NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	100		Excitement	5.1 [811]		MVP	Kyle Korver (ATL): +15.4%
Atlanta Hawks	107		Comeback	1.7 [852]		LVP	Rashad Vaughn (MIL): -10.6%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mirza Teletovic	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.07	0.06	-0.00	-0.01	10	70%	0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	10	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Miles Plumlee	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Greg Monroe	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Malcolm Brogdon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	6	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Parker	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.07	20	53%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.01	9	44%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Michael Beasley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	0.03	22	52%	-0.04	4	-0.05	6	67%	-0.05
Rashad Vaughn	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	6	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.05	0.08	-0.02	9	52%	0.15	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	7	65%	0.08	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08	0.08	0.13	-0.01	0.03	11	81%	0.13	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Ryan Kelly	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	0.02	8	60%	0.08	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	57%	0.03	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Mike Muscala	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	11	62%	0.05	3	-0.04	4	75%	-0.02
Malcolm Delaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	5	40%	0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	10	55%	-0.02	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	0.8	28.3	15.5	26.4	2.5	36.4	134.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +50.1%

ATL +15.8%

MIL -17.6%

ATL +1.1%

ATL +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	ATL	NBA	MIL	ATL	NBA
this game	14.2	14.4	14.8	99.0	107.0	107.7
season	14.9	14.4		107.4	104.2
opponent	14.9	15.3		104.6	107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.3	18.0	12.9	12.2	14.2
ATL	15.1	12.8	14.8	15.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Henson	41	42	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.17	5	-12	17	15.2	13.6	1.60	15.2	13.9	1.29
Rashad Vaughn	30	28	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-8	9	15.6	13.6	1.97	13.9	14.7	-0.76
Mirza Teletovic	56	56	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.36	11	-18	29	12.6	16.2	-3.66	14.7	14.1	0.62
Greg Monroe	15	14	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.08	-7	0	-7	15.3	14.0	1.31	15.3	14.3	0.98
Giannis Antetokounmpo	85	82	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.33	4	-11	15	14.0	15.5	-1.52	14.6	13.6	1.08
Michael Beasley	9	9	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.02	-8	1	-9	15.2	14.1	1.10	12.1	14.7	-2.56
Jason Terry	18	18	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.11	-11	4	-15	14.7	14.1	0.55	14.2	14.5	-0.33
Matthew Dellavedova	55	54	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.14	-3	-4	1	14.6	13.8	0.80	15.0	13.8	1.22
Malcolm Brogdon	46	46	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-3	-1	13.8	14.6	-0.80	13.8	15.0	-1.22
Miles Plumlee	11	11	-0.28	-0.23	-0.05	0.08	-12	5	-17	17.0	13.9	3.12	12.3	14.7	-2.44
Tony Snell	63	64	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.30	-3	-4	1	14.5	13.8	0.69	14.7	13.9	0.82
Jabari Parker	76	76	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.25	-8	1	-9	13.6	16.2	-2.63	14.1	15.6	-1.56

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Muscala	70	71	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.13	10	-3	13	14.1	15.1	-0.99	14.2	14.2	0.03
Ryan Kelly	16	16	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.08	15	-8	23	13.2	14.7	-1.49	16.2	13.8	2.34
Kyle Korver	55	54	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.26	2	5	-3	14.8	14.0	0.80	14.8	13.6	1.16
Malcolm Delaney	38	38	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.02	9	-2	11	13.6	15.0	-1.39	13.7	14.6	-0.90
Taurean Prince	43	43	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.02	8	-1	9	13.6	15.1	-1.55	12.9	15.2	-2.24
Paul Millsap	80	81	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.34	-3	10	-13	14.5	14.1	0.43	13.9	15.6	-1.72
Dennis Schroder	62	63	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.27	-2	9	-11	15.0	13.6	1.39	14.6	13.7	0.90
Tim Hardaway Jr.	45	47	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.04	5	2	3	14.0	14.8	-0.80	13.6	14.8	-1.16
Kent Bazemore	61	62	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.32	-6	13	-19	15.0	13.5	1.56	14.6	13.6	0.94
Kris Humphries	30	30	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.14	-3	10	-13	15.6	13.9	1.66	15.2	13.8	1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.91,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 101, CHH 115	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.98,0.99,0.99,1	94.6%
MEM 94, SAS 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.91,0.91,0.79,0.91,0.88,0.9,1,1,1,1	94.3%
SEA 101, CHH 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.77,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.91,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.81,0.88,1,1,1	92.4%