NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	114		Excitement	6.9 [429]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): +20.6%
Miami Heat	110		Comeback	5.8 [70]		LVP	Tim Hardaway (MIA): -40.7%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.09	0.11	-0.01	15	64%	0.21	0	0.00	9	78%	0.02
Arvydas Sabonis	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	9	85%	0.21	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Stacey Augmon	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.05	0.00	2	100%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	11	54%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Clifford Robinson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	11	64%	0.09	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	11	67%	0.10	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	17	39%	-0.09	1	-0.01	7	71%	0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2	0.20	0.17	0.05	0.02	17	76%	0.28	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.04	-0.01	7	78%	0.14	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Ed Pinckney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Strickland	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	9	63%	0.02	2	-0.04	9	78%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	9	33%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Crotty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	0.06	6	59%	-0.06	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.01
Ike Austin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	11	46%	-0.07	1	-0.03	13	62%	-0.04
Tim Hardaway	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.29,-0.29,-0.36,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41	-0.41	-0.20	-0.19	0.02	17	36%	-0.26	4	-0.15	10	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.6	2.5	29.4	15.6	28.5	1.8	34.4	141.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +50.9%

MIA -5.3%

MIA -4.5%

POR +7.9%

POR +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MIA	NBA	POR	MIA	NBA
this game	14.4	15.2	15.6	117.5	112.2	104.4
season	15.5	15.8		105.2	103.1
opponent	16.3	15.5		98.3	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	12.2	15.5	17.0	13.5	14.4
MIA	13.0	15.1	16.5	16.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stacey Augmon	42	43	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.41	13	-9	22	14.9	14.0	0.89	16.3	14.3	1.99
Chris Dudley	36	35	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.11	17	-13	30	13.9	14.6	-0.73	15.9	14.8	1.14
Rasheed Wallace	76	79	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.35	9	-5	14	14.3	14.6	-0.28	15.5	13.9	1.60
Kenny Anderson	86	87	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.40	2	2	0	14.2	15.5	-1.25	15.1	16.1	-1.02
Gary Trent	43	41	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.31	0	4	-4	14.3	14.4	-0.04	15.3	15.1	0.15
Clifford Robinson	78	78	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.23	-5	9	-14	13.9	16.0	-2.05	14.7	17.2	-2.60
Marcus Brown	11	11	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.02	2	2	0	15.5	14.2	1.25	16.1	15.1	1.02
Jermaine O'Neal	16	16	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	4	-4	12.6	14.7	-2.07	14.2	15.4	-1.12
Arvydas Sabonis	42	45	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.16	-9	13	-22	16.3	12.9	3.41	15.2	15.1	0.11
Isaiah Rider	55	55	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	-0.02	-9	13	-22	14.0	14.9	-0.89	14.3	16.3	-1.99

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alonzo Mourning	33	33	0.28	-0.78	1.07	-0.01	10	-14	24	14.5	15.6	-1.10	15.7	13.7	1.99
Mark Strickland	3	2	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.02	1	-5	6	14.7	15.2	-0.53	14.5	14.3	0.15
P.J. Brown	88	85	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.26	1	-5	6	15.0	16.4	-1.35	14.1	16.2	-2.07
Jamal Mashburn	66	67	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.29	2	-6	8	15.6	14.4	1.15	14.2	14.8	-0.60
Tim Hardaway	86	85	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.30	2	-6	8	14.9	17.2	-2.35	14.2	15.1	-0.84
Ed Pinckney	30	31	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.12	-7	3	-10	13.6	15.9	-2.23	15.7	13.7	1.95
John Crotty	28	27	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.34	0	-4	4	16.2	14.8	1.44	14.4	14.3	0.03
Voshon Lenard	84	84	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.35	-9	5	-14	15.0	16.4	-1.37	14.2	15.2	-0.93
Ike Austin	72	71	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.22	-20	16	-36	16.2	12.4	3.76	13.9	15.6	-1.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.8,0.8,0.68,0.58,0.38,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.22,0.31,0.15,0.01,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 103, NJN 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.55,0.65,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.74,0.64,0.5,0.4,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.1,0.02,0	92.4%
IND 84, ATL 79	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.78,0.6,0.5,0.35,0.38,0.2,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.09,0.05,0	91.9%
BOS 109, UTA 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.58,0.38,0.21,0.2,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.08,0	91.7%