NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	105		Excitement	6.1 [587]		MVP	Toni Kukoc (ATL): +16.6%
Cleveland Cavaliers	96		Comeback	3.4 [250]		LVP	Dion Glover (ATL): -16.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toni Kukoc	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.03	-0.03	11	80%	0.19	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.03
Emanual Davis	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.07	0.02	15	50%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	12	63%	0.11	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Nazr Mohammed	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	12	59%	0.09	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
Cal Bowdler	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DerMarr Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	56%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Hanno Mottola	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.03	8	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.01	4	80%	0.03	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Dion Glover	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.18	-0.02	-0.03	6	21%	-0.06	5	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.00	15	57%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	13	54%	0.01	0	0.00	11	82%	0.05
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	19	52%	0.07	5	-0.12	2	50%	-0.02
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	9	46%	-0.02	2	-0.06	8	75%	-0.02
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	10	55%	0.03	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.03
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	8	33%	-0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	1.4	28.3	15.5	20.4	2.3	33.7	129.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +26.5%

ATL +6.5%

ATL +8.8%

ATL +15.6%

CLE -7.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CLE	NBA	ATL	CLE	NBA
this game	14.2	16.8	15.6	112.9	103.2	102.3
season	15.5	15.8		99.7	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.2		106.2	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	12.4	14.2	15.9	14.6	14.2
CLE	15.8	15.8	19.3	16.7	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Toni Kukoc	64	63	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.16	16	-7	23	14.9	12.6	2.30	16.8	16.7	0.14
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	79	79	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.26	12	-3	15	14.0	15.4	-1.44	16.8	16.5	0.31
Nazr Mohammed	67	67	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.30	8	1	7	14.6	13.2	1.40	15.9	18.9	-3.00
Jason Terry	62	63	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.33	0	9	-9	14.9	12.8	2.10	16.0	18.3	-2.22
Emanual Davis	67	68	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.35	-4	13	-17	14.6	13.1	1.56	16.1	18.7	-2.62
DerMarr Johnson	17	16	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.12	11	-2	13	13.2	14.4	-1.19	16.9	16.7	0.21
Jacque Vaughn	41	40	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.21	13	-4	17	12.8	15.3	-2.55	19.0	15.1	3.92
Cal Bowdler	25	25	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	10	-11	13.2	14.6	-1.32	19.0	15.9	3.11
Dion Glover	29	30	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.14	-7	16	-23	12.6	14.9	-2.30	16.7	16.8	-0.14
Hanno Mottola	14	14	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.02	-3	12	-15	15.4	14.0	1.44	16.5	16.8	-0.31

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jumaine Jones	84	84	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-6	3	16.6	18.0	-1.37	14.3	13.7	0.60
Brian Skinner	40	39	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.05	-5	-4	-1	17.6	16.1	1.56	14.6	13.9	0.66
Bimbo Coles	24	24	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.01	-8	-1	-7	17.0	16.7	0.26	13.6	14.4	-0.78
Andre Miller	70	71	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-6	3	16.7	17.0	-0.31	14.2	14.3	-0.09
Ricky Davis	39	40	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.07	-7	-2	-5	18.1	15.8	2.31	15.2	13.5	1.75
Lamond Murray	70	69	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.23	-6	-3	-3	16.2	18.3	-2.10	13.7	15.5	-1.80
Wesley Person	75	75	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.20	-9	0	-9	16.7	16.9	-0.22	13.8	15.8	-1.95
Chris Mihm	64	65	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.32	-6	-3	-3	16.2	18.0	-1.85	14.2	14.2	0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.37,0.31,0.2,0.1,0.25,0.07,0,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 107, SAC 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.37,0.29,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	92.5%
CHA 103, PHX 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.64,0.54,0.43,0.47,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.21,0.07,0,0	92.5%
NYK 95, CLE 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.36,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.34,0.37,0.26,0.28,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.46,0.27,0.21,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.08,0	92.4%