NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	103		Excitement	6.6 [484]		MVP	Jon Barry (DET): +31.8%
New Jersey Nets	98		Comeback	5.2 [291]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): -23.7%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jon Barry	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.32,0.32	0.17	0.14	-0.01	9	94%	0.32	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.08	0.11	0.01	15	66%	0.24	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	8	70%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Damon Jones	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	83%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	5	36%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Clifford Robinson	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	13	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Michael Curry	-0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.01	0.00	19	37%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.16	-0.04	-0.01	9	39%	-0.09	4	-0.10	10	90%	0.03

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.2,0.31,0.31,0.3	0.30	0.17	0.13	-0.01	18	79%	0.39	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	10	64%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.03	13	66%	0.06	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	10	52%	0.02	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	4	20%	-0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.02
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.14	-0.06	0.04	16	22%	-0.20	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	3.3	26.3	19.4	24.0	2.8	27.4	128.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +36.8%

NJN -2.0%

NJN -3.3%

DET +15.9%

DET +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	NJN	NBA	DET	NJN	NBA
this game	15.3	14.7	15.6	106.2	103.2	102.3
season	15.7	14.7		101.9	101.4
opponent	16.0	15.8		98.0	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.0	14.8	15.7	16.7	15.3
NJN	13.7	15.8	14.3	15.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jon Barry	51	49	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.38	10	-5	15	15.3	15.3	-0.03	15.8	13.6	2.17
Corliss Williamson	45	45	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.40	8	-3	11	14.7	15.8	-1.08	15.6	13.9	1.66
Clifford Robinson	78	75	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.23	8	-3	11	15.2	15.7	-0.58	14.4	15.9	-1.55
Ben Wallace	85	84	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.26	6	-1	7	15.2	15.5	-0.26	15.0	12.5	2.57
Damon Jones	34	31	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.30	0	5	-5	16.1	14.8	1.31	15.7	14.2	1.46
Chucky Atkins	63	64	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.06	5	0	5	14.8	16.1	-1.31	14.2	15.7	-1.46
Zeljko Rebraca	30	29	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.22	-3	8	-11	15.8	15.0	0.82	14.9	14.7	0.25
Jerry Stackhouse	57	57	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.07	-3	8	-11	15.4	15.1	0.33	14.0	15.8	-1.86
Michael Curry	42	41	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.01	-6	11	-17	15.6	15.0	0.58	13.4	15.7	-2.31

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Williams	52	52	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.12	12	-17	29	13.7	16.0	-2.37	15.7	14.8	0.96
Jason Kidd	62	62	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.17	1	-6	7	13.6	16.9	-3.34	15.0	15.8	-0.83
Kerry Kittles	65	65	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.22	2	-7	9	13.7	16.9	-3.23	15.5	14.7	0.77
Richard Jefferson	79	78	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.19	-1	-4	3	14.5	15.8	-1.31	15.0	16.5	-1.50
Lucious Harris	30	32	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.14	-7	2	-9	16.9	13.7	3.23	14.7	15.5	-0.77
Anthony Johnson	33	35	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.18	-6	1	-7	16.9	13.6	3.34	15.8	15.0	0.83
Keith Van Horn	69	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.10	-9	4	-13	14.8	14.6	0.15	15.2	15.5	-0.37
Brian Scalabrine	42	45	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.42	0	-5	5	15.1	14.5	0.62	15.9	14.7	1.24
Jason Collins	43	45	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.23	-17	12	-29	16.0	13.7	2.37	14.8	15.7	-0.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.55,0.65,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.74,0.64,0.5,0.4,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.1,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 84, ATL 79	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.78,0.6,0.5,0.35,0.38,0.2,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.09,0.05,0	93.6%
UTA 110, PHI 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.35,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.66,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.79,0.71,0.59,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.34,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.05,0	93.0%
SAS 99, POR 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.11,0.08,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.09,0.08,0	92.8%