NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	94		Excitement	4.8 [823]		MVP	Bob Sura (CLE): +11.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	105		Comeback	1.0 [1192]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (PHI): -14.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Cage	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	3	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rex Walters	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	16	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Overton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	10	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Scott Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	3	67%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Don MacLean	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	8	44%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	11	36%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	22	39%	-0.13	0	0.00	10	100%	0.05
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.02	0.01	13	47%	-0.05	4	-0.09	8	75%	-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.03	-0.07	6	82%	0.14	4	-0.03	5	60%	-0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.01	0.05	9	88%	0.10	3	-0.05	7	86%	0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	15	58%	0.09	3	-0.05	8	87%	0.02
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	14	39%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark West	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donny Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	8	31%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Phills	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	11	46%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	11	38%	-0.06	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	22.6	16.6	24.2	1.7	32.3	125.9
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +40.3%

CLE +1.8%

CLE +8.3%

CLE +1.1%

PHI -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CLE	NBA	PHI	CLE	NBA
this game	14.8	15.3	15.6	97.9	110.5	104.4
season	14.7	17.8		101.4	102.1
opponent	16.1	14.7		100.0	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.4	17.9	16.9	11.1	14.8
CLE	14.4	15.5	16.6	15.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Williams	21	21	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-13	15	11.2	15.8	-4.65	12.5	16.1	-3.61
Doug Overton	11	10	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-11	11	17.5	14.5	3.07	16.2	15.2	0.96
Michael Cage	27	27	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	-7	3	17.5	13.8	3.70	16.5	14.9	1.65
Mark Davis	30	30	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.01	-5	-6	1	11.0	16.6	-5.56	12.5	16.6	-4.10
Clar. Weatherspoon	58	57	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-9	7	15.8	13.3	2.54	16.9	13.0	3.89
Jerry Stackhouse	85	84	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-7	3	14.4	18.3	-3.90	15.4	14.9	0.48
Don MacLean	42	43	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.17	-6	-5	-1	14.7	14.9	-0.15	15.3	15.4	-0.15
Derrick Coleman	48	47	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	-2	-7	14.9	14.7	0.19	15.9	14.8	1.14
Allen Iverson	85	85	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.15	-11	0	-11	14.5	17.5	-3.07	15.2	16.2	-0.96
Rex Walters	73	71	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.06	-16	5	-21	16.2	10.6	5.60	15.3	15.6	-0.33

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Mills	87	86	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.19	9	2	7	15.6	12.7	2.82	14.7	15.9	-1.20
Danny Ferry	62	63	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.07	12	-1	13	15.6	14.8	0.75	14.9	14.6	0.33
Bob Sura	61	57	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.23	6	5	1	14.3	17.2	-2.96	14.1	15.8	-1.72
Donny Marshall	46	47	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.10	6	5	1	16.0	14.8	1.20	14.1	15.5	-1.36
Vitaly Potapenko	38	39	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.20	2	9	-7	16.6	14.5	2.16	14.2	15.3	-1.13
Bobby Phills	53	56	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.01	8	3	5	14.7	16.1	-1.44	15.5	13.9	1.63
Tyrone Hill	63	64	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.16	1	10	-9	15.4	15.2	0.27	15.0	14.6	0.39
Mark West	21	21	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.11	8	3	5	15.5	15.3	0.18	17.3	14.1	3.21
Terrell Brandon	44	47	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.04	3	8	-5	14.8	15.8	-1.05	14.9	14.8	0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.75,0.76,0.88,0.75,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 113, TOR 131	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.75,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
PHX 78, MIA 90	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.96,1,1,1	94.7%
BOS 87, UTA 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.85,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%