NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	103		Excitement	6.7 [457]		MVP	Eric Bledsoe (PHX): +17.7%
Phoenix Suns	95		Comeback	3.9 [111]		LVP	Goran Dragic (PHX): -13.1%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bismack Biyombo	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	4	79%	0.14	1	-0.04	6	83%	-0.00
Cody Zeller	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.06	-0.00	7	50%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
PJ Hairston	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	8	53%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Lance Stephenson	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.03	0.03	0.02	12	48%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Brian Roberts	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	8	44%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	3	83%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Neal	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.05,-0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.06	0.04	13	47%	0.06	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	4	37%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	16	54%	0.08	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Al Jefferson	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	16	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.08	0.00	17	59%	0.21	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.03
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.03	12	61%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.05	-0.01	7	50%	0.10	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	9	67%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	13	46%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	7	47%	-0.03	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.05	-0.03	6	0%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.06	0.03	12	50%	-0.01	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	2.0	30.8	16.4	22.4	1.7	33.2	128.2
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +20.8%

PHX -0.5%

CHA +14.8%

CHA +14.0%

CHA +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	PHX	NBA	CHA	PHX	NBA
this game	17.0	14.1	15.1	112.0	102.2	104.2
season	15.6	14.4		98.9	103.7
opponent	15.0	15.1		104.9	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	18.2	14.9	18.5	16.9	17.0
PHX	13.9	13.9	13.7	15.1	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lance Stephenson	74	75	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.22	12	-4	16	17.0	17.1	-0.11	14.4	13.1	1.26
Gary Neal	49	48	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.11	11	-3	14	16.7	17.4	-0.75	13.5	14.8	-1.39
Al Jefferson	60	62	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.30	4	4	0	18.2	14.7	3.53	14.6	13.2	1.40
Cody Zeller	51	49	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.15	8	0	8	16.6	17.5	-0.84	13.6	14.7	-1.09
Brian Roberts	32	32	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.08	10	-2	12	16.0	17.6	-1.57	13.1	14.7	-1.63
Kemba Walker	60	61	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.19	-2	10	-12	17.6	16.0	1.57	14.7	13.1	1.63
Marvin Williams	45	47	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.12	0	8	-8	16.7	17.3	-0.56	14.2	14.0	0.17
PJ Hairston	33	35	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.07	1	7	-6	17.4	16.8	0.53	13.7	14.4	-0.62
Bismack Biyombo	28	28	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	4	0	15.5	17.7	-2.14	13.9	14.2	-0.39
Gerald Henderson	28	28	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.12	-8	16	-24	17.3	16.9	0.38	15.1	13.7	1.40

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Morris	53	51	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.10	2	-10	12	14.3	13.8	0.49	18.6	15.1	3.52
Alex Len	30	29	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	-4	0	13.0	14.7	-1.67	15.1	17.9	-2.80
Eric Bledsoe	71	71	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.35	6	-14	20	13.6	15.8	-2.21	18.2	13.0	5.21
Goran Dragic	62	60	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.17	-1	-7	6	14.5	13.4	1.16	17.2	16.6	0.66
PJ Tucker	47	47	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.10	-4	-4	0	13.0	15.3	-2.37	15.4	18.7	-3.31
Anthony Tolliver	18	18	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.12	-12	4	-16	14.4	14.1	0.32	12.9	18.0	-5.07
Gerald Green	16	16	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.04	-12	4	-16	16.7	13.6	3.09	13.1	17.8	-4.72
Isaiah Thomas	40	41	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.06	-11	3	-14	13.3	14.8	-1.50	15.8	18.0	-2.28
Markieff Morris	68	68	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.43	0	-8	8	14.5	13.2	1.33	17.8	14.8	3.02
Miles Plumlee	60	59	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.33	-4	-4	0	15.0	12.5	2.60	18.5	14.4	4.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.64,0.54,0.43,0.47,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.21,0.07,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOK 88, POR 75	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0,0,0	92.6%
ATL 105, CLE 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.37,0.31,0.2,0.1,0.25,0.07,0,0.01,0	92.5%
CHI 115, MIL 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.5,0.59,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.43,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.04,0,0.02,0	91.9%