inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 124 Excitement10.5 [47] MVPDamon Stoudamire (TOR): +61.4%
Denver Nuggets 122 Comeback2.3 [462] LVPLaPhonso Ellis (DEN): -13.8%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire0.610,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.25,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.6,0.6,0.49,0.610.120.49-0.002267%0.723-0.118100%0.16
Doug Christie0.090,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.070.020.011671%0.194-0.10683%0.02
Shawn Respert0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.050.03-0.00570%0.0800.0000%0.00
Carlos Rogers0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.02-0.00863%0.0700.00367%-0.01
Sharone Wright0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.00287%0.0500.00475%0.00
Clifford Rozier0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Oliver Miller0.020,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.06-0.030.01585%0.101-0.083100%0.04
Hubert Davis-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.00250%0.002-0.0500%0.00
Walt Williams-0.080,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.080.01-0.090.001065%-0.003-0.0800%0.00
Marcus Camby-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.02-0.0040%-0.071-0.0300%0.00
Popeye Jones-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.05-0.080.00650%0.013-0.1400%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brooks Thompson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.390.390.100.29-0.00983%0.462-0.0700%0.00
Anthony Goldwire0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.22,0.220.210.060.160.001173%0.293-0.0800%0.00
Ervin Johnson0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.04-0.016100%0.195-0.1300%0.00
Tom Hammonds0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.000.001100%0.0300.001100%0.00
George Zidek0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.010.00267%0.0100.002100%0.01
Dale Ellis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.06-0.07-0.00963%-0.0100.0010%-0.03
Jerome Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05-0.05-0.050.020.01737%-0.031-0.022100%0.01
Antonio McDyess0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.001059%0.045-0.13250%-0.02
Bryant Stith0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.08-0.040.00356%-0.033-0.091090%0.03
LaPhonso Ellis0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.06,-0.14-0.140.02-0.150.012556%-0.023-0.12786%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game22.12.426.315.825.81.732.31.815.8144.1
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.11.617.8135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +6.6%
TOR +39.3%
TOR +15.8%
DEN -4.3%
DEN -7.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORDENNBATORDENNBA
this game15.414.715.6117.0116.2104.4
season16.115.2102.2102.3
opponent15.315.0108.8105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
TOR13.113.317.819.014.515.4
DEN13.614.316.515.214.114.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Doug Christie93910.78-0.281.070.558-61414.919.2-4.3614.814.40.43
Oliver Miller58560.72-0.220.940.469-71614.716.2-1.5114.914.50.46
Walt Williams72720.70-0.200.890.4010-81815.016.3-1.3515.213.81.33
Damon Stoudamire89870.58-0.080.660.5220215.216.5-1.3414.814.40.35
Marcus Camby36360.250.25-0.010.33-35-817.014.62.4613.915.1-1.20
Popeye Jones71720.100.40-0.300.1002-215.714.70.9915.413.22.26
Sharone Wright12130.020.48-0.47-0.0111013.215.7-2.5213.314.9-1.63
Hubert Davis1515-0.000.50-0.51-0.0002-215.715.40.3014.014.9-0.86
Clifford Rozier1919-0.010.51-0.520.05-24-613.515.8-2.3514.814.70.13
Carlos Rogers3736-0.270.77-1.03-0.06-79-1616.814.62.2013.915.1-1.20
Shawn Respert2828-0.360.86-1.23-0.13-810-1817.714.63.1414.015.0-0.95

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dale Ellis57570.15-0.650.80-0.036-81414.714.8-0.1116.913.73.26
George Zidek1312-0.02-0.480.470.01-1-1013.314.9-1.6313.215.7-2.52
Tom Hammonds2224-0.07-0.430.37-0.122-4612.815.3-2.4813.116.1-2.95
Brooks Thompson4242-0.12-0.380.26-0.327-91613.915.3-1.3416.514.71.73
Anthony Goldwire6869-0.13-0.370.230.04-64-1014.714.70.0114.616.8-2.20
Jerome Allen4244-0.16-0.340.18-0.346-81415.614.11.4816.514.61.95
Antonio McDyess5153-0.17-0.330.17-0.05-42-615.014.50.4814.416.4-2.02
Bryant Stith5858-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.04-86-1414.714.8-0.1414.616.4-1.89
LaPhonso Ellis9291-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.36-42-614.715.0-0.3015.216.9-1.70
Ervin Johnson7069-0.730.23-0.97-0.56-64-1015.613.02.6416.713.03.74


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.42,0.48,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.34,0.43,0.34,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.48,0.29,0.15,0.16,0.46,0.67,0.54,0.33,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 90, UTA 870.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.05,0.16,0.46,0.75,0.63,0.45,0.26,089.8%
ORL 96, BOS 920.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.38,0.28,0.06,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.16,0.16,089.6%
DAL 114, DEN 1120.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.35,0.33,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.55,0.45,0.31,0.27,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.22,0.27,089.2%