NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	99		Excitement	6.2 [553]		MVP	Walt Williams (TOR): +15.1%
Dallas Mavericks	92		Comeback	2.6 [675]		LVP	Khalid Reeves (DAL): -18.2%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walt Williams	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.03	0.11	-0.01	13	54%	0.17	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.06	-0.01	11	58%	0.13	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Oliver Miller	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	6	83%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	-0.02	0.03	17	61%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.08	0.06	-0.05	14	44%	0.10	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.00
Carlos Rogers	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	0.00	5	80%	0.10	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Popeye Jones	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	12	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Rozier	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Respert	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	16	56%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Michael Finley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	17	54%	0.11	3	-0.11	3	100%	0.02
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.00	3	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	-0.01	11	55%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Greg Dreiling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed O'Bannon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Danilovic	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	13	56%	-0.03	2	-0.04	10	80%	0.02
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	0.04	6	58%	0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Khalid Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.06	-0.11	0.01	10	50%	-0.01	4	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.5	22.5	16.5	22.3	2.7	33.2	122.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +51.0%

DAL -7.1%

DAL -14.8%

TOR +18.9%

TOR +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	DAL	NBA	TOR	DAL	NBA
this game	16.1	16.4	15.6	112.5	103.4	104.4
season	16.1	15.9		102.2	99.1
opponent	15.7	15.0		105.5	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	20.4	14.7	15.0	14.8	16.1
DAL	14.9	18.0	19.3	14.0	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Rogers	53	53	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.19	16	-9	25	13.9	19.4	-5.45	14.8	18.9	-4.19
Doug Christie	82	82	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.26	9	-2	11	15.9	18.8	-2.94	17.0	9.6	7.47
Damon Stoudamire	80	81	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.32	4	3	1	16.1	15.6	0.51	16.3	17.7	-1.43
Oliver Miller	46	46	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.15	8	-1	9	16.0	16.2	-0.14	18.0	14.8	3.21
Marcus Camby	52	53	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.05	8	-1	9	15.5	16.9	-1.44	15.5	17.9	-2.37
Shawn Respert	29	30	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	6	-5	15.8	16.2	-0.44	13.1	18.2	-5.10
Walt Williams	51	52	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.30	-6	13	-19	17.1	14.7	2.40	17.0	15.6	1.37
Popeye Jones	37	39	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	10	-13	18.8	14.1	4.69	19.9	13.7	6.23
Clifford Rozier	10	9	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	9	-11	17.9	15.9	2.04	12.8	16.9	-4.08

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samaki Walker	25	26	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.03	-4	-3	-1	14.8	17.1	-2.29	16.5	15.9	0.53
Ed O'Bannon	14	15	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-3	-1	17.1	16.3	0.74	15.3	16.2	-0.91
Greg Dreiling	34	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	-4	1	14.4	17.7	-3.30	16.4	15.9	0.50
Erick Strickland	37	36	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.04	-5	-2	-3	12.9	19.0	-6.04	13.5	17.9	-4.38
Khalid Reeves	71	70	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.32	1	-8	9	16.8	15.2	1.54	16.2	15.8	0.32
Shawn Bradley	55	56	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.22	-4	-3	-1	17.7	14.4	3.30	15.9	16.4	-0.50
Michael Finley	75	73	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.32	-3	-4	1	16.3	17.1	-0.74	16.2	15.3	0.91
A.C. Green	64	62	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.33	-3	-4	1	17.1	14.8	2.29	15.9	16.5	-0.53
Sasha Danilovic	70	70	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.23	-10	3	-13	18.0	10.7	7.26	17.4	11.2	6.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.35,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.35,0.23,0.31,0.04,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 105, BOS 91	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.56,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.37,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0	92.6%
LAC 119, NJN 116	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.61,0.57,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.31,0.24,0.31,0.19,0.15,0.05,0.02,0	92.5%
MIA 104, BKN 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.17,0.19,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.08,0	92.1%