inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 88 Excitement4.2 [942] MVPAaron McKie (DET): +7.2%
Chicago Bulls 103 Comeback1.3 [1170] LVPGrant Hill (DET): -15.5%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Aaron McKie0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.020.002125%0.0700.0000%0.00
Don Reid0.020,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.000.00856%0.0200.002100%0.01
Litterial Green0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02140%0.0000.0030%0.00
Grant Long-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01462%-0.0000.00580%-0.00
Michael Curry-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Theo Ratliff-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.00-0.0430%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Joe Dumars-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.010.000.011057%0.032-0.043100%0.01
Lindsey Hunter-0.050,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.01-0.030.021150%-0.051-0.004100%0.02
Jerome Williams-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.02425%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Terry Mills-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.00-0.01521%-0.0700.00475%0.01
Otis Thorpe-0.070,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.011148%-0.022-0.05757%-0.02
Grant Hill-0.150,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.12-0.020.011441%-0.112-0.051155%-0.03

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steve Kerr0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.080.010.05975%0.061-0.022100%0.01
Dennis Rodman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.060.010.04487%0.0400.0000%0.00
Michael Jordan0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.05-0.010.012052%0.0300.004100%0.02
Scottie Pippen0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.05-0.010.022059%0.052-0.03475%0.00
Jud Buechler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.060.00-0.08736%0.032-0.0200%0.00
Dickey Simpkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Randy Brown00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bill Wennington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jason Caffey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.070.00-0.05550%-0.003-0.02475%-0.01
Luc Longley0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.02-0.010.041070%0.043-0.07367%-0.01
Ron Harper0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.16-0.01-0.07822%-0.044-0.062100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.62.726.213.732.02.626.4128.1
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +34.2%
DET -3.6%
CHI +23.4%
DET -6.1%
CHI +2.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETCHINBADETCHINBA
this game15.016.315.695.7112.0104.4
season17.115.5107.6110.5
opponent16.116.299.8102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET15.815.614.214.215.0
CHI14.216.515.819.216.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Otis Thorpe50500.07-0.570.640.012-171915.514.31.1916.915.61.30
Grant Long1617-0.00-0.500.49-0.155-202514.115.1-1.0119.115.73.40
Theo Ratliff1212-0.03-0.470.45-0.082-171911.415.5-4.0718.416.02.38
Litterial Green1314-0.04-0.460.43-0.123-182111.815.5-3.7118.815.92.88
Michael Curry2021-0.06-0.440.39-0.081-161712.715.6-2.8218.615.72.94
Lindsey Hunter5759-0.15-0.350.200.09-8-7-114.216.1-1.8716.416.20.26
Jerome Williams3130-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.11-5-10515.214.80.3615.816.6-0.81
Aaron McKie3738-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.22-2-131114.115.5-1.4618.015.22.77
Don Reid5656-0.31-0.19-0.120.10-14-1-1315.114.70.3415.517.7-2.26
Grant Hill7270-0.44-0.06-0.380.03-161-1715.612.72.8215.519.0-3.43
Joe Dumars6966-0.45-0.05-0.400.11-194-2315.613.12.4315.319.0-3.64
Terry Mills2727-0.570.07-0.630.14-249-3318.113.64.5214.117.3-3.11

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Scottie Pippen61610.51-0.010.53-0.0419-42315.118.8-3.6616.312.33.97
Dennis Rodman72720.51-0.010.51-0.0519-42315.818.3-2.5616.110.75.38
Steve Kerr57570.460.040.42-0.2123-83116.615.90.6514.815.3-0.53
Michael Jordan68680.330.170.17-0.1416-11716.316.6-0.3214.516.1-1.58
Jason Caffey46450.270.230.050.16411-717.515.22.2215.214.70.48
Ron Harper53530.190.31-0.130.07411-716.815.71.1415.114.70.37
Luc Longley51520.100.40-0.29-0.1078-116.316.5-0.2114.116.1-1.98
Bill Wennington560.080.42-0.34-0.01312-910.816.7-5.8714.815.0-0.13
Jud Buechler29300.040.46-0.420.28-823-3117.116.01.0514.215.3-1.12
Dickey Simpkins980.000.50-0.500.18-621-2718.716.12.5710.115.4-5.29
Randy Brown980.000.50-0.500.18-621-2718.716.12.5710.115.4-5.29


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.71,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 84, HOU 1030.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.89,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.5%
POR 86, SAC 1030.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,195.5%
CHI 105, HOU 1210.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.7,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.3%