inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 103 Excitement6.7 [483] MVPKevin Durant (OKC): +17.2%
Los Angeles Clippers 111 Comeback5.1 [431] LVPDerek Fisher (OKC): -12.5%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant0.170,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.170.060.130.021862%0.305-0.131788%0.11
Serge Ibaka0.130,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.120.010.016100%0.141-0.021100%0.01
Nick Collison0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.030.002100%0.0700.0000%0.00
Perry Jones0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.01-0.00383%0.0500.0000%0.00
Steven Adams0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.01-0.01470%0.051-0.01250%-0.01
Hasheem Thabeet0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.01-0.00444%0.0200.0010%-0.01
Ryan Gomes-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.000.001100%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Reggie Jackson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.00-0.010.03656%0.032-0.074100%0.01
Thabo Sefolosha-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.05-0.020.02554%0.004-0.103100%0.01
Russell Westbrook-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1-0.08-0.04-0.011846%0.025-0.12560%-0.05
Jeremy Lamb-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.10-0.03-0.0150%-0.091-0.0300%0.00
Derek Fisher-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.09-0.04-0.0030%-0.062-0.0600%0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ryan Hollins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.040.090.002100%0.1300.0000%0.00
DeAndre Jordan0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.020.00875%0.143-0.08475%0.01
JJ Redick0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.011352%0.051-0.023100%0.02
Darren Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.00-0.02657%0.061-0.032100%0.01
Jamal Crawford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0.01,0.01,0.020.020.020.020.021367%0.155-0.13475%0.01
Blake Griffin0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,00.00-0.010.020.011459%0.145-0.14967%-0.02
Byron Mullens0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00125%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Reggie Bullock0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.00150%0.011-0.042100%0.02
Chris Paul0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.060.01-0.031541%0.012-0.034100%0.02
Jared Dudley0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01850%0.053-0.08475%-0.00
Matt Barnes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.10-0.00-0.0250%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.73.440.618.434.63.536.2163.4
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAC +12.0%
OKC -1.9%
LAC +29.6%
LAC +1.2%
LAC +9.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCLACNBAOKCLACNBA
this game13.414.415.1101.0105.7105.2
season14.414.3107.8111.0
opponent15.415.4104.3102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC12.114.415.211.913.4
LAC16.015.610.915.214.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Perry Jones12130.17-0.670.850.035-131814.713.21.4216.514.12.35
Serge Ibaka33340.01-0.510.510.010-8813.813.20.6516.113.62.54
Nick Collison3941-0.00-0.500.50-0.155-131813.213.5-0.3315.413.71.66
Ryan Gomes1414-0.14-0.360.230.01-5-3-214.913.21.7611.714.8-3.10
Steven Adams4548-0.15-0.350.20-0.03-4-4013.513.30.2215.313.61.68
Russell Westbrook7374-0.16-0.340.18-0.10-2-6413.413.5-0.1015.112.62.54
Thabo Sefolosha7376-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.14-4-4013.114.3-1.2114.913.01.93
Jeremy Lamb3132-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.21-2-6414.013.10.8912.115.4-3.32
Derek Fisher1312-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.10-7-1-613.613.40.239.415.0-5.63
Reggie Jackson5456-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.25-6-2-412.414.6-2.1714.614.20.44
Kevin Durant9093-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.22-91-1013.215.3-2.1814.116.7-2.65
Hasheem Thabeet3332-0.49-0.01-0.49-0.17-113-1414.512.91.5911.915.5-3.54

Los Angeles Clippers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Paul89850.480.020.450.1810-21214.513.90.6213.612.70.85
Reggie Bullock14140.420.080.340.0712-4169.515.2-5.6514.213.30.93
Blake Griffin82810.350.150.200.1280814.613.70.9613.313.8-0.50
Ryan Hollins24240.280.220.060.0580812.115.1-2.9513.413.4-0.05
JJ Redick52520.280.220.06-0.0110-21215.013.81.2314.312.51.79
Jamal Crawford62580.270.230.040.30-19-1014.114.8-0.6612.314.9-2.63
DeAndre Jordan69670.220.28-0.060.1626-414.913.41.4514.112.11.98
Jared Dudley65640.220.28-0.070.0171614.614.10.4814.012.41.54
Darren Collison41400.200.30-0.100.26-210-1213.515.0-1.5012.114.3-2.20
Matt Barnes1715-0.060.56-0.630.11-614-2016.414.02.4011.913.7-1.73
Byron Mullens1010-0.150.65-0.800.09-816-2418.314.04.3113.413.4-0.01


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.57,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.38,0.35,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 78, NJN 860.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.97,1,193.0%
NJN 68, CHA 790.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.18,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.38,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,193.0%
TOR 84, IND 1080.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.31,0.29,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,192.9%