NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	92		Excitement	9.2 [105]		MVP	Walt Williams (TOR): +17.7%
Los Angeles Clippers	94		Comeback	2.6 [482]		LVP	Bo Outlaw (LAC): -29.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walt Williams	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.26,0.18	0.11	0.09	0.01	13	66%	0.18	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Marcus Camby	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	8	57%	0.04	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
Shawn Respert	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Slater	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Carlos Rogers	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.08	-0.01	14	53%	-0.02	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.04
Oliver Miller	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	8	35%	-0.06	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Popeye Jones	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.02	-0.01	9	22%	-0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.19	-0.05	-0.16	-0.01	18	52%	-0.08	4	-0.11	6	100%	0.03
Doug Christie	-0.28	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.14	-0.15	-0.00	11	32%	-0.16	2	-0.12	6	50%	-0.03

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Dehere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.06	0.00	5	70%	0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	12	65%	0.16	5	-0.14	10	90%	0.04
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	15	59%	0.09	3	-0.09	9	89%	0.14
Dwayne Schintzius	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pooh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	4	30%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Loy Vaught	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.09	-0.01	14	56%	-0.01	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.1	-0.10	0.00	-0.10	0.00	2	50%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	5	33%	-0.04	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-0.15	0.01	5	62%	-0.15	1	-0.03	6	33%	-0.20
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.3	-0.30	-0.08	-0.22	-0.00	4	36%	-0.26	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.9	2.8	35.7	1.8	27.3	1.7	33.0	130.1
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +9.0%

LAC +14.6%

LAC +38.4%

TOR -17.9%

LAC +5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	LAC	NBA	TOR	LAC	NBA
this game	16.3	15.1	15.6	100.0	103.3	104.4
season	16.1	15.8		102.2	102.9
opponent	15.1	15.0		105.8	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.7	14.5	19.0	15.2	16.3
LAC	13.9	17.5	13.7	15.5	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Slater	7	8	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.02	0	-2	2	15.9	16.4	-0.51	18.4	14.8	3.54
Marcus Camby	66	66	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.52	17	-19	36	15.6	18.3	-2.71	15.3	14.6	0.69
Oliver Miller	38	38	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.18	-1	-1	0	16.9	15.9	1.06	16.1	14.5	1.56
Carlos Rogers	75	74	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.43	7	-9	16	15.9	18.2	-2.34	14.6	17.4	-2.79
Shawn Respert	10	9	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.10	-11	9	-20	15.4	16.4	-1.04	6.7	16.1	-9.41
Damon Stoudamire	88	86	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.51	6	-8	14	16.2	19.5	-3.32	15.4	10.6	4.81
Doug Christie	83	82	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.45	3	-5	8	16.4	15.7	0.73	16.1	6.8	9.28
Walt Williams	44	46	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.27	-6	4	-10	17.0	15.7	1.20	16.3	14.0	2.26
Popeye Jones	49	46	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	0.07	-25	23	-48	17.4	15.1	2.23	12.8	17.5	-4.73

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Sealy	57	59	0.82	-0.32	1.15	0.38	15	-13	28	14.4	16.4	-2.03	16.6	15.9	0.70
Loy Vaught	84	85	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.35	14	-12	26	14.6	22.1	-7.58	16.4	15.4	0.97
Lorenzen Wright	63	65	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.47	8	-6	14	15.4	14.6	0.72	16.4	16.2	0.20
Darrick Martin	64	64	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.33	8	-6	14	15.3	14.7	0.57	16.6	15.7	0.83
Bo Outlaw	49	51	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.27	9	-7	16	14.4	16.0	-1.50	15.9	16.9	-1.00
Terry Dehere	20	21	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.07	2	0	2	12.1	16.0	-3.84	15.9	16.5	-0.61
Dwayne Schintzius	1	0	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	2	-2	2.0	15.3	-13.29	0.0	16.3	-16.33
Brent Barry	19	18	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	5	-8	15.9	14.9	1.02	17.6	16.0	1.60
Pooh Richardson	7	7	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.05	-8	10	-18	22.1	14.6	7.58	15.4	16.4	-0.97
Rodney Rogers	30	30	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	0.12	-14	16	-30	17.0	14.2	2.72	14.2	17.4	-3.20
Lamond Murray	22	21	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	0.17	-16	18	-34	17.7	14.3	3.35	17.5	16.0	1.49
Eric Piatkowski	17	17	-0.37	0.87	-1.25	-0.05	-11	13	-24	17.0	14.7	2.28	13.7	16.9	-3.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.66,0.51,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.73,0.84,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.68,0.55,0.55,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 89, NYK 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.77,0.81,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.67,0.58,1	90.2%
PHI 91, MEM 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.52,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.56,0.68,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.77,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.68,0.55,0.43,0.58,1	89.6%
PHX 116, NOP 122	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.74,0.59,0.6,0.76,0.71,0.75,0.58,1	89.5%