NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	89		Excitement	8.1 [224]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +43.0%
New York Knicks	92		Comeback	1.5 [700]		LVP	Jacque Vaughn (ATL): -48.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nazr Mohammed	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	9	56%	0.08	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.05	0.12	-0.04	0.03	18	68%	0.12	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.02
DerMarr Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Glover	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Strickland	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	18	59%	0.12	4	-0.14	13	69%	-0.06
Ira Newble	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	8	47%	-0.00	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Hanno Mottola	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	6	36%	-0.08	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Jacque Vaughn	-0.48	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.33,-0.48	-0.10	-0.39	-0.00	8	31%	-0.26	3	-0.23	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.43	0.43	0.14	0.29	0.00	21	73%	0.69	4	-0.26	2	100%	0.01
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	75%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	10	55%	0.07	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.07	0.00	4	75%	0.04	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	8	45%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.00	-0.00	6	37%	-0.04	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.04
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.07	-0.01	15	40%	-0.07	3	-0.11	5	60%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.8	27.5	15.8	25.0	0.8	31.4	124.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +62.4%

NYK +8.2%

ATL -19.6%

ATL -2.1%

NYK +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NYK	NBA	ATL	NYK	NBA
this game	16.2	15.1	15.6	96.7	100.0	102.3
season	15.5	15.9		99.7	99.6
opponent	15.6	15.2		103.9	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.5	15.0	14.4	19.8	16.2
NYK	14.8	15.0	15.0	15.4	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hanno Mottola	41	39	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.38	14	-17	31	15.2	17.0	-1.80	16.9	13.7	3.18
Mark Strickland	11	10	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.03	2	-5	7	16.3	16.2	0.04	16.1	14.9	1.16
Jacque Vaughn	58	58	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.54	16	-19	35	15.9	16.8	-0.88	16.2	13.2	2.95
Dion Glover	6	5	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.14	-13	10	-23	18.8	16.1	2.78	16.2	15.0	1.20
DerMarr Johnson	33	36	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.11	-6	3	-9	16.5	16.1	0.43	13.0	16.4	-3.44
Jason Terry	89	88	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.37	0	-3	3	16.1	19.7	-3.54	14.9	17.7	-2.81
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	83	84	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.41	-1	-2	1	16.3	15.8	0.51	14.6	19.9	-5.27
Ira Newble	79	79	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.33	-8	5	-13	16.3	15.9	0.37	15.2	14.5	0.61
Nazr Mohammed	60	61	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.04	-19	16	-35	16.8	15.1	1.76	14.5	16.1	-1.60

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clar. Weatherspoon	61	58	0.86	-0.36	1.23	0.34	18	-15	33	14.7	15.8	-1.07	17.6	14.0	3.60
Allan Houston	89	89	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.40	4	-1	5	15.0	16.7	-1.66	16.2	17.3	-1.13
Latrell Sprewell	86	87	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.36	5	-2	7	15.0	15.3	-0.29	16.6	10.4	6.17
Kurt Thomas	45	45	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.53	-5	8	-13	13.3	16.8	-3.48	16.4	16.1	0.36
Charlie Ward	33	32	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.43	-4	7	-11	15.8	14.7	1.13	18.3	15.1	3.23
Mark Jackson	59	60	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.02	7	-4	11	14.7	15.8	-1.13	15.1	18.3	-3.23
Othella Harrington	50	52	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	1	1	17.1	12.7	4.37	15.2	17.5	-2.27
Shandon Anderson	9	8	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	6	-9	15.8	15.0	0.79	13.0	16.5	-3.55
Travis Knight	28	29	-0.39	0.89	-1.27	-0.12	-9	12	-21	15.1	15.0	0.11	15.1	16.8	-1.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.77,0.81,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.67,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 96, CHI 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.75,0.8,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.56,0.54,0.37,0.48,0.57,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.74,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.74,0.89,0.85,0.84,1	91.8%
GSW 108, BKN 110	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.65,0.78,0.69,0.74,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.93,0.85,0.58,1	91.1%
NYK 67, PHI 72	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.77,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.58,1	91.1%