.9	15.3	1.64
Kosta Koufos	25	23	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.06	-8	-7	-1	15.3	14.6	0.71	14.9	16.4	-1.52
Andre Miller	53	52	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-10	5	14.5	15.1	-0.62	16.7	15.2	1.46
Kenneth Faried	55	55	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.01	-7	-8	1	15.1	14.4	0.62	15.7	16.5	-0.87
JaVale McGee	32	32	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.01	-10	-5	-5	14.8	14.8	-0.03	16.1	16.0	0.17
Arron Afflalo	65	65	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.12	-7	-8	1	14.9	14.6	0.26	15.7	16.6	-0.90
Ty Lawson	61	60	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.15	-21	6	-27	16.0	12.7	3.28	15.3	17.3	-1.96
Danilo Gallinari	71	70	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.02	-17	2	-19	15.1	14.0	1.11	15.6	17.3	-1.78

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	73	74	0.63	-0.13	0.76	-0.13	26	-11	37	15.0	19.7	-4.70	15.4	12.5	2.92
Andrew Bynum	71	71	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.10	23	-8	31	15.1	19.0	-3.86	15.0	14.0	1.00
Ramon Sessions	56	55	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	0	15	15.9	16.1	-0.16	15.7	13.6	2.06
Pau Gasol	66	64	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.07	7	8	-1	16.3	15.4	0.90	15.4	13.5	1.91
Matt Barnes	57	55	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	9	-3	16.5	15.2	1.38	14.7	15.0	-0.30
Jordan Hill	46	49	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.09	2	13	-11	16.7	15.3	1.40	13.9	15.7	-1.79
Devin Ebanks	37	39	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	13	-11	15.6	16.3	-0.74	14.6	14.9	-0.36
Steve Blake	50	51	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.08	0	15	-15	16.7	15.2	1.45	13.8	16.0	-2.13
Andrew Goudelock	3	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	17	-19	21.0	15.8	5.16	11.2	15.0	-3.71
Christian Eyenga	3	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	17	-19	21.0	15.8	5.16	11.2	15.0	-3.71
Josh McRoberts	3	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	17	-19	21.0	15.8	5.16	11.2	15.0	-3.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 99, ORL 118	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
LAC 77, GSW 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.61,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
POR 77, SAS 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%