inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 106 Excitement6.2 [547] MVPReggie Miller (IND): +45.7%
Charlotte Hornets 95 Comeback1.2 [540] LVPDerrick McKey (IND): -16.8%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Reggie Miller0.460,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.38,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.460.290.180.012278%0.4600.00786%-0.01
Fred Hoiberg0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.00487%0.091-0.0300%0.00
Dale Davis0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.000.00862%0.0500.0000%0.00
Rik Smits0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.030.02-0.031655%0.093-0.078100%0.05
Erick Dampier-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00250%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Jerome Allen-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01050%0.001-0.02250%0.00
Travis Best-0.030,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.00765%0.043-0.073100%0.00
Duane Ferrell-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.0020%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Antonio Davis-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.13,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.11-0.06-0.03932%-0.072-0.08425%-0.06
Derrick McKey-0.170,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.16-0.03-0.021027%-0.074-0.102100%0.02

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Glen Rice0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.13-0.010.012265%0.141-0.03875%-0.03
Tony Smith0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.030.04-0.00462%0.0700.0000%0.00
Muggsy Bogues0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.01-0.00862%0.103-0.1000%0.00
George Zidek0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.000.01970%0.094-0.102100%0.01
Eric Leckner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.0230%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Rafael Addison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.030.00425%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Tony Delk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.06-0.04-0.00750%0.013-0.102100%0.00
Vlade Divac0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.10-0.02-0.011235%-0.042-0.07250%-0.01
Dell Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.05-0.040.021443%-0.052-0.07250%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.42.422.315.722.11.634.0122.5
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +28.1%
IND +5.2%
IND +4.9%
IND +9.0%
IND +2.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDCHHNBAINDCHHNBA
this game15.216.315.6116.5103.3104.4
season15.315.7103.6108.0
opponent16.016.3106.5101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND15.414.115.615.515.2
CHH14.617.815.118.116.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dale Davis56570.410.090.320.1783515.514.60.9016.815.61.20
Derrick McKey67680.400.100.290.1683515.215.10.0416.715.21.50
Reggie Miller67680.380.120.270.1583515.514.31.1715.518.5-2.96
Rik Smits60570.320.180.140.1756-116.013.52.5315.218.1-2.81
Antonio Davis51530.280.220.060.0774314.515.9-1.4217.115.31.79
Jerome Allen33310.270.230.040.1356-115.515.00.4717.415.81.62
Travis Best60620.230.27-0.040.0274314.616.2-1.5815.617.8-2.15
Duane Ferrell28290.180.32-0.140.0356-114.915.3-0.3316.316.3-0.06
Fred Hoiberg24250.120.38-0.270.0338-514.315.5-1.1718.815.43.36
Erick Dampier910-0.090.59-0.68-0.06-112-1313.915.3-1.4013.416.7-3.27

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rafael Addison20170.01-0.510.530.04-1-10917.316.01.3212.215.8-3.66
Eric Leckner23220.01-0.510.51-0.052-131514.716.8-2.1016.014.91.06
Tony Delk2929-0.03-0.470.440.00-1-10915.216.8-1.5715.015.2-0.28
Tony Smith3434-0.16-0.340.19-0.01-5-6117.215.81.3713.915.9-1.98
George Zidek1920-0.16-0.340.170.01-6-5-116.916.20.7312.715.8-3.15
Dell Curry5958-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.16-4-7315.917.0-1.1216.413.03.38
Malik Rose5958-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.16-7-4-316.516.10.4015.614.41.24
Muggsy Bogues6362-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.18-10-1-916.815.21.5715.215.00.28
Vlade Divac8181-0.510.01-0.53-0.19-110-1116.614.12.5315.413.51.86
Glen Rice7374-0.550.05-0.60-0.20-121-1315.818.1-2.2615.314.50.77


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.36,0.38,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.13,0.26,0.15,0.17,0.04,0.02,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SEA 103, PHX 910.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.29,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.15,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.03,0,093.6%
HOU 112, SAC 1020.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.15,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,093.5%
NJN 99, MEM 880.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.17,0.12,0.21,0.15,0.05,0.03,0,0.01,0,093.4%