inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Bobcats 95 Excitement6.4 [497] MVPRonald Murray (IND): +13.2%
Indiana Pacers 102 Comeback4.2 [388] LVPMike Dunleavy (IND): -29.8%


Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Richardson0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.12,0.110.020.08-0.001850%0.141-0.03475%0.03
Matt Carroll0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.090.000.02986%0.173-0.083100%0.02
Othella Harrington-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00440%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Ryan Hollins-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.01846%0.001-0.02837%-0.05
Emeka Okafor-0.030,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.00-0.020.011100%0.011-0.0400%0.00
Earl Boykins-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Nazr Mohammed-0.060,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.060.01-0.040.03862%0.022-0.0700%0.00
Gerald Wallace-0.060,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.060.02-0.070.011063%0.054-0.117100%0.04
Jared Dudley-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.00624%-0.0600.00580%-0.00
Raymond Felton-0.200,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.2-0.09-0.100.001236%-0.083-0.111100%0.00

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ronald Murray0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.130.130.080.060.011567%0.213-0.083100%0.01
Shawne Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.110.01-0.01980%0.171-0.042100%0.00
Marquis Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.110.110.000.110.011150%0.141-0.03475%0.04
Troy Murphy0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.15-0.010.04990%0.141-0.03250%-0.01
Jeff Foster0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.000.01953%0.031-0.0210%-0.01
David Harrison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.000.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Ike Diogu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Travis Diener0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00333%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Kareem Rush0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.011035%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Mike Dunleavy0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.13,-0.13,-0.32,-0.3-0.30-0.14-0.140.011237%-0.145-0.168100%0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.42.628.114.824.32.533.2130.9
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +40.2%
CHA -4.3%
IND +14.3%
CHA -0.2%
CHA -0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHAINDNBACHAINDNBA
this game15.714.215.497.9107.4105.7
season15.813.8103.1104.5
opponent15.215.1105.6107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHA16.216.818.112.315.7
IND13.813.213.816.014.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ryan Hollins44420.09-0.590.69-0.2913-203314.716.6-1.9015.313.41.96
Othella Harrington2120-0.04-0.460.420.02-2-5316.615.51.1213.114.5-1.38
Earl Boykins2122-0.18-0.320.15-0.12-2-5319.014.84.1614.614.10.51
Matt Carroll5553-0.21-0.290.09-0.241-8914.916.8-1.8414.913.41.54
Emeka Okafor4140-0.22-0.280.060.04-92-1116.415.21.2113.914.5-0.55
Jason Richardson8079-0.24-0.260.03-0.333-101315.019.1-4.0214.314.20.07
Raymond Felton7673-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.18-5-2-314.819.0-4.1614.114.6-0.51
Nazr Mohammed2928-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.08-92-1117.914.83.1214.014.4-0.39
Jared Dudley3537-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.10-125-1717.914.53.4413.914.5-0.57
Gerald Wallace8381-0.590.09-0.68-0.21-136-1915.218.7-3.4713.916.2-2.31

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeff Foster53550.99-0.491.480.1429-225113.814.8-0.9316.814.42.44
Mike Dunleavy86880.61-0.110.720.2612-51714.016.8-2.8015.319.7-4.33
Shawne Williams39380.490.010.480.1113-61914.014.4-0.4113.417.3-3.90
Ronald Murray73740.450.050.410.228-1913.915.3-1.4015.117.7-2.56
Marquis Daniels59610.300.200.110.3007-714.413.90.4815.316.6-1.29
Kareem Rush46460.090.41-0.330.0907-714.813.71.0917.114.52.52
Travis Diener22230.050.45-0.410.08-18-915.313.91.4017.715.12.56
Ike Diogu1111-0.080.58-0.65-0.02-29-1112.114.5-2.4313.516.0-2.58
Troy Murphy6970-0.170.67-0.850.21-1320-3314.713.11.6016.114.81.29
David Harrison1719-0.230.73-0.960.09-1118-2914.914.10.7817.615.32.35


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.22,0.26,0.33,0.2,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.78,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.93,0.89,0.84,0.72,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 90, ORL 1100.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.29,0.34,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.33,0.22,0.25,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.81,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,193.4%
TOR 91, SAC 980.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.67,0.76,0.7,0.78,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.97,0.96,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.95,193.1%
CHI 95, WAS 1010.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.56,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.86,0.96,192.7%