NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	107		Excitement	11.2 [29]		MVP	James Robinson (MIN): +20.0%
Dallas Mavericks	105		Comeback	93.3 [15]		LVP	Derek Harper (DAL): -39.3%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Robinson	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.08	0.14	0.02	10	75%	0.23	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,0	-0.06	0.06	0.00	16	49%	0.05	2	-0.05	9	78%	0.05
Sam Mitchell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Carr	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	7	61%	0.02	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Doug West	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	6	50%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Terry Porter	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	5	50%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04
Dean Garrett	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	5	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.01	-0.07	0.02	15	64%	0.02	4	-0.10	6	83%	-0.06
Tom Gugliotta	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.23,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.35,-0.43,-0.49,-0.55,-0.5,-0.5,-0.18	-0.06	-0.11	0.01	23	46%	-0.11	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,-0.08,-0.08,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.01	-0.03	14	71%	0.15	4	-0.06	7	86%	-0.01
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.17,0.13,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.04	0.04	-0.10	0.14	0.00	20	47%	0.22	5	-0.18	3	100%	0.02
Ed O'Bannon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Martin Muursepp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	10	55%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Greg Dreiling	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.02	-0.03	3	33%	0.01	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	6	39%	-0.09	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.03
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.03	-0.13	0.01	9	68%	0.07	2	-0.18	4	75%	-0.00
Khalid Reeves	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.24	-0.24	-0.05	-0.17	0.02	14	43%	-0.15	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Derek Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.39,-0.39	-0.39	-0.14	-0.26	-0.01	12	25%	-0.29	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	22.7	2.4	24.8	16.6	25.4	1.7	42.2	1.4	13.9	1.7	21.2	174.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	1.6	17.8	1.6	17.8	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +15.1%

MIN +2.7%

DAL -3.5%

MIN +31.8%

MIN +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	DAL	NBA	MIN	DAL	NBA
this game	15.3	17.2	15.6	98.2	100.0	104.4
season	15.5	15.9		103.3	99.1
opponent	15.7	15.5		105.5	105.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIN	13.7	14.7	16.9	14.4	20.9	15.3
DAL	16.3	16.7	16.6	17.5	25.7	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Carr	56	52	1.36	-0.86	2.22	0.72	22	-20	42	15.0	15.7	-0.64	16.8	17.6	-0.76
James Robinson	53	51	0.82	-0.32	1.13	0.52	10	-8	18	15.5	15.2	0.20	18.4	16.1	2.22
Kevin Garnett	92	90	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.36	10	-8	18	15.0	17.4	-2.37	17.4	16.3	1.02
Stephon Marbury	87	85	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.52	4	-2	6	15.3	15.5	-0.13	17.0	18.2	-1.29
Tom Gugliotta	96	91	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.59	-4	6	-10	15.5	13.9	1.62	17.1	17.6	-0.50
Cherokee Parks	20	19	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.02	7	-5	12	14.9	15.4	-0.55	15.9	17.5	-1.54
Sam Mitchell	33	31	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.03	-2	4	-6	14.8	15.6	-0.80	16.9	17.3	-0.39
Terry Porter	22	20	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.08	-2	4	-6	15.5	15.3	0.13	18.2	17.0	1.29
Doug West	33	35	-0.40	0.90	-1.30	0.01	-14	16	-30	15.7	15.2	0.54	17.2	17.2	0.03
Dean Garrett	53	51	-1.00	1.50	-2.51	-0.39	-21	23	-44	16.2	14.6	1.56	16.9	17.5	-0.52

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Strickland	65	69	0.38	-0.88	1.27	0.15	8	-10	18	17.4	17.0	0.38	15.6	14.9	0.71
Ed O'Bannon	20	20	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.13	1	-3	4	17.1	17.2	-0.14	14.0	15.6	-1.59
Shawn Bradley	52	56	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-3	4	16.4	18.0	-1.67	14.9	15.8	-0.97
Samaki Walker	22	21	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	2	-6	16.2	17.5	-1.24	14.2	15.6	-1.38
Martin Muursepp	22	22	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.11	-5	3	-8	18.4	16.9	1.52	15.3	15.4	-0.10
Greg Dreiling	17	18	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.34	6	-8	14	17.2	17.2	0.03	16.3	15.2	1.18
Khalid Reeves	78	82	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.54	4	-6	10	17.3	17.0	0.33	15.6	14.7	0.86
A.C. Green	89	92	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.50	-1	-1	0	17.3	16.5	0.84	15.5	14.5	1.04
Michael Finley	96	99	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.52	-1	-1	0	17.4	15.6	1.81	15.8	11.1	4.68
Derek Harper	64	66	-1.38	0.88	-2.26	-0.82	-19	17	-36	17.2	17.2	-0.06	14.8	16.1	-1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.39,0.33,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.78,0.87,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.94,0.9,0.77,0.68,0.84,0.46,0.33,0.71,0.94,0.83,0.46,0.61,0.78,0.91,0.85,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 95, IND 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.22,0.26,0.33,0.2,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.78,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.93,0.89,0.84,0.72,1	84.3%
OKC 103, LAC 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.57,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.38,0.35,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.99,1,1	84.1%
ATL 82, HOU 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.19,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.38,0.38,0.55,0.58,0.74,0.85,0.78,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	84.1%