NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	94		Excitement	9.2 [101]		MVP	John Starks (NYK): +90.2%
New York Knicks	95		Comeback	39.2 [30]		LVP	Chris Childs (NYK): -22.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.18	0.19	0.01	13	85%	0.38	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.11	0.01	0.10	0.00	11	77%	0.29	6	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,0.01,0.01	-0.08	0.09	-0.01	7	29%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dexter Boney	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayman Tisdale	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	0.01	-0.03	13	43%	0.07	4	-0.14	2	0%	-0.03
Cedric Ceballos	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	22	40%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Hot Rod Williams	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	3	25%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Johnson	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13	0.06	-0.19	0.00	9	70%	-0.08	1	-0.05	5	80%	-0.03

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.08,-0.02,0.9	0.90	0.06	0.84	-0.00	11	68%	0.97	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.09	0.02	17	76%	0.33	4	-0.15	7	71%	-0.01
Buck Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.10	-0.00	6	50%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	70%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	15	41%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.00	8	28%	-0.08	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Allan Houston	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.17	-0.17	-0.03	-0.14	-0.00	11	54%	-0.11	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.08	-0.14	0.00	7	29%	-0.05	2	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.4	24.9	15.0	25.1	2.4	31.4	123.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +49.1%

NYK +5.0%

PHX -9.5%

NYK +2.3%

NYK +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	NYK	NBA	PHX	NYK	NBA
this game	15.9	15.2	15.6	101.1	103.3	104.4
season	14.6	15.1		106.8	102.0
opponent	16.1	15.6		98.8	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.9	14.1	18.1	16.7	15.9
NYK	14.5	15.3	13.8	17.6	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cedric Ceballos	65	65	0.26	-0.76	1.03	0.20	2	-3	5	15.9	15.9	-0.07	15.2	15.4	-0.28
Wesley Person	61	61	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.08	1	-2	3	15.8	16.0	-0.18	15.0	15.7	-0.64
Wayman Tisdale	15	15	0.07	-0.56	0.63	0.01	2	-3	5	14.9	16.1	-1.21	15.6	15.2	0.42
Dexter Boney	0	1	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.05	3	-4	7	0.0	15.9	-15.88	0.0	15.4	-15.42
Mark Bryant	69	66	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.47	4	-5	9	15.4	17.2	-1.84	15.8	13.8	2.06
Jason Kidd	69	69	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.48	3	-4	7	15.5	17.0	-1.45	15.8	13.6	2.19
Danny Manning	53	53	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.51	-3	2	-5	16.1	15.6	0.49	15.2	15.3	-0.01
Hot Rod Williams	65	63	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.53	-6	5	-11	15.9	15.9	-0.07	14.7	16.4	-1.75
Kevin Johnson	68	67	-0.93	0.43	-1.35	-0.60	-11	10	-21	16.9	13.1	3.78	15.1	15.8	-0.70

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Ewing	75	76	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.57	4	-3	7	15.1	16.0	-0.92	16.4	13.6	2.73
John Starks	49	49	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.52	4	-3	7	15.9	14.5	1.47	16.3	15.5	0.81
Allan Houston	58	62	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.62	0	1	-1	15.1	15.5	-0.40	14.9	17.8	-2.94
Chris Childs	68	67	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.37	8	-7	15	14.7	16.9	-2.25	16.5	14.4	2.08
Charles Oakley	79	79	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.31	2	-1	3	14.7	18.3	-3.56	15.7	16.6	-0.90
Buck Williams	28	28	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	4	-7	16.7	14.6	2.16	15.4	16.1	-0.70
John Wallace	15	15	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.04	-1	2	-3	15.6	15.2	0.42	14.9	16.1	-1.21
Charlie Ward	24	26	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.10	-7	8	-15	16.9	14.7	2.25	14.4	16.5	-2.08
Larry Johnson	64	63	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	-0.19	-2	3	-5	14.9	16.0	-1.03	16.6	14.4	2.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.29,0.24,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.11,0.2,0.22,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.46,0.47,0.54,0.57,0.26,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 101, SEA 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.31,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.22,0.25,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.58,0.6,0.48,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.53,0.28,0.43,0.42,1	91.0%
DAL 112, NOP 114	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.2,0.12,0.14,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.22,0.3,0.26,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.67,0.31,1	90.4%
IND 87, LAL 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.35,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.23,0.22,0.13,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.47,0.29,0.28,0.38,0.46,0.68,0.42,1	89.9%