NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	101		Excitement	4.5 [879]		MVP	Dell Curry (CHH): +26.5%
Charlotte Hornets	115		Comeback	1.6 [783]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): -20.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Robinson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	10	55%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Doug West	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.00	7	57%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	57%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sam Mitchell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.00	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tom Gugliotta	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.03	22	60%	0.03	2	-0.04	14	93%	0.02
Chris Carr	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terry Porter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	9	61%	0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shane Heal	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	4	25%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.21	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.12	-0.07	0.02	18	38%	-0.16	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.27	0.24	0.04	0.02	16	83%	0.27	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	10	82%	0.12	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	20	52%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.00
Tom Chambers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafael Addison	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Smith	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	6	58%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	21	51%	-0.02	2	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	9	44%	-0.00	5	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	18.8	2.4	31.6	15.7	24.3	1.7	28.3	122.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +37.5%

MIN -1.8%

CHH +12.3%

CHH +2.1%

MIN -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	CHH	NBA	MIN	CHH	NBA
this game	15.8	15.0	15.6	108.6	122.3	104.4
season	15.5	15.7		103.3	108.0
opponent	16.0	15.5		106.5	105.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.9	19.0	14.8	14.7	15.8
CHH	15.7	11.8	15.8	16.7	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Heal	21	22	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-14	14	13.2	16.6	-3.42	16.2	14.6	1.64
Terry Porter	62	64	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.16	-1	-13	12	15.8	15.8	0.00	14.4	16.1	-1.66
Dean Garrett	65	66	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.16	-1	-13	12	16.0	15.4	0.64	15.1	14.7	0.41
Doug West	54	55	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.06	-5	-9	4	16.1	15.5	0.52	13.9	16.4	-2.46
Cherokee Parks	8	8	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.05	-9	-5	-4	21.2	15.3	5.92	11.2	15.3	-4.06
Chris Carr	22	21	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.15	-13	-1	-12	16.3	15.7	0.57	13.8	15.3	-1.49
Tom Gugliotta	86	86	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	-9	4	15.3	22.1	-6.82	15.3	11.4	3.93
James Robinson	31	30	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.07	-13	-1	-12	15.8	15.8	-0.00	16.1	14.4	1.66
Kevin Garnett	82	84	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.11	-10	-4	-6	15.8	16.5	-0.70	14.7	17.1	-2.39
Sam Mitchell	34	34	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.06	-13	-1	-12	16.7	15.3	1.37	16.9	13.8	3.09

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Muggsy Bogues	77	74	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.02	25	-11	36	14.2	18.4	-4.20	15.6	16.6	-1.00
Dell Curry	72	72	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.07	15	-1	16	14.6	16.1	-1.53	16.3	14.4	1.88
Vlade Divac	87	87	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.15	12	2	10	15.6	6.7	8.92	16.4	7.5	8.91
Anthony Mason	84	84	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.12	13	1	12	15.8	8.2	7.57	16.4	10.2	6.22
Glen Rice	84	84	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.12	13	1	12	15.8	8.2	7.57	16.4	10.2	6.22
Rafael Addison	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	13	-12	8.2	15.8	-7.57	10.2	16.4	-6.22
Malik Rose	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	13	-12	8.2	15.8	-7.57	10.2	16.4	-6.22
Tom Chambers	7	6	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	12	-10	6.7	15.6	-8.92	7.5	16.4	-8.91
Tony Smith	39	40	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	0.10	-12	26	-38	17.1	13.4	3.69	15.4	16.1	-0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.98,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 94, SAS 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.91,0.91,0.79,0.91,0.88,0.9,1,1,1,1	95.3%
MIL 100, ATL 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.91,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.99,1	94.6%
CLE 123, MIN 131	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.46,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.81,0.95,0.92,0.98,1	94.0%