NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	115		Excitement	1.5 [1258]		MVP	Toni Kukoc (CHI): +6.5%
Golden State Warriors	92		Comeback	1.0 [636]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (GSW): -8.6%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toni Kukoc	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	0.00	0.04	10	72%	0.06	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Randy Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	24	63%	0.05	7	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Ron Harper	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	62%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Parish	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	25%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.10	0.00	0.10	5	110%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jud Buechler	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	17	51%	0.01	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jason Caffey	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.10	0.00	0.10	7	83%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Bill Wennington	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Todd Fuller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	5	73%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Lou Roe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	6	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Felton Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donald Royal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
B.J. Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	0.00	0.07	12	60%	-0.03	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Ray Owes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	15	50%	-0.03	3	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	0.00	0.06	10	59%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	-0.01
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.06	0.01	7	50%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	0.00	-0.02	16	50%	-0.04	6	-0.05	4	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	1.8	25.0	14.8	24.2	1.7	20.2	112.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +33.4%

CHI +5.6%

CHI +6.0%

CHI +4.1%

CHI +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	GSW	NBA	CHI	GSW	NBA
this game	14.3	15.8	15.6	119.8	96.8	104.4
season	15.5	15.0		110.5	104.4
opponent	15.4	16.1		109.1	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	12.6	14.3	13.7	16.7	14.3
GSW	18.7	14.5	15.1	15.2	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Toni Kukoc	56	58	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.59	37	-14	51	13.3	15.7	-2.45	17.1	13.8	3.33
Scottie Pippen	77	76	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.33	28	-5	33	14.0	15.7	-1.76	16.2	14.5	1.71
Ron Harper	56	57	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.38	28	-5	33	14.8	13.7	1.07	16.9	14.2	2.72
Michael Jordan	66	65	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.26	22	1	21	13.6	15.9	-2.34	15.6	16.3	-0.72
Luc Longley	43	43	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.47	29	-6	35	13.6	14.9	-1.26	17.0	14.9	2.16
Randy Brown	37	36	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.14	11	12	-1	13.8	14.6	-0.79	15.1	16.3	-1.27
Jason Caffey	39	39	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.01	4	19	-15	14.8	14.0	0.88	15.6	16.0	-0.34
Bill Wennington	18	17	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.27	-9	32	-41	14.7	14.2	0.49	12.2	16.6	-4.46
Robert Parish	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	24	-25	17.9	14.0	3.93	15.0	15.9	-0.93
Dickey Simpkins	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	28	-33	16.0	14.0	1.96	15.4	15.9	-0.53
Jud Buechler	28	26	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.44	-15	38	-53	15.5	13.8	1.66	14.0	16.6	-2.59
Steve Kerr	37	36	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.40	-14	37	-51	15.4	13.7	1.72	14.8	16.5	-1.71

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Roe	13	14	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-28	33	15.4	15.9	-0.53	16.0	14.0	1.96
Andrew DeClercq	21	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.10	-4	-19	15	15.0	16.1	-1.02	15.1	14.1	1.06
Donald Royal	40	40	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.35	8	-31	39	14.8	16.6	-1.76	15.0	13.8	1.25
Ray Owes	15	14	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	-17	11	18.0	15.4	2.56	15.9	14.1	1.80
Todd Fuller	28	27	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.05	-6	-17	11	16.6	15.5	1.14	14.9	14.1	0.84
Donyell Marshall	30	29	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.10	-9	-14	5	16.2	15.7	0.57	14.0	14.5	-0.51
Bimbo Coles	48	49	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.13	-12	-11	-1	15.5	16.2	-0.78	15.3	13.3	2.01
Felton Spencer	21	21	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.20	-15	-8	-7	17.2	15.5	1.73	12.7	14.8	-2.12
B.J. Armstrong	47	47	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.05	-11	-12	1	16.2	15.5	0.78	13.3	15.3	-2.01
Joe Smith	65	67	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.29	-23	0	-23	15.4	16.7	-1.25	13.6	16.1	-2.50
Latrell Sprewell	74	75	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.23	-21	-2	-19	15.5	16.9	-1.36	14.1	15.1	-0.99
Chris Mullin	73	74	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.16	-21	-2	-19	16.1	15.1	0.98	14.4	14.2	0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.11,0.14,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 122, PHX 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.1%
SAS 104, CHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.9%
ATL 107, IND 88	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.9%