NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	105		Excitement	8.9 [128]		MVP	Marcus Camby (TOR): +33.8%
Phoenix Suns	101		Comeback	3.1 [106]		LVP	Kevin Johnson (PHX): -28.9%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Camby	0.34	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.34	0.04	0.25	-0.05	15	61%	0.37	1	-0.03	8	37%	-0.03
Doug Christie	0.21	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.21,0.21	0.03	0.18	-0.00	13	57%	0.26	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Clifford Rozier	0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	17	53%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Sharone Wright	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Respert	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	42%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Walt Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.04	0.02	16	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	20	49%	-0.02	2	-0.09	5	80%	0.03
Popeye Jones	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.04	-0.03	7	14%	-0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rex Chapman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.32	0.32	0.15	0.17	0.00	15	73%	0.34	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hot Rod Williams	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	8	78%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.05
Horacio Llamas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	20	56%	0.06	2	-0.07	5	80%	-0.00
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	10	46%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Wayman Tisdale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	9	44%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	6	25%	-0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.09	-0.09	0.00	7	25%	-0.15	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.29	-0.29	-0.12	-0.17	-0.00	14	40%	-0.21	3	-0.08	7	86%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.4	29.6	16.3	21.3	1.8	38.1	130.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +56.2%

PHX -12.3%

TOR +14.1%

PHX -11.7%

TOR +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	PHX	NBA	TOR	PHX	NBA
this game	18.2	14.2	15.6	119.3	112.2	104.4
season	16.1	14.6		102.2	106.8
opponent	15.6	15.0		106.5	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	17.1	19.7	16.6	19.6	18.2
PHX	12.9	12.5	15.4	16.4	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clifford Rozier	76	78	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.33	10	-6	16	18.4	16.7	1.74	14.6	11.7	2.87
Damon Stoudamire	79	83	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.34	7	-3	10	17.7	22.2	-4.51	14.8	7.9	6.91
Doug Christie	87	88	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.39	5	-1	6	18.2	19.0	-0.84	13.9	28.5	-14.59
Marcus Camby	65	66	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.30	7	-3	10	16.7	22.3	-5.54	13.9	15.1	-1.16
Walt Williams	84	85	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.32	5	-1	6	18.4	14.2	4.11	14.4	10.6	3.85
Popeye Jones	25	27	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	8	-12	21.2	17.0	4.18	14.6	14.1	0.57
Shawn Respert	14	14	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	8	-12	19.7	17.9	1.84	11.8	14.7	-2.90
Sharone Wright	10	9	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.03	-6	10	-16	18.3	18.2	0.15	12.0	14.5	-2.48

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wayman Tisdale	22	22	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	3	-10	14.4	14.2	0.23	18.2	18.2	0.02
Cedric Ceballos	59	60	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-4	4	14.1	14.5	-0.43	17.4	19.9	-2.53
Jason Kidd	56	53	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.43	6	-10	16	13.8	14.9	-1.14	19.7	15.9	3.79
Wesley Person	36	35	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.17	-4	0	-4	12.9	15.1	-2.15	17.7	18.5	-0.71
Rex Chapman	63	63	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-1	-2	14.6	13.4	1.23	18.0	18.5	-0.49
Kevin Johnson	77	77	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.40	2	-6	8	14.6	12.1	2.52	17.9	19.9	-1.99
Danny Manning	60	55	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.29	-4	0	-4	14.4	13.8	0.60	18.4	17.8	0.56
Hot Rod Williams	77	75	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.26	-9	5	-14	14.4	13.3	1.08	18.2	18.2	-0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.35,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.18,0.33,0.29,0.37,0.3,0.41,0.22,0.32,0.28,0.43,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 80, SEA 74	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.39,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.09,0.04,0	90.8%
SAS 92, CHI 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.28,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.34,0.26,0.22,0.26,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.54,0.55,0.08,0	90.0%
DAL 90, VAN 88	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.35,0.33,0.17,0.32,0.19,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.27,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.55,0.36,0.16,0.1,0	90.0%