NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	99		Excitement	6.1 [586]		MVP	Chauncey Billups (DET): +29.1%
Memphis Grizzlies	92		Comeback	2.3 [220]		LVP	Pau Gasol (MEM): -19.9%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0.29	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.29	0.12	0.17	-0.00	21	66%	0.34	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	11	67%	0.08	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Tremaine Fowlkes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Elden Campbell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	80%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Darko Milicic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Lindsey Hunter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	6	43%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Richard Hamilton	-0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	16	45%	0.02	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	11	35%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.08
Corliss Williamson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	7	44%	-0.04	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.07	-0.02	9	55%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	7	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.05	-0.00	14	60%	0.06	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	2	37%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	6	57%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	5	43%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Mike Miller	0,0,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	16	50%	-0.01	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	6	42%	-0.04	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2	-0.20	-0.12	-0.06	0.02	15	38%	-0.10	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	546.2	2.7	34.0	0.2	33.0	3.0	36.2	655.4
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +37.0%

DET +3.9%

DET +7.5%

MEM -2.5%

DET +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	MEM	NBA	DET	MEM	NBA
this game	16.1	15.2	15.7	108.8	98.9	100.5
season	16.2	15.3		99.2	102.3
opponent	15.7	16.0		100.5	92.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	17.6	15.9	15.0	16.0	16.1
MEM	14.5	16.1	14.4	16.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	68	69	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.17	20	-13	33	15.7	17.4	-1.73	15.4	14.5	0.91
Chauncey Billups	73	74	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.30	8	-1	9	15.8	17.1	-1.26	15.6	13.6	1.99
Ben Wallace	70	69	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.30	5	2	3	16.6	14.4	2.17	15.4	14.7	0.74
Richard Hamilton	72	70	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.22	7	0	7	16.1	16.2	-0.07	14.7	16.7	-1.91
Elden Campbell	29	30	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.07	11	-4	15	14.9	16.6	-1.71	17.4	14.2	3.18
Corliss Williamson	41	43	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.24	-4	11	-15	16.7	15.6	1.15	15.3	15.2	0.12
Mehmet Okur	38	39	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	8	-9	16.1	16.1	0.01	13.6	16.4	-2.71
Darko Milicic	2	2	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.02	1	6	-5	13.5	16.2	-2.66	17.0	15.2	1.82
Lindsey Hunter	26	29	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.05	-1	8	-9	15.7	16.3	-0.62	14.7	15.4	-0.71
Tremaine Fowlkes	4	6	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	12	-17	14.5	16.2	-1.67	10.2	15.6	-5.40
Bob Sura	32	34	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.07	-6	13	-19	17.5	15.3	2.16	15.5	15.1	0.40

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bo Outlaw	31	29	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.13	9	-16	25	15.6	15.0	0.55	17.1	15.6	1.42
Wesley Person	31	29	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.13	9	-16	25	15.6	15.0	0.55	17.1	15.6	1.42
Earl Watson	40	37	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.27	10	-17	27	15.4	15.1	0.32	17.7	15.0	2.70
Shane Battier	54	52	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.31	11	-18	29	14.1	16.7	-2.54	17.3	14.5	2.87
Lorenzen Wright	56	54	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.28	3	-10	13	14.2	16.7	-2.47	17.2	14.5	2.63
Jake Tsakalidis	37	37	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.02	-10	3	-13	16.7	14.2	2.47	14.5	17.2	-2.63
James Posey	39	39	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.02	-18	11	-29	16.7	14.1	2.54	14.5	17.3	-2.87
Jason Williams	53	54	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.02	-17	10	-27	15.1	15.4	-0.32	15.0	17.7	-2.70
Pau Gasol	62	62	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.16	-16	9	-25	15.0	15.6	-0.55	15.6	17.1	-1.42
Mike Miller	62	62	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.16	-16	9	-25	15.0	15.6	-0.55	15.6	17.1	-1.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.4,0.27,0.18,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.04,0.03,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 111, BOS 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.1,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.29,0.19,0.17,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.02,0	93.6%
DEN 99, SAC 90	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.7,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.23,0.19,0.11,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.06,0.03,0,0,0	93.2%
PHX 117, HOU 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.38,0.25,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.14,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.22,0.14,0.04,0.01,0,0	93.2%