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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 111 Excitement6.3 [514] MVPMitch Richmond (SAC): +26.4%
Boston Celtics 105 Comeback1.8 [572] LVPBilly Owens (SAC): -17.5%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mitch Richmond0.260,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.2,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.260.140.11-0.011978%0.395-0.121182%0.03
Tyus Edney0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.01-0.02469%0.071-0.03887%0.04
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.001154%0.0200.00475%0.01
Olden Polynice0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01-0.010.020.00673%0.093-0.081060%-0.01
Kevin Gamble0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.010.00350%0.0000.0000%0.00
Corliss Williamson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.00450%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Jeff Grayer-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.00333%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Michael Smith-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.01-0.01425%-0.0800.00425%-0.05
Billy Owens-0.180,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18-0.12-0.060.001553%-0.016-0.17850%-0.03

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rick Fox0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.130.130.12-0.01-0.021189%0.204-0.076100%0.03
David Wesley0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.120.120.130.030.041766%0.1200.0010%-0.01
Steve Hamer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Alton Lister0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.000.011100%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Brett Szabo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Marty Conlon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08-0.08-0.03-0.020.02839%-0.0800.00250%-0.01
Todd Day0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.09-0.020.02633%-0.063-0.0700%0.00
Eric Williams0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.07-0.050.011450%-0.082-0.051267%-0.02
Antoine Walker0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.14-0.14-0.08-0.050.012343%-0.111-0.031070%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.02.031.115.828.01.835.2137.8
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAC +45.2%
SAC +8.2%
SAC +14.9%
BOS -18.4%
SAC +0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACBOSNBASACBOSNBA
this game14.216.015.6116.8109.4104.4
season15.414.8102.4101.8
opponent14.715.4109.5106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAC14.113.512.616.414.2
BOS16.619.216.212.516.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Olden Polynice81800.51-0.010.530.3751414.114.5-0.4015.618.0-2.41
Mitch Richmond86860.50-0.000.510.3360614.312.41.8915.718.2-2.47
Michael Smith59620.440.060.380.0314-82214.014.4-0.3717.114.03.08
Billy Owens84850.420.080.330.3624-214.015.0-0.9515.420.9-5.56
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf50500.300.200.090.068-21013.814.6-0.7616.016.0-0.02
Tyus Edney41430.140.36-0.230.22-39-1214.314.10.2414.916.9-2.00
Kevin Gamble39400.130.37-0.250.1306-613.814.4-0.6616.315.80.53
Jeff Grayer13140.070.43-0.370.0124-213.914.2-0.2720.215.34.95
Corliss Williamson22200.010.49-0.480.12-410-1415.913.62.2216.815.81.09

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brett Szabo20210.07-0.570.640.041-7816.815.81.0214.214.10.10
Alton Lister21210.03-0.530.56-0.094-101416.615.80.8116.213.62.61
Steve Hamer54-0.05-0.450.400.01-2-4219.215.83.398.714.4-5.65
Rick Fox7878-0.22-0.280.07-0.251-7815.916.5-0.6314.711.53.20
Todd Day3837-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.26-4-2-215.916.0-0.0712.715.1-2.38
Antoine Walker9291-0.44-0.06-0.39-0.30-5-1-416.114.02.0813.919.2-5.32
Eric Williams8889-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.32-5-1-416.312.24.0814.312.02.30
David Wesley9391-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.36-4-2-215.530.0-14.4614.212.71.47
Marty Conlon4543-0.570.07-0.65-0.10-1610-2615.316.6-1.2813.914.4-0.50


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.1,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.29,0.19,0.17,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 92, HOU 840.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.03,0.04,094.1%
MIL 110, BOS 1010.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.69,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.42,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.22,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.08,0.01,0,0,093.6%
DET 99, MEM 920.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.4,0.27,0.18,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.04,0.03,0.04,093.6%