NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	98		Excitement	7.8 [271]		MVP	Fred Hoiberg (IND): +12.6%
Indiana Pacers	97		Comeback	2.9 [245]		LVP	Jerome Allen (IND): -26.1%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Delk	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.07	0.00	9	72%	0.17	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.19,0.12,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.00	20	61%	0.14	1	-0.05	9	100%	0.05
Tony Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01	0.05	-0.05	-0.00	6	75%	0.05	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.11
Anthony Goldwire	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	1	150%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
George Zidek	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	6	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.06
Dell Curry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	8	69%	0.05	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Rafael Addison	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	6	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	15	42%	-0.04	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.02
Malik Rose	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	4	50%	-0.07	3	-0.11	6	50%	-0.07

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.04	0.00	4	100%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Duane Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	6	69%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.00	11	67%	0.06	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.05
Eddie Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.06	0.05	5	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.03	0.01	14	72%	0.16	4	-0.13	8	100%	0.04
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	9	52%	0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Jalen Rose	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.02	-0.03	3	50%	0.04	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Rik Smits	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	8	37%	-0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	7	28%	-0.11	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.05
Jerome Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.26	-0.26	-0.10	-0.17	0.00	7	14%	-0.21	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.6	26.2	15.0	28.5	2.7	42.1	143.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +13.6%

CHH +3.3%

CHH +32.3%

IND -5.3%

CHH +6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	IND	NBA	CHH	IND	NBA
this game	16.4	16.5	15.6	110.1	112.8	104.4
season	15.7	15.3		108.0	103.6
opponent	16.3	16.0		101.9	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	18.3	13.8	16.7	17.0	16.4
IND	15.2	17.5	16.8	16.4	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Smith	71	66	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.49	6	-5	11	15.9	18.3	-2.40	15.6	19.6	-4.04
Malik Rose	56	56	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.13	18	-17	35	14.7	19.3	-4.54	16.9	15.8	1.13
Glen Rice	73	70	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.50	-1	2	-3	16.9	14.4	2.49	16.5	16.4	0.08
Vlade Divac	84	82	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.46	0	1	-1	16.6	13.2	3.41	16.7	13.2	3.41
Tony Delk	50	50	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.32	2	-1	3	15.4	17.7	-2.36	17.6	14.9	2.68
Anthony Goldwire	11	12	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.05	9	-8	17	16.9	16.3	0.56	18.1	16.2	1.84
Dell Curry	39	36	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.27	-10	11	-21	16.2	16.6	-0.37	16.2	16.7	-0.53
Rafael Addison	27	28	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.05	-6	7	-13	17.5	16.0	1.53	15.4	17.0	-1.64
George Zidek	34	30	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.20	-13	14	-27	19.5	14.5	5.04	16.3	16.6	-0.36

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rik Smits	42	43	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.12	6	-7	13	16.7	16.3	0.33	16.6	16.2	0.37
Eddie Johnson	14	14	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.17	2	-3	5	12.1	17.3	-5.20	13.1	17.0	-3.88
Duane Ferrell	27	27	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	0	-1	14.7	17.3	-2.67	11.7	18.5	-6.82
Jalen Rose	44	44	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.12	-2	1	-3	15.8	17.2	-1.40	16.3	16.6	-0.28
Antonio Davis	54	57	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.35	3	-4	7	17.1	15.4	1.74	17.3	14.8	2.55
Jerome Allen	42	45	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.36	1	-2	3	17.2	15.8	1.40	16.6	16.3	0.28
Derrick McKey	58	62	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.39	2	-3	5	17.1	15.2	1.85	18.1	12.6	5.49
Fred Hoiberg	21	23	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.11	-8	7	-15	19.5	15.5	4.00	16.7	16.3	0.32
Dale Davis	58	58	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.09	-9	8	-17	16.7	16.0	0.69	16.3	16.7	-0.40
Reggie Miller	70	72	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.52	1	-2	3	15.9	19.2	-3.30	16.6	15.6	0.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.5,0.4,0.25,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.31,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.16,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 105, CLE 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.37,0.31,0.2,0.1,0.25,0.07,0,0.01,0	92.3%
POR 106, MIN 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.45,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.27,0.31,0.19,0.17,0.39,0.16,0.1,0.27,0	92.2%
SAS 107, SAC 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.37,0.29,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	92.1%