NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	87		Excitement	4.8 [874]		MVP	Gordan Giricek (UTA): +12.5%
Utah Jazz	105		Comeback	1.0 [1158]		LVP	Al Jefferson (BOS): -15.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Scalabrine	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	6	75%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.03	6	71%	0.09	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Leon Powe	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	-0.01	0.06	3	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Sebastian Telfair	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.05	9	45%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	18	42%	0.01	1	-0.04	9	89%	0.03
Kendrick Perkins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	0.04	13	55%	0.04	4	-0.13	3	67%	-0.01
Al Jefferson	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	9	60%	0.05	8	-0.20	2	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.03	0.00	8	89%	0.17	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.06	0.03	11	81%	0.18	4	-0.06	4	50%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.03	8	58%	0.08	1	-0.01	10	70%	-0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	2	37%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Rafael Araujo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.04	11	59%	0.02	1	-0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	57%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
CJ Miles	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	14	36%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.16	0.00	-0.04	10	10%	-0.08	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	2.4	28.8	16.0	25.2	1.7	34.5	136.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +10.2%

UTA +4.4%

UTA +0.4%

UTA +33.7%

UTA +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	UTA	NBA	BOS	UTA	NBA
this game	15.6	15.6	15.4	94.6	112.9	104.5
season	15.5	15.9		101.7	107.4
opponent	15.0	15.3		104.9	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.9	20.2	15.1	12.8	15.6
UTA	13.3	15.8	16.9	16.5	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sebastian Telfair	12	14	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-18	18	12.1	16.1	-4.02	13.2	16.0	-2.76
Leon Powe	49	51	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-17	16	15.1	16.1	-1.01	15.4	15.8	-0.46
Gerald Green	32	31	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.12	-9	-9	0	13.8	16.5	-2.70	14.7	16.0	-1.27
Brian Scalabrine	44	43	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-14	10	15.4	15.7	-0.36	15.4	15.7	-0.30
Al Jefferson	58	58	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	-11	4	16.0	14.9	1.10	16.2	14.5	1.68
Kendrick Perkins	22	22	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.02	-10	-8	-2	16.4	15.3	1.09	15.8	15.5	0.34
Rajon Rondo	41	41	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.17	-17	-1	-16	15.6	15.5	0.06	14.4	16.4	-2.00
Paul Pierce	68	68	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	-7	-4	16.1	14.0	2.19	16.3	13.5	2.79
Ryan Gomes	55	57	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.06	-14	-4	-10	16.4	14.4	2.05	15.5	15.7	-0.27
Delonte West	79	80	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.03	-17	-1	-16	15.6	15.4	0.22	16.0	12.8	3.15

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Millsap	60	57	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.04	19	-1	20	15.9	14.9	1.01	16.9	13.5	3.37
Matt Harpring	53	51	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.04	17	1	16	16.2	14.7	1.46	16.8	14.0	2.76
Gordan Giricek	42	41	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.01	11	7	4	14.8	16.2	-1.41	18.7	13.1	5.56
Ronnie Brewer	24	24	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.02	9	9	0	16.2	15.3	0.93	13.3	16.4	-3.03
Jarron Collins	48	48	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.06	7	11	-4	15.0	16.2	-1.20	15.0	16.2	-1.16
Rafael Araujo	28	28	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.05	10	8	2	15.8	15.4	0.38	16.5	15.2	1.28
Derek Fisher	59	60	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.14	12	6	6	16.7	13.5	3.20	15.9	14.9	1.03
Deron Williams	55	53	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	14	-10	15.3	16.0	-0.70	14.6	16.9	-2.38
CJ Miles	38	39	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.00	1	17	-16	14.7	16.1	-1.43	13.7	16.9	-3.18
Lou Amundson	5	6	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	18	-18	8.8	15.9	-7.14	7.7	16.1	-8.46
Dee Brown	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	18	-18	10.7	16.0	-5.26	11.6	16.0	-4.33
Carlos Boozer	45	45	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	18	-18	16.3	14.9	1.41	15.0	16.1	-1.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.85,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 78, MIA 90	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.96,1,1,1	95.2%
BOS 90, ORL 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.79,0.83,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.74,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.52,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
ORL 79, IND 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%